Herman Cain wins the nomination

The Hermanator!

It would be a very fun Presidential race, with Herman's creepy smiling ads

But Obama would destroy him with well over 400 EVs
 
ITTL the top four electoral vote winners are
1 Ronald Reagan 1984 525
2 Franklin Roosevelt 1936 523
3 Richard Nixon 1972 520
4 Barack Obama 2012 513
 
Ok. In the hypothetical polls, Obama led Cain by ten percentage points in the RCP mean. A ten-percentage point gain in the results across the board from 2008 gets Obama, in addition to all the 2008 states, Missouri, Arizona, South Carolina, both Dakotas, Montana, and two Nebraska districts (and Georgia, but home-state advantage might change that). That's a 399 electoral vote sweep, 415 if Cain loses Georgia as well. So not a 1936/1984 total victory or a goofy shutout, but a solid win.
 

Japhy

Banned
Ok. In the hypothetical polls, Obama led Cain by ten percentage points in the RCP mean. A ten-percentage point gain in the results across the board from 2008 gets Obama, in addition to all the 2008 states, Missouri, Arizona, South Carolina, both Dakotas, Montana, and two Nebraska districts (and Georgia, but home-state advantage might change that). That's a 399 electoral vote sweep, 415 if Cain loses Georgia as well. So not a 1936/1984 total victory or a goofy shutout, but a solid win.

That actually makes a lot more sense.
 
Top