Unfortunatly only one vote allowed.
Well, given an early CP-victory most likely (IMHO) both would stay "democratic", if you wanna call the unwritten constitutional monarchy of Britain or the carussel-like parliamentary ochlocraty of the 3rd Republique democracies.
In a late CP-victory the "peace"-conditions are very likely almost(?) as harsh on France as they were IOTL on Germany, what would IMO cause a radicalization of France, which IMO would be led by the "traditional" socialists/communists, perhaps on lines of a "national bolshevism".
As I render generally a late CP-victory more probable I've voted for selection 2