Geopolitics of a surviving Union of Sovereign States

Say the 1991 Soviet coup doesn't happen or is prevented and Gorbachev successfully turns the Soviet Union into the Union of Sovereign States

Would the USS support the Georgian breakaway states

Would NATO expand into eastern Europe
 
Would the USS support the Georgian breakaway states
That would mostly depend on the government in Georgia and how much it is in line with the Union State. If things get really bad between them, the Union State might even outright annex S. Ossetetia and Abkhazia, seeing as it has a reasonable claim on two former ASSRs who want to rejoin, something the Russian Federation doesn't.

It would probably be the stronger partner in its relationship with China, but relations with Iran would likely be worse than OTL's Russia's relations.

NATO would still expand, though maybe not into the Baltics. Focusing on relations with the Union State would be a more reasonable alternative to a fully pro-western stance in some European states' elections than Russia currently is.
 
Depends on the context. If Georgia was actually a rogue regime that seemed like it was about to commit horrible crimes in those two regions or if the Union's relations with western countries are at an apex (as Europe would be incredibly dependant on it for gas, oil too to an extent) then it could avoid serious sanctions. If this country's similar to OTL Russia, but stronger, they'd sanction it even more to weaken it.
 

BigBlueBox

Banned
A logical American administration would play the USS and Chinese against each other. If that means ignoring what Russia does in the Caucasus, then that is a price America would be willing to play - especially if the USS is willing to help America contain Iran.
 
Azerbaijan stays intact, as even if the Armenians do break away they won't be invading the USS.
 
Adam Ulam wrote in Understanding the Cold War: A Historian's Personal Reflections, "One must agree with the hapless [August] conspirators on one thing: there was no earthly chance that the proposed new constitution could hold the country together. It was at once vague and too specific, vague in delineating the authority of the center, but very specific in granting constituent units powers amounting to virtual independence." https://books.google.com/books?id=wgtCaPUPIlwC&pg=PA354
 

iVC

Donor
USS would be extremely busy balancing the budget and trying to redistribute the authority between the Moscow Center and the Republics.

No active foreign policy till the 2000s.
 
Azerbaijan stays intact, as even if the Armenians do break away they won't be invading the USS.
Why would the Armenians be the ones to break away and not the Azeris? The Armenian victory in their first war was due to the fact that Armenians had better trained officers due to being seen as more reliable by Moscow.
 
Why would the Armenians be the ones to break away and not the Azeris? The Armenian victory in their first war was due to the fact that Armenians had better trained officers due to being seen as more reliable by Moscow.
Armenia didn't participate in either the 1991 Soviet Union referendum or the New Union Treaty while Azerbaijan did both
 
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