Speaking of artistic boom in the UoE, on other matters pertaining to social liberalism, what is happening in regard to abortion and homosexuality, both of which were legalized by the Bolsheviks in the 20s before Stalin rolled these back?

And are we going to see Dr Hirschfeld around soon?
Perhaps I should clarify with regards to the "Roaring Twenties in the U of E"...
Like in the US Roaring Twenties - which are definitely taking place ITTL, too, as Hemingway himself is a clear sign of -, libertine cultural groups existed alongside very conservative ones, and the two are not getting along well at all. The next authorial update about religious developments is going to emphasise this - most people in the Russian countryside, and in the towns, too, are shocked and disgusted by what some younger people, mostly in the big cities, are doing, how they look, dress, interact etc. We have ample evidence from the US about this clash, and in many parts of the UoE it's going to be even worse because the differences are even greater, some groups coming to the fore after Great War and Revolution are way more radical, while other segments of society never seemed to fit into the 20th century anyway even before 1905.
Similar kinds of clashes occurred elsewhere, too - I personally know most about Germany, see below, but the theme has sprung at me in many different sources from many different countries from that period.
The decriminalisation of abortion and homosexuality in Soviet Russia occurred when the Bolsheviks scrapped the entire penal code... and "omitted" to put homosexuality / sodomy back in. That kind of thing is not happening in TTL's UoE: the different federative republics are starting from this common legal code (sometimes actively taking other legal sources into consideratin from the very start, e.g. Islamic legal concepts in Turkestan and Northern Caucasus, and Finland had its own thing going anyway), and while they are beginning to diverge, I am fairly sure that at least Russia and Ukraine, the two big FRs, are not going to decriminalise homosexuality in the 1920s. Concerning abortion, the case is slightly different because medical reform, making modern, safe and clean methods available to everyone, is high up on the agenda of any Progressive government of the time, and our SRs are no exception, and it could be said to fit into the population control trend I mentioned, too. Both matters - homosexuality and abortion - are certainly going to be politically debated, and openly debated like they had never been before. But unlike homosexuality, where I don't yet a chance for legislative success, at least some relaxation on the penality of abortion I can imagine here or there.

Coming to Magnus Hirschfeld... well, he and his Institute for Sexual Science as well as his Scientific-Humanitarian Committee have been active since long before the Great War. The more open political and media landscape of the Weimar Republic provided them and the entire LGBT movement (which, back then, of course didn't understand itself as such) with more space for resonation, and their initiatives almost made it to a Reichstag majority. Almost. So, Hirschfeld is not a product of the post-war culture, but the much more widespread transgression of sexual boundaries in urban Weimar German culture (well, if we're being honest it was mostly a phenomenon pertaining to Berlin and to a lesser degree a select few other cities) certainly was. The Great War had diverse effects. It shattered beliefs and traditions and tore down cultural barriers - but what people made from that varied so greatly... hedonism stood alongside a rebirth of spiritualism (and sometimes they even mixed); a hard autocratic emphasis on rational organisation stood alongside a rising tide of drop-outs and counter-cultures. Staying with Hirschfeld for a moment: he was not at all uncontroversial even within the gay movement. Some accused him of "biologism", and indeed his kind "gays and lesbians as a third gender" theory did not find many adherents in other countries (and there were German gay and lesbian activists who opposed it, too). His club had been quite an elitist one throughout the Wilhelmine period, and it stayed an upper class phenomenon in Weimar, too, while other associations like the "Bund für Menschenrecht" were more socially diverse (and less biologistic, too).

Whether Hirschfeld will become the same kind of prominent advocate for the gay cause as IOTL depends on the development of Prussia. I won't disclose too much about Prussia at this point in time, but I can say this much: that geographical space is going to remain characterised, throughout the 1920s, by a relatively weak statehood. That does open many potential loopholes and opportunities for freedom - but also for anti-homosexual aggression, of course.

The UoE will not need Dr Hirschfeld to learn from; there are sufficient psychological and sociological theorists of gender issues around the globe at the time to draw on. Expect gay and lesbian rights' movements to flourish and become outspoken during the decade, featuring their own prominent voices. Just don't expect them to convince "Middle Russia" (to borrow an Americanism) any time soon. The debate is going to have different overtones than IOTL, but just like the Bolsheviks debated whether homosexuality was "bourgeois decadence", a "curable disease", or a group whose rights had been infringed and whose fight for freedom was their own fight, too., so the SRs will discuss, too. (And the IRSDLP, too. Even the KD are likely to be split over this issue.)
 
