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The 1887 Schnaebele Incident nearly led to war between France and Germany. But what if went down?

From the Wikipedia

The week-long incident, between 21 and 28 April, had such threatening and provocative language from both sides, as to cause serious concern of war. A large section of the German press demanded that Germany make no concession. In France, the Cabinet voted 6 to 5 against an ultimatum demanding the release of Schnaebelé with an apology, which would almost certainly have meant war, as had happened with the Ems Dispatch in 1870.[9] The proposed ultimatum had been put forward by French war hawk and Minister of War Georges Ernest Boulanger, who also brought in a bill to mobilise an army corps.

So say for whatever reason the cabinet goes the other way, and a shooting war breaks out?
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