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I was reading about the deposition of Louis Philippe and I saw some similarities between his decheance and that of Louis XVI. What if Louis had opted for somewhere in Normandy or Bretagne (predominantly royalist) or made like Provence (over the border to the Austrian Netherlands) instead of deciding on Metz (which IIRC was the strongest fortress in France).
Louis Philippe got across the Channel under the name of Mr Smith. And many of the emigres had fled to London; not to mention that Queen Charlotte prepared apartments for Louis XVI, Antoinette and their children at Buckingham Palace; Antoinette's jewelry was partly in the keeping of the wife of the British ambassador; and she had made friends with the famous Georgiana Spencer-Cavendish, duchess of Devonshire with whom she corresponded in passable (if not fluent English).