I get very well the contrast between cities and countryside. That was just to underline that politically, the collapse of old socio cultural norms made it easier to rebuild something more friendly to LGBT, like it happened in France after 1789. So, a major surge in social liberal activism from the cities is pretty much unavoidable at that point, especially within the framework of socialism; we would have a strong feminist movement, and its wake, other culturally and socially marginal groups like the LGBTs as kind of 'by products'.

If of any significance, there is the figure of Vladimir D. Nabokov to consider for a role in all this narrative.
Some may know him mostly as the famous writer's father, but he was a prominent KD politician and not without courage (given how he died).
Some may not know it too, but he was, it seems, active in defense of gay rights at the time, and had written a paper on the topic. Well, his son Sergey was gay himself.
In my own TL, I'll probably feature him spearheading a pro LGBT movement in Russia.
 
Great idea! I Had actually thought about Nabokov when I wrote about the KD being Split on the issue. The Mainstream of a Party drifting to the right and cosying up to all sorts of nostalgics is not going to support him in this TL, I fear, but in your TL, that might be different!

Feminism and women's positions in societies must definitely get its own update, too...
 
Talking about big moments 1920 Summer Olympics are first in 8 years and also first for UoE. How are they participating and when are they goin to be host country?
 
Talking about big moments 1920 Summer Olympics are first in 8 years and also first for UoE. How are they participating and when are they goin to be host country?
Weren't the Olympics before 1936 (OTL) a rather niche event, especially compared to what they are now?
 
As I understood it, 1924 and 1928 were horse-traded between the French and Dutch Olympic Committees, even the US found it hard to get past that cartel and obtain the 1932 nomination. Thus, I don't see the UoE hosting the event in the 1920s, either.

As for how the UoE particpates - Well, Finland had a NOC years before Russia had one, so there's the precedent against a common team. Therefore, I think that official policy is for each federative republic to create their own NOC. But just as Eric Robertson ran as a Brit because Newfoundland did not have a NOC in 1920, I believe potential Turkestani, Bessarabian, Belarusian and other recent or small republic's citizens might run, in 1920 at least, with their Russian co-athletes under a nominal "UoE" team. For 1924ff., expect each republic to have their athletes run under their own flag.
 
Well, Finland had a NOC years before Russia had one...
Hong Kong and Puerto Rico have their own NOCs and teams. So do the US Virgin Islands, the British Virgin Islands, the Netherlands Antilles, and several other dependencies.

England, Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland compete separately in World Cup soccer; also in international cricket and rugby. Golf and tennis players from those countries also represent them rather than the UK.
 
Are we ever getting a map of the Central Asian republic(s)?
Oh, look, a squirrel!!
*steals away from the thread*
No, seriously: I have been afraid of that question for quite a while. The map file is still somewhere on my drive, but every time I begin to work on it, the whole crazy complexity of it makes me despair. The map with demographic data I work on is from the Stalin era, maps with information about pre-Revolutionary ethnolinguistic makeup often don't match with it, and finding the reasons for these differences is not very easy, place names have changed and even the maps don't really seem to fit, which of course is impossible but it's all I can say.

It's time for honesty, thus. I'm afraid I will not be able to provide this map. Worse than that, I think I'll have to leave a few details about the region... um, well... "undefined". That is not to say that it is going to remain completely outside of the TL's narrative - but I won't ever be able to provide a complete alternative history (what is that anyway?) of the region. If it had only been 2-3 minor questions, I would have asked them here in the thread. But it's really too much altogether. Sorry!

Hong Kong and Puerto Rico have their own NOCs and teams. So do the US Virgin Islands, the British Virgin Islands, the Netherlands Antilles, and several other dependencies.

England, Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland compete separately in World Cup soccer; also in international cricket and rugby. Golf and tennis players from those countries also represent them rather than the UK.
Yeah, I thought about some of these examples, too, when I decided that it would be OK for individual federative republics to have their own NOCs and let their athletes run under their flags.

BTW, the authorial update on religion is not forgotten, I am working on it, but I won't be able to think straight and dedicate the necessary effort until the two job interviews will be over on Thursday.
 
