alternatehistory.com

First comparison:
1. An US in which the deep south leaves/stays out of the union before 1812
2. An US in which New England leaves/stays out of the union before/around 1812

Would 1 or 2 be more successful, how would history go in each one? Keep in mind the Slave/Free state balance, among other things.

Second comparison:
3. Same as 1, but Virginia joins the deep south in some sort of confederation
4. same as 2, but New York joins the New Englanders

The states take the western territories belonging to them in each case.

Basically, is the US better off with middle+south or middle+northeast
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