Had Saddam stayed in power, would a Libya-like NATO intervention have be enough to

MarioLuigi

Banned
topple Saddam? Also, if so, what would the aftermath of overthrowing Saddam in Iraq and the region? Would there have been a civil war in Iraq? Also, what would have happened to Libya in such a scenario? Would NATO have been able to conduct two military campaigns at once?

An easy PoD for Saddam staying in power until the Arab Spring comes along would be for Gore to win in 2000, and then refuse to invade Iraq.
 
If you mean an intervention led by the Europeans with Arab support then it wouldn't work. Iraq is a far more populous country than Libya and Saddam's security apparatus was larger than Gaddafi's, without American leadership and massive involvement then the Europeans don't have enough firepower.
 

MarioLuigi

Banned
If you mean an intervention led by the Europeans with Arab support then it wouldn't work. Iraq is a far more populous country than Libya and Saddam's security apparatus was larger than Gaddafi's, without American leadership and massive involvement then the Europeans don't have enough firepower.

What if the U.S. and Europe are both more involved? Also, what if Iran offers to help out with airpower, weapons deliveries to the rebels, and ground troops if necessary?
 
topple Saddam? Also, if so, what would the aftermath of overthrowing Saddam in Iraq and the region? Would there have been a civil war in Iraq? Also, what would have happened to Libya in such a scenario? Would NATO have been able to conduct two military campaigns at once? An easy PoD for Saddam staying in power until the Arab Spring comes along would be for Gore to win in 2000, and then refuse to invade Iraq.

Something similar to what you're describing already happened in 1991 IOTL: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1991_uprisings_in_Iraq. U.S. President George H.W. Bush urged the Iraqi people to overthrow the Ba'athist Iraqi government.

Unlike in Libya, it was not as succesful, mainly due to the lack of foreign (NATO) intervention; this was quickly quelled by the Iraqi government. The Iraqi no-fly zone was established, similar to the Libyan no-fly zone. A day or two before 9/11/2001, a USAF UAV enforcing the no-fly zone was shot down by the Iraqis. However, this story became buried behind the overwhelming news of the 9/11 attacks. The two biggest stories in New York City on the morning of 9/11/2001 was the UAV shoot-down and the elections there.
 
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