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I've been reading recently about the 1974 wargame at Sandhurst. In the intial invasion on 22 September 1940, the Germans were able to land 80,000 men in England and only lost 25% of their barges. The Home Fleet did not attack the barges for fear of air attack. The Second landing had barge losses of 65% because the luftwaffe didn't get permission from Hitler to switch from bombing London to bombing the Home Fleet. What if The actual Sealion had played out just like the wargame but Hitler gave permission for the luftwaffe to attack the Home Fleet. In this scenario, a signifcantly higher percentage of barges on the second landing attempt would get through which would mean more tank, heavy artillery and men. Would Britain still win?
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