I'll start with this, much of what you post makes good sense. However, there are a few things to quibble over
I was thinking the Yamamoto`splans were convoluted, but you beat him flat. Depicting attack compromising already bad attack accuracy and requesting the precise attack vectors with pre-determined timing sequence of multiple attacks are not the features suitable for a viable plan of operation.
This need not, as you have posited it to be, be anything like predetermined, from the get go. You are the one that introduced the "bad attack accuracy" with your alternative version, loaded with 10-12 tons of liquid TNT. My current version has none of those problems. Precision attack vectors are going to be determined by what the attack force finds awaiting them in PH, and will be made on the spot. Where you got that this was going to be (Or for that matter, need to be) pre-determined is not anything that I have put into this discussion, but rather something that you just threw in there for apparently no (good) reason.
War is chaos. Usable military plans should be expressed vaguely, with the room for improvisation for the on-the-scene soldiers. Usable order would be like "Proceed to Pearl Harbor base with general approach vector XXX degrees, and attack targets of opportunity using general arrangements YYY or ZZZ as ordered by your wing commander, having priority for striking largest vessels"
All that you say here is good, true, and basically correct, but...
It is not me that is claiming some sort of overly complicated, pre-determined, pre-mission plan that dictates such detailed information (which the Japanese do not, and cannot, have) need be given to the pilots, but rather you.
Making the plans convoluted (like you did) is just the recipe for missing important part as has finally happened with Yamamoto. For example, captain of "Arizona" orders in last moment to change orientation of ship, for better protection from waves for boat with sailors returning from the shore. Which by chance block your precision approach to "Tennessee".
This is where you are making your mistakes. I am giving the best case for the attack, based upon what the Japanese find when they get to PH, but not dividing up WHO is making these decisions. Obviously, the Japanese don't know even which ships they are going to be finding within PH when they arrive, nor which are which, so there isn't going to be any chance of your above example with the Arizona making any difference, as the details given by me, and wrongly assumed by you to be part of an overly detailed, convoluted plan, are in fact nothing more than an intelligent look at what might have happened in the case of this fictional attack. So, as you mentioned yourself, the on the spot orders would look more like, "You three, hit the Yankee battleships from the North, and you others, Hit them from the SE." I have to point out what you did here, so that we can see it for what it is. I posted, using historical photos and information that the Japanese couldn't possibly have had on Dec 7th, 1941, an explanation of how my posited attack could shape up, based upon the historical dispositions of the ships within PH, so that it would be clear to all that read the post and looked at the picture what I was talking about. What you then did, was to assume that the Japanese had to have been pre-planning who would do what, where, and against which target, which is not at all possible, and in
no way what I was posting. Your perspective would have held much more water, had I been attempting to post from the "POV of a Japanese pilot involved in the raid", but here I am simply using an historical photograph, making the information as clear as can be, so folks don't get confused, and can see what the actual raid did, and what my posited augmented raid might be able to do, given the historical ship positions upon their arrival.
Now that that is out of the way, let us look at what you have to say about the mindset of the guys that have been training to do this for months, so that they have the chance to strike a telling blow against the enemy by delivering large explosive charges to as many of the enemies ships as they can.
Also, kamikaze behave very bad if held in waiting. Watching the picture how your friends dying or the friend`s recent "grave" is not very good for motivation.
I have to say that I am extremely dubious here. The guys overhead just saw their buddies cream one or more USN Battleships, and their going to somehow be 'less' motivated? Really? I think rather, that they are going to be relieved that the plan is working, and want to get their turn while there are still some ships left to sink. But don't start in again now with, "well, in that case, they will just throw out their professionalism, and all their extensive training, and screw up the plan for [insert whatever] reason. These pilots came here to die, and take out as much of the US fleet as they can in the process, and earn their place in Japanese history.
If left circling for 10 additional minutes, of remained 12 flying bombs 2/3 are likely to develop "mechanical problems" serious enough to prevent attack but not serious enough to prevent ditching in the safe location.
First, where is the world are you getting that little gem from? You still seem to be attempting to force an extremely unlikely persona into these aircraft flight crews, that somehow managed to get into this elite force, knowing that it is a one way trip from the start, and that nobody is going to notice that the unreliable ones are going to be showing their doubts, and that no campaign of reinforcing the propagande balderdash is going to remove this possibility. Late war, involuntary volunteers, maybe, but not the guys that are here by choice, and well trained, well drilled, and well brainwashed.
Second, why are they going to be circling for ten minutes? Battleship row is not the only target in PH, as shown in my post above, there turns out to be a great many other targets of opportunity in the place, and I don't think that skilled pilots are going to need to be loitering about, but rather making their attack runs as quickly as they can to make them count, before the enemy has a chance to mount any effective defense, and will understand which targets need to wait till other targets have been hit.
Let me just ask this of you and all reading this thread, which is more likely:
In Turtle's psycho profiling, we are to believe something like onto the Kamikaze pilots reaction to the first attacks/deaths of their fellows is going to be along the lines of,
"Oh NO, Freddie and Joe and Smoo just bit the farm, oh the humanity of it, I cannot do this, I'll just accept the huge loss of face, humiliation and shame that goes with me aborting my attack, and land in some quiet corner and hope to survive..."
While in Shadow Masters psycho profiling, we would see something more like, "
BANZAI!!!"
I mentioned before other limitations of kamikaze pilots too - the instinctive adherence to "maximin" strategy (surest tactics gets the priority) and the principal impossibility to get precise piloting due aircraft handling changes in expendable configuration.
You did indeed mention that, I'll give you that. OTOH, it was you, and not I, that wanted to go in with planes of vastly different handling characteristics, and not having the pilots having any previous opportunity to fly the planes in such a configuration. In my version, the development and training regime is going to be extensive, and kept as simple as possible, and as close as possible to normal handling characteristics as possible, and one that the pilots are going to have flown many times before. So no, you don't get to just dismiss far greater accuracy because your really talking more about your version than mine.