Greater East Asia Co-Prosperity Sphere in 1960?

From what I understand, the Japanese sought to expand their Empire in the East Pacific in preparation for a final, apocalyptic clash with the West decades into the future. If they do achieve all their ambitions (Malaya and the Dutch East Indies, Southeast Asia, Bose in control of India, Wang, Prince De, and the Kangde Emperor in control of China) without attacking the U.S., what would the Japanese sphere of influence look like in 1960? How economically integrated would China and the East Indies be with Japan after 20 years? Can we extrapolate GDP for this empire? Would they be able to develop nuclear technology by 1960?

Obviously, this is highly abstracted from the real life flow of events (i.e. whether or not the Japanese could take European colonies in the Pacific without a declaration of war by the U.S.), but I think it's an interesting scenario to explore. Would concerns about nuke-armed communists override rivalry with the Empire of Japan if, lacking direct (or delayed) U.S. intervention, the Soviets seize more of Europe, or would it drive them closer together?
 
From what I understand, the Japanese sought to expand their Empire in the East Pacific in preparation for a final, apocalyptic clash with the West decades into the future. If they do achieve all their ambitions (Malaya and the Dutch East Indies, Southeast Asia, Bose in control of India, Wang, Prince De, and the Kangde Emperor in control of China) without attacking the U.S., what would the Japanese sphere of influence look like in 1960? How economically integrated would China and the East Indies be with Japan after 20 years? Can we extrapolate GDP for this empire? Would they be able to develop nuclear technology by 1960?

Obviously, this is highly abstracted from the real life flow of events (i.e. whether or not the Japanese could take European colonies in the Pacific without a declaration of war by the U.S.), but I think it's an interesting scenario to explore. Would concerns about nuke-armed communists override rivalry with the Empire of Japan if, lacking direct (or delayed) U.S. intervention, the Soviets seize more of Europe, or would it drive them closer together?

I don't know if they have enough forces to hold all of that...

But I think that it would be extremely impoverished (all of it). After a while, they'll all realize how bad Japanese rule is and guerillas will expand. And expand. And expand.
 
Obviously, this is highly abstracted from the real life flow of events (i.e. whether or not the Japanese could take European colonies in the Pacific without a declaration of war by the U.S.), but I think it's an interesting scenario to explore. Would concerns about nuke-armed communists override rivalry with the Empire of Japan if, lacking direct (or delayed) U.S. intervention, the Soviets seize more of Europe, or would it drive them closer together?

If the US are not involved in the war, this mean that the Soviets will not get Land Lease and this mean that at most they will get back their previous territory or if very optimistic what gained after OTL WW2...but they will not be capable of plundering the rest of the Europe to rebuild and so they will be weaker.

The Japanese were some of the worst possible colonial power (and the Sphere will be just a colonial empire with a fancy name) and their empire just a collection of brutal guerrilla wartorn places that will suck blood and treasure.
 
I will say, part of the reason the Communist guerrillas did so well after the war was because of the Japanese; the surrender gave huge influxes of men and materiel for the CCP, and Japanese advisors helped train the Vietminh for the war with France. Furthermore, a key step in legitimating Ho Chi Minh's regime was convincing Emperor Bao Dai to abdicate, thus conferring the Mandate of Heaven on Ho. If the Japanese keep the Emperor on their side, peasant society isn't going to support Ho as enthusiastically.
 
I will say, part of the reason the Communist guerrillas did so well after the war was because of the Japanese; the surrender gave huge influxes of men and materiel for the CCP, and Japanese advisors helped train the Vietminh for the war with France. Furthermore, a key step in legitimating Ho Chi Minh's regime was convincing Emperor Bao Dai to abdicate, thus conferring the Mandate of Heaven on Ho. If the Japanese keep the Emperor on their side, peasant society isn't going to support Ho as enthusiastically.

After an year or two of Japanese 'fair and just' administration they will began to talk of the French colonial period as the 'Good old times'.
You can put anyone on the throne or whatever, what will not change will be the fact that the Japanese will be both very brutal an very exploitative of any puppets; Co-prosperity sphere in reality mean: we work and starve you to death while raping your daughters, wife and mothers for the greater glory of the empire of Japan
 
Top