April, 1863
London
Benjamin Disraeli looked on with a smirk as, once again, Russell and Palmerston were forced to take the defensive in Parliament. For his own part, Disraeli had stopped bothering to rise and speak himself. There were plenty of others to hurl abuse upon the beleaguered Ministry without his help. Most of Disraeli's time was spent working behind the scenes to forge an alliance of Conservatives, Radicals and like-minded Liberals. It was painstaking work and had proven quite frustrating.
But Disraeli had another reason to take his time. The ongoing events in America, Europe and Asia appeared to be emerging disasters for Britain. Did Disraeli REALLY want to be part of the Ministry that inherited those problems and were expected to fix them?
The British public had to read in the American newspapers that Victoria had fallen (a bit of an embarrassment to the Queen that her namesake was now in American hands, perhaps to be renamed "Lincoln" or some such). While dispatching ships to regain the colony would not be a problem, finding men available to evict the American army would be much more of a challenge. If 5000 American soldiers had indeed seized the Island of Vancouver, then the resources necessary to take them back may be better used elsewhere, like against the other 100,000 or so Americans now massing against the Canadian border.
By 1863, Britain had reinforced British North America with 30,000 British regulars to supplement the 15,000 colonials of Canada and the Maritimes in arms. Further, a militia had been formed which theoretically could provide another 20,000 armed men....for whatever militia was worth.
Unlike 1776 and 1813, the Americans would not launch a half-assed attack of ill-equipped amateurs with severe logistical difficulties. Now, experienced combat veterans with modern arms were delivered to within miles of the border by railroad. As most of Canada's population lay within a few dozens miles of the America border, this offered a dismal picture indeed. Already, there was talk that Britain's best chance of retaining Canada is to raze every American coastal town to the ground via the Navy.
But Disraeli would point out on the floor of Parliament that torching Manhattan hadn't exactly laid America low. It only infuriated them more.
As bad as the loss of Canada was....and it would be bad....it was still nothing compared to even a hint of a threat to India. 3.5 million Canadians (and Maritimes) provided utility for the Empire but India was call the Jewel in the British Crown for a reason.
The Russian advances into the Balkans, cutting off Istanbul from the Anatolian and Near Eastern portions of the Ottoman Empire and vows to "protect the Orthodox co-religionists of the Holy Land" would only bring Russia another step towards direct intervention in India. Disraeli had his doubts that the Czars of Russia ever really had intended to do this but the fear remained omnipresent in British minds.
Within a month of entering the Balkans, Alexander II pronounced the "independence" of Serbia, Wallachia, Moldavia, Bulgaria, Bosnia and whatever else may be in the Balkans, Disraeli didn't really know or care. Greece, of course, was already liberated a generation ago back in the 1830's. Serbia, Moldavia and Wallachia were defacto independent, only giving token fealty to the Porte. However the Turkic boot remained firmly on Bulgaria's throat and the Turks barely made a majority in Eastern Thrace despite the presence of the Capital.
There was no reason to believe that the Russian influence in the Balkans or the Near east would NOT expand westwards into Europe, into Africa or to the subcontinent.
Palmerston and Russell, though they no doubt loathed the idea of going it alone, had to dispatch a squadron to the Dardanelles to challenge the Russians. Only here did Disraeli deign to rise and speak, politely inquiring if the government had declared war upon Russia.
If so, why the the House of Commons not informed?
If not, then would the Royal Navy be authorized to wage war without permission of the Queen in Parliament?
Russell attempted to hedge and bluster all he could but, after a series of incisive questions from Disraeli, was forced to state that the Admiral in command would have to make the decision on the spot to intervene or not against the Russian Navy. This brought an uproar amongst even the Ministry's allies. ONE ADMIRAL had the power to determine if Britain waged war upon Russia?
And how would this war be fought?
Britain had a few regiments in the Mediterranean but no one seriously believe that the nation would challenge the Russians on land be it in the Balkans or anywhere else.
Finally, rumors of the Foreign Secretary's approaches to France and Austria to renew an alliance were addressed and Russell was forced to confess that early inquiries were being made "as had always been customary since time immemorial".
This brought up another roar of outrage to Disraeli's amusement. With his characteristic witty repartee, Disraeli pointed out that France had attempted to betray Britain and her other allies in the Crimean war by attempting to negotiate a separate peace with Russia which would split hegemony of Europe between them. Then, just two years prior, the French had elicited British and Spanish support on a debt-collecting mission to Mexico only to find out that Napoleon III had no intention of leaving, instead turning Mexico into a client state.
NOW the government wanted to put their trust in France AGAIN?!!!!
Even the Queen demanded an interview with her Ministers over that one.
Palmerston and Russell's policies were falling apart. In truth, much of this was beyond Britain's control. The war in Europe and Russia's actions were not the fault of the Liberals. But the looming disaster in North America (Canada, the United States AND Mexico) could be easily laid at the feet of Palmerston and Russell.
That didn't even take into account the fact that Britain's unemployment in the midlands continued to increase due to lack of cotton, grain prices inched up by the day and the loss of sales to America (both the Union and Confederacy) were harming British exporters. Naturally, some of the latter were made up by the increased military spending but that just added more debt.
Disraeli doubted any of these situations would get better any time soon and resolved not to call for a vote of No Confidence until he was certainly Britain had enough of the Liberals for some time in the future.
Indeed, Disraeli was correct. The situation was getting worse by the day. There would be a two week lag but that was enough to keep Britain in the dark that America had crossed her borders in British North America yet again.
Western Prussia
The Rhineland area of Prussia and her allies had resisted firmly for months before finally giving way to the superior French forces.
Only at this point did a pivotal action determine the war in the west. The King of Hanover (a cousin to the British Queen) had long despaired at being surrounded by Prussia. It seemed only a matter of time before the Hohenzollerns removed him from his throne. This was a fear many of the smaller princes of Germany shared. They either obeyed the King of Prussia's whims or lost their patrimony.
Many of these minor princes had openly condemned Wilhelm for claiming Schleswig and Holstein for his own rather than what the rest of Germany felt should be the rightful or preferred ruling house (Augustenburg). Most remained silent only out of fear of Prussia. Even the entrance of the war by Austria and later France would not move these Dukes, Princes and Kings from Prussian submission.
However, the actions of the King of Hanover, whose Kingdom lay wedged between Brandenburg, Rhinish Prussia and now Prussian Holstein and Schleswig knew he must risk all else forever be a puppet (even if his family wasn't removed from the throne, which they likely would be sooner rather than later).
The King secretly negotiated with the King of France and, at a critical moment, declared war upon Prussia, cutting off the supply lines of the overstretched Prussians. Several other smaller crowned heads, Oldenburg and Hesse among them, would follow suite and throw their forces in with France.
This led to a serious breakthrough in the west and much of Rhinish Prussia had fallen to the new allies in the west.
Seeing this, King Wilhelm and his coterie of Ministers (Bismarck, Von Roon and Von Moltke) withdrew much of the forces attacking Bohemia as well as several Corps garrisoning Schleswig and Holstein and threw them against Hanover. By June, half of Hanover had fallen and the King had retreated to French lines in the west.
Attempts by Wilhelm to make peace with Austria came to nothing as the Emperor smelled blood and ordered his forces north again on a second summer campaign.