Sure, as long as they order two in 1913. Lutzow was laid down a month and a half after Derfflinger and her later commissioning date is probably down to wartime material shortages; laying down a battlecruiser at the same time as Hindenburg likely means she and her sister commission within a couple months of each other near the OTL 1917 commissioning date.
The Konigs are going to be unchanged, they predate intel on the move to 15" guns and the 12" was considered sufficient to pierce the 12" belts of British 13.5" battleships.
I agree with all of the above.
If we examine what the Germans had on the designers' boards.
For battlecruisers four new designs were presented by the Construction Dept. referred to as Grosskreuzers which doesn't need any translation. These will probably be the ATL Mackensen class, all armed with 8x38cm, the difference being the power plants: GK1 32 boilers, 110,000hp, 27 knots; GK2 36 boilers, 120,000hp, 27.25 knots; GK3 36 boilers, 115,000hp, 27 knots.
Following Skaggerak they looked at ships that could make 32 knots and carry 42cm guns. These were essentially paper studies and ended up with 45,000 tons displacement; GK4541 differed from GK4542 in number of boilers & turret layout
For battleships there were the Linienschiffs (ships of the line) which would be the Kaiserliche Marine versions of fast battleships aiming for a speed of 25 knots, again presented in April 1916. L1 was a faster version of Bayern but with six additional boilers producing 65,000hp on a maximum load of 38,500 tons. L2 had 10x38cm in five turrets, with Caesar turret superfiring over Anton & Bruno on a huge barbette, which would almost certainly suffer stability issues and drag back the maximum speed. L3 had the same 4x38cm layout as L1 with a thick armoured deck, but had a powerplant developing (a doubtful) 95,000hp on 43,000 tons.
Design L20e was presented to the Admiralty in August 1917 with 8x42cm guns with the same armour layout as Bayern but with stronger deck & underwater protection. The 22 boilers were expected to produce just short of 100,000hp to drive 42,000 tons as 23.5 knots. Although Skoda had designed & tested a 42cm rifle, the cozy relationship between Germany's naval administration & Krupps meant that a new design was mandated rather than a less-profitable license arrangement. As this was not approved until September 1918, no prototypes were built. Anyway, the design was, by now, not fast enough for Scheer.
I don't know the world in which these navies will exist, but working on the basis that the British and building to meet a German threat, which must be extant and building more or bigger ships now (& then in the future as a response to the British, who then react...), so the probability is some or all of the above can be built at some stage, perhaps earlier than was possible instead of OTL classes.
Thanks guys. That does help a lot.
That was me, this post
The Battle of Jutland or as the Germans call it the Battle of Skagerrak is a turning point in warship design and development and a well documented and
www.tapatalk.com
In the "Experiences from the Battle of Jutland both sides" thread.
Regards,
Thanks! I will see if I can track down a more detail on that one, but I may simply appropriate that into my TL. I will have to work out the justification for adopting it, which would be easier if I knew why it was not adopted IOTL. But, until I find out that it cannot be done, I am going to assume the ships I have posted here can fire on the centreline.
In the thesis that discusses the RN and its swap to all oil, it suggests that early on, the Humber was not considered a good area for storage tanks given the 'wet swampy ground' yet that seems to have been overcome quite quickly, any ideas what happened to overcome that problem or could it have been a mistake in the thesis?
Also, have to got to wonder if we can get a driver for RAS using buoyant rubber hoses rather than the steel or bronze used in the OTL and using abeam Underway RAS with the hoses carried by derricks or jackstays using the ‘trough’ method than than the trailing the hoses behind the tanker.
I am not sure if it was a case that they could not build them near the Humber, but that it was more expensive, and harder to find the open space. I do have to do some more work on the details of the oil plan. Going back through it I realized I misremembered some of the figures for peacetime to wartime consumption.
For all the better ships the Germans could make they'd still have the shittest Naval Command structure it was possible to conceive.
If the British did take more technical risks and go more cutting edge would one German response to be that they can't afford a terrible Naval Command structure and reform it?
Maybe, but I am not sure they could afford it IOTL. I am not sure if what I have done here would be enough for the Germans to see that their Command Structure was flawed and come up with a better one. How do you think they could have improved?
@steamboy and
@McPherson - valid points. Let me work through them:
The issue with these ships is you're going to need longer docks, even if you put an oil fired Iron duke into service and add more power with her hull form you're going to need to make it longer to get any real benefit. Even the QE's when new never hit 25 knots, and they could do 24 knots when going flat out and they might have hit 25 knots if you flogged their engines and they were light. So getting the Iron Dukes to hit 25 knots you're going to need them to be longer which will require longer drydocks etc.
