In 1861, Confederate diplomacy in Mexico essentially followed two tracks.
The first, and less successful, was the Confederacy's relationship with
President Juarez in Mexico City. One reason this relationship was not
very successful was Jefferson Davis's choice of the very undiplomatic John
T. Pickett as envoy to Juarez. (Pickett openly insulted liberal government
officials and befriended supporters of Miguel Miramon's outcast
conservative faction. He eventually left after serving a month in jail for
getting into a brawl with a Yankee who had cast aspersions on the virtue
of the wife of a Confederate Cabinet Secretary.) Much more successful
were the Confederacy's negotiations with Santiago Vidaurri, Governor of
Nuevo Leon y Coahuila, a *caudillo* whose influence extended into regions
of northern Mexico (e.g., Tamaulipas) beyond the two states he had united.
For these negotiations, the Confederates sent Jose Agustin Quintero to
Monterey. Quintero, a native Cuban but devoted Southerner, was the ideal
choice; he was already friendly with Vidaurri, having met him when
Vidaurri had briefly been exiled to Texas in 1859. Quintero wanted
Vidaurri's assurances that he would not let either the US Army or Mexican
bandits invade the Confederacy through northern Mexico, that he would
provide the Confederacy with supplies, etc. Vidaurri replied favorably.
But he went much further, and presented Quintero with a truly remarkable
proposal, summarized as follows in Ronnie C. Tyler's *Santiago Vidaurri
and the Southern Confederacy* (Austin: Texas State Historical Association
1973), pp. 52-53:
"It was well known to everyone on the border, Vidaurri had begun, that for
several years he had been 'anxious to establish the Republic of Sierra
Madre,' [1] composed of the northern states of Mexico. With the advent of
the American Civil War, however, outright annexation of these states by
the Confederacy might be a better solution. Vidaurri mentioned several
reasons for his opinions. He had admired Americans for several years and
felt that northern Mexico more nearly resembled the southern part of the
United States, both geographically and psychologically, than it did
southern Mexico, with its tropical climate and illiterate Indians. 'God
had made everything beautiful in Mexico, except man,' Vidaurri concluded,
indicating his disillusionment with Juarez and the liberals. Fortunately,
there were 'intelligent people' in northern Mexico who realized that
numerous advantages could be had by association with the Confederacy. The
Mexican states had huge amounts of mineral wealth that could be
successfully mined--with adequate technical skill and an industrious labor
force available from the South. Agriculture had not been developed in
Mexico as it had been in the Confederacy. Mexico raised some cotton and
had mills that could be vastly improved with Southern help. In addition,
property would be safer after alliance with the South because of
stricter law enforcement. Vidaurri insisted that these states would
continue the process of Americanization already germinating, in the area,
leading eventually to governmental stability which the progressive
citizens so badly wanted. Proponents of Manifest Destiny could not have
asked for a more willing subject.
"Vidaurri had convinced Quintero that he was sincere in his proposal,
explaining that he foresaw important occurrences within Mexico that would
soon facilitate the annexation. He only sought some Confederate assurance
that his plan was acceptable. There would be trouble with the Juarez
government of course, but limited support from Texas--perhaps the 1,000
men that had been offered previously--would insure success. The governor
suggested that if President Davis would appoint someone he trusted to
negotiate this proposal with Vidaurri, discussions could begin
immediately...
"Limited by his instructions in replying to Vidaurri's fantastic offer,
Quintero had only said that he would faithfully report it to the proper
officials and maintain strictest confidence. Although Vidaurri's offer was
not remotely covered by his orders, he had considered it his duty to
listen to the governor and let the State Department make its own
decision..."
Was Vidaurri's offer sincere? Tyler is inclined to beleive that it was,
though he adds that it is possible that Vidaurri was just trying to test
the Confederacy's willingness to add new territory to its domain.
Vidaurri was in a difficult position in 1861. He had lost Juan Zuazua,
his best military leader, in 1860. Furthermore, in 1859, Vidaurri had
split with the liberals (as one might expect, it was over a question of
power, not ideology) who now considered him a conservative--and some of
the young liberals angry with his "betrayal" had fled to Mexico City and
now had Juarez's ear. If Juarez, in control of Mexico City since January
1861, were to consolidate his position, the prospects for Vidaurri and
other strong state governors maintaining their power would be dim. (And of
course if some foreign power were to intervene and occupy Mexico it too
might take a very unfavorable view of too-powerful governors.) By
contrast, the Confederacy was supposed to be based on states' rights,
which was just what Vidaurri wanted. Besides, Tyler seems to think that
Vidaurri's admiration for American institutions was genuine, and of course
annexation could help Vidaurri "Americanize" northern Mexico.
In any event, Davis, though otherwise pleased by the Quintero-Vidaurri
negotiations, and favoring "intimate social and commercial relations" with
northern Mexico, rejected annexation of the Mexican border states as
"imprudent and impolitic." The purpose of this post is to explore Davis's
probable reasons for this rejection, and ask if there was any chance he
(or perhaps another Confederate president) might have accepted it.
The Confederate case against annexation--and in favor of keeping Mexico's
borderland under the control of pro-Confederate governors nominally loyal
to Juarez--was indeed a strong one:
(1) Most obviously, the "one war at a time" principle: If you're already
fighting the Yankees, why fight Juarez, too?
