George H.W Bush Assassinated!

On April 13, 1993 six men under the commands of Saddam Hussein attempted to assassinate former President George Bush in Kuwait City. What would the effects of this plot succeeding be?
 
Maybe there would be a sooner Second Gulf War. If that were to happen, we would probably delay the invasions of Somalia and the Balkans until after the Clinton Administration. Jeb would probably win the Florida Gubernatorial Election of 1994 (rather than losing as he did OTL). He may have been the Bush elected President in 2000 (he was always the more ambitious of the two).

Alternately, it might have next to no effect. It is a *former* President, after all.
 
I imagine nothing more than retaliatory airstrikes. I don't really think Clinton would invade Iraq over it. The most I see is a demand of conspirators from Hussein and he just extradites some lackeys he doesn't care for.
 
It's very likely we'd have had war. If airstrikes were used, Clinton would go for Saddam himself as revenge. (He defeated Bush, but was more than willing to continue many Bush policies.)
If Saddam was killed, I'm not sure who would succeed him. His sons might, or Hussein Kamil might step in. It's also likely that the Kurds (who were uinder US protection) and the Shi'ites in the South might take advantage of this and try to revolt.
I think that Hussein Kamil had the WMD destroyed by then, but if someone else took over, things might be revived, or the scientists might pull an A.Q. Khan.
 

Cook

Banned
If they had succeeded and then been captured and interrogated I think the consequences would have been massive.

An unequivocal link between Saddam and a successful assassination of the US President would definitely have resulted in “Regime Change”, either by constant targeted air strikes until Saddam was confirmed dead or his deputies got sick of it and handed him over, or some more high scale action.

The successful assassination of the President by a foreign power is not a precedent that any President, even Clinton, would tolerate.
 
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