True, to an extent. For starters, the QE's didn't meet their designed speed to a large extent because the design and building process was kind of a mess. When the spec increased from 27,500 tons to 29,000 they did not redesign to account for it, they just added more to the same hull. And then during construction the weight of fittings were not put under proper QC. This is a normal part of ship construction and one that the RN had done before on earlier ships. But for the QE's some unnecessarily heavy fittings got past. the QE's ended up well overweight. Post war, when the QE's were actually able to go through trials, the DNC calculated that on 27,500 tons it would have made its design speed of 25 knots. Going past that and taking advantage of the increased energy density of oil requires redesigning the machinery, most particularly the propellers, to take advantage of it. This was not done on the QE's IOTL. ITTL it is done on the Iron Dukes which should push the speed up to 23-24 knots.
To get to 25 knots, the hull does need to be lengthened, that is true. However, the ID's are still not going to be the longest ships in the RN. That honour belongs to the BC's. The increased length of the Iron Dukes will not mean that they cannot dock anywhere, but it will reduce the number of docks that they can use. The QE's will have the same hull, but different, more powerful and efficient machinery, and about 3000 tons less displacement. The Agincourts could be an issue, at they were designed as 96 ft wide and 680 ft between perpendiculars. Hood, as OTL probably only has a few places she can dock.
However, I have done some work on dealing with this. In the RN's building craze in the 1880's a system was set up whereby the RN could borrow money to extend their facilities when needed separately to the annual naval estimates. This was done away with in the early 1900's when Asquith was Chancellor as a cost saving measure since the economy was in a bit of a slump at the time and the Liberals needed money to run their social programs. Looking at the economic and expenditure numbers in my TL so far, I think I can reasonably save this item from the axe. That would allow the RN to more easily expand facilities in an ongoing manner. I am still crunching numbers, both financial and ship size/dock size to determine how strategically mobile these vessels will be, but rest assured the facilities exist to build them and base them in Britain for WW1.
The R's are going to have to be completely rebuilt and would be a different beast but again they're going to be longer, larger ships, I'd suggest instead of going for flat out speed, go for guns and maybe have the introduction of a 16-inch gun. on a 23 - 24 knot platform.
They are a different beast ITTL. Rather than QE writ smaller and with heavier armour, the QE's are based on the U1 design spec of OTL. 25 knots with 56,000 shp on 27,000 tons using coal with oil spraying. The OTL Revenges gained about 9000 shp and 2 knots when they were completed as oil firing. Doing the same to U1 gets 27 ish knots. I haven't mentioned small tube boilers or geared turbines with the R's but, depending on the financial situation at the time I could see them being installed. Fisher would definitely want them, I am just not positive that he would get them. Regardless, I am pretty confident that at least 26.5 knots is doable in their case, and that they could match the QE's if I really want to go all out on them.
I am sure that Fisher would probably want 16" guns as well, but the R's were supposed to be a bit of a concession to those on the Admiralty board who are a little less excited by the QE's. Now that doesn't really work out with Fisher coming back into the top spot, but that is the thought. A new calibre of gun when the 15" was just introduced with the QEs seems like it would complicate logistics more than the extra length would.
RE the Admiral class the RN was hesitant to adopt triple turrets, even though they had designers in the UK who built them (for the Imperial Russian navy) so MAYBE have the Agincourt class trial them with 3 x triple mounts and if they're successful you either go for 4 x triples or 8 x 16-inch guns.
They were indeed hesitant with the Triple turret. But they were willing to consider it at several points. Triples were considered as a way to get more guns on to the R's IOTL. The DNC was asked about adding triple turrets to the Hood design IOTL. He determined it could be done, with a slight increase in displacement and some relatively minor changes to the internal layout. From what I understand the DNC was in favour of it.
