Henry of Chambord dies in 1869: a third Restoration in France?

I've read some threads about the possibility of Henry, comte de Chambord, accepting the "Tricolor" as the French flag and so becoming Henry V of France in the early 1870's (when the National Assembly seriously considered the idea of make the nation a monarchy again). However, if he had died in 1869, would the Orleanist candidate Philippe, Count of Paris have become king? Could a Orleanist France last, or anti-monarchical forces would cause instability in the country again? Also, with Henry of Chambord dead, could Juan, Count of Montizón have any chance of become king?
 
I don't see why not. Philippe managed to win over the fusionists as is. Most of the so-called "Blancs d'Espagne" were viewed in a negative light. However you'd still have a minority of legitimists that would oppose the Comte de Paris. But given the sentiment at the time, most people wanted the monarchy back, and Republicanism didn't become the dominant until 1877, when Mac-Mahon caused the Seize Mai crisis.
 
I don't see why not. Philippe managed to win over the fusionists as is. Most of the so-called "Blancs d'Espagne" were viewed in a negative light. However you'd still have a minority of legitimists that would oppose the Comte de Paris. But given the sentiment at the time, most people wanted the monarchy back, and Republicanism didn't become the dominant until 1877, when Mac-Mahon caused the Seize Mai crisis.

Thanks!
So the Count of Paris becomes king. When would it likely happen - 1871, or 1873? And how an Orleanist France look like in the 1870's? Could the monarchy last until the end of the century?
 
From my understanding though, the only reason Henry of Chambord even had a chance of becoming king was that he had no issue and thus the Orleanist candidate would succeed him at the end winning over the Orleanists. If he dies prior to 1870, I could see the Legitimists rallying behind their candidate and thus reducing any restoration to a stalemate.

Your best bet IMHO is for Henry to die post Franco-Prussian War, after the agreement between monarchists regarding his succession. So to answer your question I'd say 1873 is a more likely date than 1871.
 
Thanks!
So the Count of Paris becomes king. When would it likely happen - 1871, or 1873? And how an Orleanist France look like in the 1870's? Could the monarchy last until the end of the century?

I don't think that the Orleanist monarchy would be that drastically different from the Third Republic. Boulanger would be butterflied away, and you'd have a somewhat muted far-right. Depending on how the government reacts to future crisies such as Dreyfus and the Panama scandal, I don't see anything else that could seriously undermine it until World War I. Of course, it also depends on how much sway the legitimists have in the government, and how hard they try to push for a more absolutist monarchy.
 
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