Ninety-One: Religion in Russia 1917-1920s
Religion in Russia 1917-1920s

If OTL’s contemporaries of 1917 had not spoken of a „religious revival“, I would probably not, either. Because it might be misleading – if it is understood to mean that religion in Russia had somehow been „dead“ before.

Because it certainly had not been. This update is going to concentrate on Russian Orthodoxy and religious groups which have splintered from it, and it is going to tell a bit of a background story – those who already know it may skip the parts that are purely OTL, but, as so often, because_I_had not known ANYTHING about most of what I’m writing about in this update until, say, two years ago, I thought maybe the short historical sketch may be useful to others, too. – When I focus this update on Russian Orthodoxy and its environs, there must not be an implicit message that Russian Orthodoxy is a very different, strange planet, far away from all other Christian confessions. In fact, many of the trends that we can observe in Russian Orthodoxy and its environs in the late 19th and early 20th centuries IOTL as well as ITTL’s 1920s (when IOTL all religious groups in the Soviet Union found themselves under surveillance by secret police, politically marginalised by an openly antireligious state) exist in similar forms within Catholicism and Protestantism, too, and other updates will deal specifically with the very different development Catholic culture is going to take ITTL, for example, or with divergences in the Islamic sphere. Today, for coherence’s sake, we’re looking at Russian Orthodoxy and those who broke with it.

Russian Orthodoxy may never have had its Magisterial Reformation. But it certainly had radical reformers galore. From the medieval Strigolniki over the various groups of „Old Believers“, who immediately appeared when the Russian Orthodox Church became more hierarchically organised and attempted even the most insignificant top-down reforms, and the Doukhobors, Molokans and Subbotniks of the 18th and early 19th century to a host of new groups emerging at the turn of the 19th and 20th centuries following charismatic leaders like Alexander Dobrulyov, Andrey Cherkassov or John of Kronstadt.

What distinguished the development of reformist and dissenting Christian groups in Russia from that in, say, the US or (in a broad sense) Germany, is that under the Czar, such groups could never establish themselves in the midst of normal society, they could never publish their views through the mass media of their times, they were severely restricted in their missionary efforts, and sometimes outright persecuted. Most of the time, such dissenting groups were sent off to some marginal land (of which the Russian Empire thought it had quite enough of), which fulfilled a double function: the quarrelsome sect was removed from the core of Russian society, its elites and religious discourse, and more Russian colonists were settled in marginal lands of the empire populated mostly by non-Russians. (At least the latter point should not sound utterly unfamiliar from a British/North American perspective – well, the first one actually, neither...)

But religious innovation and diverging, new views were not only held by „schismatics“. In the midst of Russian Orthodoxy, new voices asserted themselves when the lid of autocracy came off. Not only did laymen attempt to assert greater influence – the clergy itself was not at all obedient and harmonious, it turned out when freedom allowed it. Even in the short interlude of religious freedom of OTL, there were calls for deep-reaching reforms. Socially, the conservative rejection of the Revolution shared by the upper echelons of ecclesiastical hierarchy was not endorsed at all by many groups who looked back e.g. to the Brotherhood of Christian Struggle and other Christian socialist groups from the first decade of the century for inspiration. And even theologically, heated debates were going on: even after the Czarist imperial attack on Mount Athos, people like Sergey Bulgakov and Pavel Florensky still upheld „Sophiologist“ views which were officially declared heretical, and they found many supporters among the educated urban classes.

Therefore, it is hardly surprising that the Russian Orthodox Church called together a „local council“ in the Moscow Kremlin in 1917 – the first one in over 300 years. In it, all these and many more questions were vividly discussed. The majority of its members had been elected at the diocesan level (clergy and laity separately) in accordance with new rules set up by a Pre-Council in early July 1917.

So far, this is all OTL.

IOTL, the „Local Council“ came together in mid-August 1917 and was presided over by Kerensky’s Provisional Government. ITTL, things are moving faster because the Constituent Assembly elections are also taking place much earlier – but not by much, since the PoD is too close. Thus, let us say that the Pre-Council convenes at some point in time during the soviet interlude (i.e. in May), so that church elections and state elections take place more or less in parallel in early June 1917. Thus, the Local Council probably convenes in July, only shortly after the Constituent Assembly has convened, too, and elected the People’s Commission chaired by Victor Chernov.

