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What if the Germans managed to take and hold the logistic hub of Amiens during the Kaiserschlacht offensive? According to Foch, Haig, Petain, Clemenceau, Wilson, and Llyod-George, this was the one objective that the Germans could take that would prompt the Allies to make peace after the US entered the war, because it would cut off the British from 43% of their supplies, separate the French and British armies, and potentially cause the British to fall back on the Channel Ports to ensure proper supply, which would have caused the French government to collapse and a peace government to rise.
As far as how the Germans could have done this, there were several chances to do so had Ludendorff not screwed up. But I'm not interested in talking about the how, but the results of Amiens falling and staying in German hands for long enough to provoke a diplomatic response. Is this enough for the Germans to eek out a peace deal?
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