I suppose this speaks to one of the largest changes to TTL compared to OTL. The Admiralty itself. IOTL the amount of officers in decision roles in the Admiralty that had technical or staff training was surprisingly small. They went through HMS Britannia system to learn the same basic things that they would learn at any British boarding school and then went to sea. Some of them picked up an technical understanding if they were of that bent or found someone to mentor them. But otherwise they learned how to operate and (hopefully) to command ships, but not how they worked. A naval staff was not established until mid way through WW1. A staff collage was only established in 1900. And Engineers were only allowed to achieve flag rank around the same time. ITTL some level of basic technical training is included in the Britannia education program (reflecting a greater emphasis on it nation wide actually), a staff collage is established in the 1870's and a naval staff is established in the 1880's reflecting similar changes in the Army (from OTL). Since it takes about 40-50 years to go from cadet to decision maker in the RN this means that the people now in charge have a much more professional and much more technical background than OTL. If I was more of a masochist than I am I would try and go through chart the specific changes that may make to individual officers careers. As it is, I am using it for basis to change the careers of a few of them, and to change the tone of some of the Boards decisions. Specifically, I figure when Fisher comes out with ideas that are another leap forward in capability, the board can hear him out and parse his train of thought more effectively. And though the result will still be a compromise, it will be closer to what Fisher was aiming for than OTL.
Assuming that this hugely expensive program somehow gets passed and the Germans don't react before the sheer scale and scope of the ships being built is known then the Germans are in HUGE trouble.
Against 6 x Lion/Tiger type ships and 2 x AU QE's the 1st Scout Group is in serious crap, and that's before you count the 6 x I class battlecruisers as well! There's simply no way they can operate without the HSF acting as a backstop in case the 1st SG runs into problems if they're intercepted by the Battlecruisers.
It is expensive, and I am still crunching numbers to make sure it is reasonable with the parameters I have laid out. But so far it is doable, particularly spread over some time.
That is my thought as well. Though the I's are mostly deployed to trade routes or the Med. What I am not sure of, is if the HSF will respond to this by bringing out the whole fleet for more of the opps done in OTL by the BC's alone, or if they will basically just content themselves with a fleet in being for the most part. One makes a decisive fleet action more likely, one less.
The only real weakness is if the U-boats are given very very specific orders. Go for tankers. The RN will need to have a major oil supplier and the tankers, if unescorted and un-convoyed are a major point of failure.
True enough. AIUI such an order was given in OTL and that helped to cause the oil crisis of 1917. The commerce war is another "theater" that I am looking at closely. It is an interesting numbers game.
d. maintenance loads are not a square, but a cube function as the machinery increases in power output.
I think I roughly addressed your earlier points in my response to steamboy so I will start with this one.
I have moved up the shift to more maintenance heavy machinery, yes. Oil firing does actually make for a simpler system in boilers though, so that helps balance it somewhat. The main maintenance are in small tube boilers and geared turbines.
Gears are a failure point, and that was probably why they were not used extensively in warships before Parsons invented his creeping gear cutter in 1912. before that any flaw in the cutting system caused a flaw in the gearing. This caused significant vibration and gear grinding. With Parsons system the issue was markedly reduced. They are still another moving part in the system, but they are not an extremely error prone one after 1912. Now I am putting a lot of faith in Parsons in this one. Having the Admiralty adopt geared turbines the same year as Parsons invents the cutting technique is a stretch. But I am banking on Fishers technocratic nature, and the board being more wiling to humour him working with Parsons extreme credibility in the technical field at this time to carry it through. Its a stretch, but I think it is doable.
Small tube boilers do indeed require more maintenance, though this reduces as the technology matures. Balancing this out somewhat is the fact that far fewer boilers are needed for the same power level. This does mean more of your power is lost if a boiler goes down, but your engineering staff have fewer units to worry about for the same power.
e. fast-slow same fleet tactical control problem. Only takes one junior admiral to mangle unitary command and control and you have him in Beatty. Jutland Lesson to be Learned, but Dogger Bank is the pre-test.
It is indeed. I have tried to address this with the organizational changes I have made.:
A.K Wilson returned to the Admiralty for the war in OTL as an advisor. But he was one of the RN's best tactical minds and demonstrated several times in his career that he could manage several disparate fleets spread over a wide area. Having him as Commander of the North Sea Fleet gives him the opportunity to do that from a land based location with access to intel sources that would not be available to a commander at sea. Basically it would be his job to manage the fleets to get them in contact with the enemy and have them ready to support each other when contact is made. Operational command, IOW.
Jellicoe is probably the best fleet admiral the RN had at the time. Having him as commander afloat and in charge of tactical training gives him the chance to focus his talents while allowing Wilson to handle the rest. Tactical Fleet control IOW.
