Hartford Convention recommends NE secession in 1814

A convention was held during the war of 1812 in which, according to some reports, New England considered seceding from the Union and making its own peace with Britain:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hartford_Convention

"Secession was again mentioned in 1814–1815; all but one leading Federalist newspaper in New England supported a plan to expel the western states from the Union. Otis, the key leader of the Convention, blocked radical proposals such as a seizure of the Federal customs house, impounding federal funds, or declaring neutrality. Otis thought the Madison administration was near collapse and that unless conservatives like himself and the other delegates took charge, the radical secessionists might take power. Indeed, Otis was unaware that Massachusetts Governor Strong had already sent a secret mission to discuss terms with the British for a separate peace.[12]
There are a number of reasons why historians doubt that the New England Federalists were seriously considering secession. All the states, especially Connecticut with its claims to western lands, stood to lose more than they would gain. Efforts were made in the delegation selection process to exclude firebrands like John Lowell, Jr., Timothy Pickering, and Josiah Quincy who might have pushed for secession, and the final report of the convention did not propose secession.[13]
Despite this, the Madison administration had reasons to be concerned about the consequences of the Hartford Convention. Federalists were already blocking administration efforts to finance the war and bring it to a successful conclusion with an invasion of Canada. There were fears that New England would negotiate a separate peace with Great Britain, an action in many ways just as harmful to the nation as actual secession. In preparing for a worst-case scenario, Madison moved troops from the New York–Canadian border to Albany where they could quickly be sent to Massachusetts or Connecticut if needed to preserve federal authority. Several New England regiments that had participated in the Niagara campaign were returned home where it was hoped that they could serve as a focal point for New Englanders opposed to disunion.[14]"

What would have happened if

1) New England remained part of the Union and made its own peace,

2) New England actually seceded with the exception of Connecticut, or

3) all of New England seceded?
 
It's my understanding that secession in New England was more of an elite political opinion that wasn't really widespread outside the circles of high state politics. I know the meme is widespread that 'New England = Federalist and South = Democratic' but there were divisions within the parties that spread across regions. A segment of the Federalist party was very popular in the South and a segment of the Democratic party was very popular in New England.

Any attempt to actually secede would be met with significant internal opposition. There are reasons things like this didn't actually happen IOTL.
 
A convention was held during the war of 1812 in which, according to some reports, New England considered seceding from the Union and making its own peace with Britain:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hartford_Convention

"Secession was again mentioned in 1814–1815; all but one leading Federalist newspaper in New England supported a plan to expel the western states from the Union. Otis, the key leader of the Convention, blocked radical proposals such as a seizure of the Federal customs house, impounding federal funds, or declaring neutrality. Otis thought the Madison administration was near collapse and that unless conservatives like himself and the other delegates took charge, the radical secessionists might take power. Indeed, Otis was unaware that Massachusetts Governor Strong had already sent a secret mission to discuss terms with the British for a separate peace.[12]
There are a number of reasons why historians doubt that the New England Federalists were seriously considering secession. All the states, especially Connecticut with its claims to western lands, stood to lose more than they would gain. Efforts were made in the delegation selection process to exclude firebrands like John Lowell, Jr., Timothy Pickering, and Josiah Quincy who might have pushed for secession, and the final report of the convention did not propose secession.[13]
Despite this, the Madison administration had reasons to be concerned about the consequences of the Hartford Convention. Federalists were already blocking administration efforts to finance the war and bring it to a successful conclusion with an invasion of Canada. There were fears that New England would negotiate a separate peace with Great Britain, an action in many ways just as harmful to the nation as actual secession. In preparing for a worst-case scenario, Madison moved troops from the New York–Canadian border to Albany where they could quickly be sent to Massachusetts or Connecticut if needed to preserve federal authority. Several New England regiments that had participated in the Niagara campaign were returned home where it was hoped that they could serve as a focal point for New Englanders opposed to disunion.[14]"

What would have happened if

1) New England remained part of the Union and made its own peace,

2) New England actually seceded with the exception of Connecticut, or

3) all of New England seceded?

Well, in the event of a successful convention, I'd honestly expect all of New England, including Connecticut, to go, not just part.

But, even then, this isn't going to sit well with the loyalist Yankees. In fact, ManInTheField is correct in pointing out that, in OTL, not only was there too little support, there was also quite a bit of opposition as well. And even if street fighting doesn't break out, or perhaps instead of such, I would suspect that at least some of the more loyalist amongst them would doubtless be rather motivated to move out of the region and go out west, to settle not just in New York or Pa., but also in places like Ohio, Indiana and Ill. as well.
 
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