Bloody.How would that have looked?
Anyone have an idear for a flag etc??
How would that have looked? Anyone have an idear for a flag etc??
It took the Latvians till the 1960's to surrender. Finland would hold out that long, I think.3.) There would be some guerrilla resistance in Finland against the occupation but it would die off like resistane in Baltic States.
No. Many of them would flee to Sweden. Some people would be arrested, very few would be shot, much more would survive till 1956 and be released.4.) Local intelligentsia would be liquidated.
And almost all of them would become by 1980-ies uncompetitive compared to Western producers, because total planning and vast guaranteed Soviet market would kill business skills. In OTL Finns were free to trade with non-Soviet partners, and they were compelled to compete with best industries of the world. In this TL all Finnish external trade, as well as economy as whole, would be controlled by Moscow, or even owned by Soviet state (in the scenario with Soviet annexation of Finland).5.) As a satellite country or part of Soviet Union Finland would most likely be heavily industrialised like it historically was when part of Soviet Five Year Plans after the war. Main products would be ships, advanced metal products and consumer goods.
2.) Sweden would join NATO
7.) If Finland was a satellite country it would play the role which East Germany had in OTL - the most developed socialist country.
8.) After collapse of the USSR a Soviet Republic of Finland would regain independence and the country would be larger than OTL Finland due to addition of Soviet Karelian territories. There would be problems with Russian minority similar to Estonia of today.
Which influence would this have on NATO and EU, politically and strategically ? Would Sweden and Norway join EU during the Cold War and be less euroskeptic ?
No. Many of them would flee to Sweden. Some people would be arrested, very few would be shot, much more would survive till 1956 and be released. Majority of Finnish intellectuals would be allowed to undergo "Socialist re-education" and retain their places in society, with obvious consequences for the Finnish culture.
In OTL Finns were free to trade with non-Soviet partners, and they were compelled to compete with best industries of the world. In this TL all Finnish external trade, as well as economy as whole, would be controlled by Moscow, or even owned by Soviet state (in the scenario with Soviet annexation of Finland).
Which influence would this have on NATO and EU, politically and strategically ? Would Sweden and Norway join EU during the Cold War and be less euroskeptic ?
I doubt it would be the most developed one, but certainly the second or third one, after East Germany and possibly Poland.
Well, Soviet terror in Estonia (taken here as proxy for Soviet Finland) wasn't that harsh (you said "liquidation of intelligentsia", yes?). At the height of second occupation purges, in 1944-1945, some 100-200 Estonians were shot, and majority of them were "forest brethren", not intelligentsia.I don't see any particular reason why Finnish intelligentsia would not suffer as harshly as Estonian one. Actually, Finnish intelligentsia would fare even worse due to questionable acts in 1918. There would be much sense of revenge, some even justified, in communist actions.
Täpseid andmeid eestlaste kohta, kellele sel perioodil mõis
teti surmanuhtlus, meil kahjuks ei ole. Üleliiduline statistika
näitab, et neid ei olnud kuigi palju. Terve1944. a. jooksul mõisteti
terves NSVL-s surma 3110, 3027 lasti maha ja ülejäänud
poodi. 1945.aastal oli surmamõistetute üldarv NSVL-s 2308
(2260 lasti maha, ülejäänud poodi).
Absurdne oleks ilmselt arvata, et eestlased moodustasid hukatutestpõhiosa, neid võis ehk olla 100–200.
No. Category Total Survived Irreversible losses 2nd Soviet occupation 1944 – 89
17. Arrested 30 000 20 000 10 000
18. Deported 23 000 20 000 3 000
19. Perished during the
guerrilla war
3 000 3 000
20. Arrested for political
reasons 1953—88 300
Most probably yes, and there would be much more Scandinavianism as well as Swedish minority of Finland would most likely migrate to Sweden and thus Scandinavian languages would be only spoken in Scandinavian countries, for example. All the advances brought by Nordic co-operation in OTL (such as Scandinavian passport-free area etc.) would be brought in more quickly as there would be no Finnish political leadership trying to act as a brake.
But versa EU? Most probably not. Atleast regarding Norway (I do not know that much about Swedish politics)