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If Al Gore won in 2000, who do you think would run in the 2004, 2008, 2012 and 2016 elections, who do you think would get each nomination, and who would win? I know butterflies make it hard to predict, especially the last 2 elections, but heres my scenario:

(2004 GOP Primary: John McCain v Bill Frist v Rudy Guiliani v Gary Johnson)
2004: President Al Gore / VP Joe Lieberman defeats Senator John McCain / Senator George Allen


(2008 GOP Primary: Jeb Bush v Mike Huckabee v Mitt Romney v Ron Paul)
(2008 Dem Primary: Hillary Clinton v Barack Obama v John Edwards v Joe Lieberman)
2008: Governor Jeb Bush / Governor Mike Huckabee defeats Senator Hillary Clinton / Senator John Edwards


(2012 Dem Primary: Martin O'Malley v Russ Feingold v Brian Schweitzer v Mark Warner)
2012: President Jeb Bush / VP Mike Huckabee defeats Governor Martin O'Malley / Governor Brian Schweitzer


(2016 GOP Primary: VP Mike Huckabee v Jon Huntsman v Rand Paul v Bob McDonnell)
(2016 Dem Primary: Barack Obama v Andrew Cuomo v John Hickenlooper v Brian Schweitzer)
2016: Senator Barack Obama / Senator Mark Warner defeats Vice President Mike Huckabee / Governor Susanna Martinez


Note: 9/11 still happens; Afghan War still happens; no Iraq invasion in first Gore term; financial crash still happens; Arab Spring still happens; successful NATO intervention in Iraq in order to help rebels during 2011-12 uprising leads to Saddam Hussein fall from power in 2012; weak economic growth throughout much of Bush presidency but debt lower than in OTL; Obama win in 2016 is very close.

Do you think my scenario is likely, or does anyone have a better one?

EDIT: I just realised Kirsten Gillibrand can't be the 2016 Democrat VP because Hillary won't have given up her New York senate seat to become Secretary of State since Jeb Bush won in 2008. So while its possible Hillary could have decided not to run for re-election as senator in 2012, and so Gillibrand could still be a senator in 2016, I decided to change Obama's 2016 VP to Mark Warner.
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