It's a long shot...![]()
Very much so....but thats why its alternate history.....even long shots can be explored
It's a long shot...![]()
I doubt that Croatia alone could defend it self against the Turks.
Turks were simply too strong in 15th and 16th century.
This would depend on which POD, a POD in 1197/1102 will have different butterflies than a POD from 1377 to 1463 (kingdom of Bosnia).
Well....1377, the Hungarians were still recovering from the Mongol invasions, so they would be in no position to project their authority beyond their immediate borders.....opportunity for Croatia to forge their own state and unite with Bosnia
This "Greater Croatia", while certainly not strong enough to face the Ottomans head-on it could have survived Ottoman rule in the Balkans as an Ottoman protectorate (like Moldova or Wallachia), emerging after the end of Turkish rule as an independent medium-sized country with a majority of the population being Catholic and identifying as Croatian.I doubt that Croatia alone could defend it self against the Turks.
Turks were simply too strong in 15th and 16th century.
This would depend on which POD, a POD in 1197/1102 will have different butterflies than a POD from 1377 to 1463 (kingdom of Bosnia).
This "Greater Croatia", while certainly not strong enough to face the Ottomans head-on it could have survived Ottoman rule in the Balkans as an Ottoman protectorate (like Moldova or Wallachia), emerging after the end of Turkish rule as an independent medium-sized country with a majority of the population being Catholic and identifying as Croatian.
Ofcourse, this depends a lot on what the Habsurgs do.
This "Greater Croatia", while certainly not strong enough to face the Ottomans head-on it could have survived Ottoman rule in the Balkans as an Ottoman protectorate (like Moldova or Wallachia), emerging after the end of Turkish rule as an independent medium-sized country with a majority of the population being Catholic and identifying as Croatian.
Ofcourse, this depends a lot on what the Habsurgs do.
True.
But, IMO, only real chance except 1382. is 1301.
That year Arpad dynasty died out, and then hereditary ban of Croatia and Lord of Bosnia Paul I. Šubić brought Angevine dynasty as a new rulers of Hungary-Croatia.
But, if he decided to proclaim Croatia-Bosnia as independent ( maybe without Slavonia ) and self as a King/Regent/something else he MIGHT even make it.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pavao_Šubić_Bribirski
Hungaria was in dynastic fights after end of Arpad dynasty, so anything is possible.
Most likely the Hapsburgs would do what they do best......MARRY into a Croatian-Bosnian dynasty
A Croatian-Bosnian tributary state of the Ottoman Empire.....VERY doable
If Paul suceeded ( he couldn't because his mindset didn't allow him/or other croatian nobility to go for independence in that time, their max. was to choose a new king ) there wouldn't be Bosnia. He would incorporated she into Croatia.
If he could make some deal with Babonić family in Slavonia, he might even get Slavonia...
He would then have to forge alliances to protect his new gains from both the Hungarians and the Turks....Venice, the Papal States..Naples.....maybe even Spain
Well, that the whole point.
Anybody wouldn't want to be ally of Croatia.
Venetia had designs on adriatic coast, Naples on whole Hungary-Croatia, Turks were out of the picture in that time, Spain is still disuited and too far, Pope under influence of Venice/Naples...
Maybe only Serbia...
ahhh....but down the road that could present a problem....assuming Serbia undergoes that 'manifest destiny' which the US experienced in the 1800s....a Croatia-Bosnia united kingdom would be easy pickings for Belgrade. They would have to appeal to the pope on the basis that a heretical nation (Serbia) was threatening their religious integrity by planning to annex into a Greek Orthodox state.
So the only ones they would have to fear are the Hungarians and Venetians. I'm sure an arrangement could be reached with the Republic of Venice for trade privileges and a few coastal towns for them in exchange for financial and military support
True.
But, IMO, only real chance except 1382. is 1301.
That year Arpad dynasty died out, and then hereditary ban of Croatia and Lord of Bosnia Paul I. Šubić brought Angevine dynasty as a new rulers of Hungary-Croatia.
But, if he decided to proclaim Croatia-Bosnia as independent ( maybe without Slavonia ) and self as a King/Regent/something else he MIGHT even make it.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pavao_%C5%A0ubi%C4%87_Bribirski
Hungaria was in dynastic fights after end of Arpad dynasty, so anything is possible.
Well and there also is the chance that the earlier independent kingdom of Croatia survives.
However in all these medieval cases, except for the Dalmatian coast, expanding south and southeast is the most likely area for direct Croatian expansion; however there they probably will also meet resistance, but it's relatively speaking the weakest neighbouring state/area, since their other neighbouring realms were Hungary and the Holy Roman Empire. However a king of Croatia could end inheriting Hungarian and/or HRE fiefs, but these will be held in personal union.