So, assume that Spain after Napoleon's departure manages to maintain control over most of its Latin American colonies, through a succession of factors such as José de San Martin's Army of the Andes failing to liberate Chile, Simon Bolivar either being crushed early or confined to Venezuela, and the Spanish army at Cadiz not revolting under Rafael del Riego.
For a second point, assume Ferdinand VII still has only daughters, and still doesn't want to give the throne to his brother, Carlos of Molina. The First Carlist War for the succession to the Spanish throne still happens.
I ask, how will Spain's American colonies react? Who will support Isabella, and who will support Carlos? Would the carlists make overtures for Latin American autonomy, like they had promised to the Basques and Catalans IOTL? Would there be a division of loyalties between each colony?
For a second point, assume Ferdinand VII still has only daughters, and still doesn't want to give the throne to his brother, Carlos of Molina. The First Carlist War for the succession to the Spanish throne still happens.
I ask, how will Spain's American colonies react? Who will support Isabella, and who will support Carlos? Would the carlists make overtures for Latin American autonomy, like they had promised to the Basques and Catalans IOTL? Would there be a division of loyalties between each colony?