The commander of the BCF is harder. There are a number of possible options that I think would do well. Nonetheless just having someone that will follow basic radio and signals protocol would help. And this would also allow the BCF to be more of an extension of the fleet as a whole, rather than a separate kingdom of Beatty's.
f. from where is that extra steel? It is cheap, but there are "British" limits as to armor and gun foundry and even technical experts. Only seven men know how to mill armor plate correctly in the UK in 1912. Maybe five in the US. Rolled homogenous battleship Armor plate is an ART form, not a science before the 1930s and even then it can be so easily screwed up. (Bethlehem steel Class A is the US example.). No wonder Krupp resisted changing their own proven formulas and methods before and during WWII. Even the British will have trouble with KGV plate with some lots being considered unacceptable. UK WWI battleship armor plate will not be as varied since Vickers et al have a lot of practice, but I expect the British will still have a 20% unacceptable reject rate. That is a lot of wastage (About 100,000 tonnea?). All of it, accepted and rejected, up to 38 cm thick, will be vulnerable to Midvale. ALL of it. Nasty lessons to be RN learned.
Gun pits.
Nothing is more complex to figure out on a battleship than how to integrate aiming and laying guns on a barbette. That problem is why complete feed paths, hoists, lifts, pass throughs, gun slides and pits on the turntable are mounted on land in test pits and proof fired on a range to test complete system function before being torn apart and transported to be installed on the assigned ship. Not to mention the trouble with communications and POWER to move and fine control the ammunition from propellant and shell stowage to present at the breech elevate and slue the guns and even fire them on the time mark. All of that folderol takes a lot of time and it takes dedicated, metered, instrumented and preset "test stands" or more properly surveyed-in gun pits. Britain had eighteen of them. These had to be designed or modified for the specific bore and caliber of the guns to be weapon-proofed.
IIUC you are saying that building these ships takes a certain industrial capacity. This is very true. And I am trying to crunch the numbers to determine if it is reasonable. What is definitely a possible point of failure in my scenario is the number of ships on the slips in 1913-1915 period. It may be overkill. In which case I will probably end up dropping or delaying the Agincourt class.
I have to disagree with you on one point though. To the best of my knowledge the pits did not need extensive modification to take a different calibre of gun. As long as the cranes were weighted heavy enough and the pits are physically large enough then they should be able to handle different calibres in the same pit. The gun manufacturers would have had to upgrade their facilities if they were lacking with the introduction of the 15" in the QE's. So they should have pits available for 15"/42.
Britain had to proof:
12 inch 45
13.5 inch 45
14 inch (private contracts for Japan for the Kongo.)
import US 14 inch (pre-proofed in the US but still have to be tested again before installed on British barbettes.)
15 inch 45
And among the bore sizes the ballistics to be tested? How about 4 different projectile classes for the 12 inch 45 alone?
This means that for any PoD, that involves this subset of problems, any new bore caliber class set introduced needs at least one, preferable two, gun pits dedicated for assembly and complete testing of the barbette systems complete with gun house so that even the countermass balance, recoil and recuperation problems can be sorted out on the slide or trunnion before moving the system from the gun pit to the barbette well on the assigned ship.
I am unsure of what you are saying with this. I have not introduced any new calibres over OTL. All of this would be equally a problem in OTL and one which was dealt with.
So... when thinking about naval artillery, if it ain't broke, don't fix it in a PoD. Twin turrets proofed in 15 inch 43 (Queen Elizabeths and R-classes and on the battlecruisers) make sense if they work to sink Mackensens. Don't monkey with it. Can one smell what the Rock is cooking?
THAT is the reason the Americans stuck with the STANDARDS. There is a reason why US battleships followed the same design logics once a system of systems had been "solved". Historically whenever "new" was introduced, the USN has had nothing but trouble until the bugs had been worked out by the third or fourth iterative attempt AND then backfit to the first three mistakes.
In WW1 the USN had ships afloat armed with:
12"/35
12"/40
12"/45
12"/50
13"/35
14"/45
14"/50
In both double and triple turrets
The addition of a triple turret to an already proven gun seems a small increase for a single class.
Anyway... If the British are going to introduce oil firing boilers, geared turbines, and new gun system of systems and the associated system proofing and command and control hickups and fire control and ammunition handling issues, they engender and then drop Beatty into this PoD mess to replace the ever competent Jellicoe?
Already mentioned that Beatty is not replacing Jellicoe. There are a number of competent candidates to do so. Assuming that Jellicoe gets pushed upstairs at the same time as OTL.
Whoo, that was a long one. Apologies if I have missed responding to someone.