alternatehistory.com

Lets say a POD similar to this below:
https://www.alternatehistory.com/forum/threads/a-better-show-in-1940.103866/

But the Germans don't actually invade Britain, saving the extra aircraft for Barbarossa.

The result of these extra Aircraft and Britain more on her heels is that the Germans tighten the siege of Leningrad and Moscow.

By October 30th
Around Moscow the Germans, get closer and take:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vnukovo_International_Airport
and put Moscow under fire.

Around Leningrad they seize the:
Pulkovo Heights
And reduce the size of the:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oranienbaum_Bridgehead
by about a half

Stalin, is stunned that his capital is under fire, so through Bulgaria asks the Germans what terms for an armistice would they give.

Hitler is glad for this break. He knows his armed forces are stretched, tires of the staggering loses, was waffling if to launch one more late plunge to seize Moscow and was frustrated much of what he has taken was wrecked.

Hitler proposes.
1) Status quo at current military lines.
1) In addition Soviets to give up Rostov, Sevastopol, Maikop, Tupase and the rest of Kuban, with no demolitions or evacuations of population.
2) In compensation: Germans to pull back in front of Moscow and Leningrad (near March 43 line)
3) All POWs returned.
4) No partisan war by either (at least state sponsored)
5) Germans allowed one 50 car train every week back and forth to Japan.

This is agreed to by November 7th by both sides and the exchanges in territory and POWs are to begin immediately.

The armistice is for two full years.

What are the effects of this. The Germans gain a large undamaged source of oil at Maikop (its undamaged production was considerable in 1941) and have time to repair infrastructure in the large areas they have conquered and for a while the attrition has stopped and can send considerable air power and a few picked divisions to the med even if the bulk of the army has to remain in the east..

The Soviets have time to repair the cities, rebuild their armed forces, complete the resettlement of factories further east. The Soviets, especially after the Americans are in and fully engaged, and fully plan to attack at the end of the armistice in November 43.
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