(2) Davis expected that there was going to be European intervention in
Mexico, which owed the European powers huge debts it could not pay. In
that event, he expected the US to clash with whichever power would
intervene. (Not everyone thought it would be France btw; some Southerners
like Pickett throught Spain would be the main interventionist.) This
clash would lead the European interventionist to form an alliance with the
Confederacy, assuring the latter's victory. But if the CS were to annex
Mexican land, the European interventionist would probably be more angry
with the Confederacy than with the Yankees.
(3) Annexing northern Mexico would mean that the area's ports would be
subject to the Yankee blockade. It was more advantageous for the
Confederacy to keep such ports part of neutral Mexico, so that European
supplies could be shipped there free of the blockade and then be sent
across the Rio Grande to Texas (with cotton taking the same route in
reverse, though at first the Confederates imposed an embargo on cotton ).
(4) Finally, Davis already had enough independent-minded governors who put
their own states' interests first. Why add another?
These reasons (given in Tyler's book and in Frank Owsley's *King Cotton
Diplomacy*, University of Chicago Press, second edition [1959]) are
sufficiently cogent that I have despaired of making a plausible case for
the Confederacy accepting Vidaurri's offer. Still, there are some
counter-arguments and maybe under some circumstances they could have
persuaded Davis or at least some other Confederate president:
(1) First of all, there was still the spirit of expansion, which
Southerners had championed when they were part of the US. It is true that
Pickett had told Juarez that the only reason Southerners had previously
favored southward expansion was to get new slave states to counterbalance
the growing number of free states. Now that the South was no longer in
the Union, Pickett explained, this motive was no longer relevant, and the
South desired no further expansion, having plenty of land. It was now
only the United States which coveted Mexico. However, Pickett's real
opinion was indicated in his letter to Secretary of State Toombs in which
he explained that he said all this for Mexican consumption and that it
need not be taken too seriously in Richmond because "It must not be
supposed from the expression in this capital, of the foregoing diplomatic
language, that I am not fully impressed with the fact that 'manifest
destiny' may falsify the foregoing declaration." (Quoted in Owsley, p.
94.) (Incidentally, one of Pickett's problems was that his dispatches to
Richmond, which indicated his very low opinion of the Mexicans, were
regularly intercepted by the Mexicans and shown to Juarez...)
(2) With respect to the prospect of European intervention, one could use
it--as Pickett did--as an argument for getting Mexican territory *now*,
since it might be impossible to get it once the Europeans came. If a few
northern Mexican states were already part of the Confederacy by the time
the Europeans intervened, the intervening powers might accept this as a
*fait accompli*; after all, the Confederacy would not object to their
occupation of the great majority of Mexico. (And of course if the Yankees
objected to such occupation, all the better for the Confederacy, since
this could force any intervening power into an alliance with the
Confederates which would amount in effect to the partition of Mexico.)
(3) As for fighting Juarez, maybe Davis or some less cautious Confederate
president might decide that this was not a very frightening prospect.
Pickett gave a very unfavorable estimate of Juarez's military strength.
Indeed, even before the European intervention, Juarez faced severe
problems with an uncooperative Congress and a countryside that had by no
means been completely pacified.
(4) There was also Pickett's argument that the Confederates should acquire
Mexican territory if only to prevent Mexico from pledging it to the United
States under US envoy Tom Corwin's proposed loan treaty.
(5) There was considerable concern that Juarez would allow passage of US
troops through Mexico. In fact, the Mexican Congress agreed to let US
troops march through Sonora on their way from California to Arizona.
Mexican officials later tried to reassure the Confederates that this had
been done only because the Mexican government did not realize that the
Confederacy claimed Arizona, but it could be argued that there was no way
to prevent this sort of thing from happening except by outright
Confederate annexation of northern Mexico. You could certainly *hope*
that the Mexican government would not authorize any more troop movements
like this, and that even if it did the northern Mexican governors would
defy Mexico's central government, and prevent such troop movements, but
you couldn't be sure. It would be safer to have those governors under the
Confederate government than--even nominally--under Juarez's.
(6) As for the advantage of having northern Mexican ports not subject to
the blockade: Was it really clear in 1861 whether trade from Europe to
Tamaulipas to Texas would be that much cheaper than blockade-running,
given that the Mexicans could impose stiff tariffs, etc.? (Indeed, at
first "sometimes excessive duties were levied" according to Owsley, p.
118, but that changed once Vidaurri got control of Tamualipas in the
spring of 1862.) In any event, according to Owsley (pp. 258-9) Matamoros
was in fact blockaded, in the sense that "An American fleet watched just
outside the bar, and many ships were seized (most of them were ultimately
freed by the United States Supreme Court, but not until the war was about
over), and the greater part of the other ships were subjected to the
rigors of an ordinary blockade."
See
http://www.tsha.utexas.edu/handbook/online/articles/VV/fvi24.html for
more on Vidaurri (though curiously it fails to mention his 1861 offer to
bring northern Mexico into the Confederacy). As it notes, he was
eventually to side with Maximilian and to be executed without a trial on
the latter's fall.
Any thoughts? If the Confederates had accepted the offer, would Vidaurri
in any event have been able to get other northern Mexican states to follow
the lead of Nuevo Leon y Coahuila into the Confederacy? And finally, is
there any chance that after the war, a victorious US would choose to keep
some or all of the Confederacy's Mexican states as I suggested some years
ago at
http://groups.google.com/group/soc.history.what-if/msg/9c3d82105c8cc62b ?
[1] Seeking to establish an independent "Republic of Sierra Madre" was a
standard accusation against northern Mexican *caudillos.* Tyler thinks
(p. 22) that in Vidaurri's case "the charge might have had some
substance."