The Council is going to be very divided. Some divisions and debates are the same as IOTL: some (e.g. Bishop Mitrofan, Archbishop Anthony of Kharkov and Archimandrite Hilarion) will argue for the restoration of the Patriarchy; others (Archpriest Nikolai Tsvetkov and many professors of theology: Alexander Brilliantov, Ilya Gromoglasov, Boris Titlinov, Nikolai Kuznetsov) will argue against it. Liberal and reformist laymen and members of the lower („white“) clergy will argue in favour of allowing priests to marry, while conservatives and almost the entire higher clergy will oppose this.

Then, there are divisions and debates which did not take place IOTL, or were not as prominent as they are ITTL. One of them is the question of „unity vs. many autocephalies“, which will initially probably be labelled as the „Ukrainian Question“: Should there be one Orthodox Church for „all the lands of the Rus“, or should the church in the Ukrainian (and maybe even Belarussian) Federative Republic, as it will soon come to be called, establish its own national Council and elect its own Metropolitan (or even Patriarch)? The most fervent supporters of Ukrainian autocephaly, like Vasil Lypkivsky and Volodimir Chekhivsky, will not have even participated in this Council, and instead organised the election and convention of a separate Ukrainian Sobor in Kiev. (They did IOTL, too, but IOTL the Moscow Council had more pressing matters at hand and ignored the issue outright.) Even then, not everyone at the Moscow Council is going to side with Archbishop Anthony Khrapovitsky (of Kharkov/Kharkiv) in his insistence that the unity of the orthodoxy in all the Rus must be preserved under all circumstances and that the separate Ukrainian Sobor has no legitimacy whatsoever. Others, seeing the signs of the time when the Constituent Assembly and the Centralna Rada sign their Concordance / Statute of Autonomy, will prefer not to fight this pointless battle which can only divide the ranks of Orthodox Christians in Ukraine and elsewhere. (In the Balkans, the principle that every independent Orthodox nation state has a co-territorial autocephalous orthodox church has found its precedent. Quite a few among the laity and bishops in Russia could probably live with this. Fiercest resistance probably comes from Russian speakers living in Ukraine...) Since the whole process of decentralisation / federalisation is a peacemeal and unpredictable process, too, the Council will be occupied with this question for quite a long time, though. It certainly changes Anthony’s position, who IOTL was so widely popular that he received more votes than anyone else in the complicated procedure by which the new Patriarch was selected (even though he wasn’t ultimately chosen). ITTL, he is going to be perceived as the leader of a specific, vocal group, and only that.

Another deep division is going to be along (secular) political lines. The Revolution, especially after Vikhliaev’s land reform law, has expropriated a considerable amount of church lands. For the higher clergy, this means a huge loss of power. For many monasteries, it means an existential threat. The vast majority of the clergy and a good portion of the lay delegates will, therefore, have a very hostile general stance towards where the Revolution is drifting. I expect some sort of resolution, of the content that the Council considers the expropriations illegal and illegitimate, emphasises the importance of the institution of property, and demands the restitution of all repartitioned lands, to be adopted by a large majority against a vocal but not very large pro-socialist minority. Will the Council go further in its anti-Revolutionary positioning? I am not sure. Subservience to the political authorities has a long tradition for the Russian Orthodox Church’s higher echelons of hierarchy. If the Council lasts into November, when the realignment and change from Chernov to Kamkov takes place, then any political group on whom the conservatives in the Church might lean in the secular sphere is going to be dissolving, and they might decide to tone down their open criticism so as not to invite VeCheKists looking for „saboteurs“ and „counter-revolutionary terrorists“.

While the Council may not do something as extreme as rejecting the political authority of the Constituent Assembly or excommunicating the People’s Commission, or incite the pious to ignore the order of the „godless administration“, it will still position itself as skeptical towards the socialist revolution, to say the least. The land question is going to be the main bone of contention, but if conservatives and moderate liberals alike feel threatened by the whole direction things are taking in the secular sphere – which I think they will – then I think they will react by closing the ranks, pushing divisive reforms like the marriage of priests off into an undetermined future, and electing a Patriarch in order to have one visible leader to rally behind and unite. (This is what the Council did IOTL, too.)

The eventual choice of one Patriarch from three candidates with the most votes was, according to protocols, by lot-drawing. One can always question whether that process was somehow tampered with or not – but one can also simply assume that a different clergyman gets drawn by lot. Either way, I think I’ll stick with OTL’s candidates: Anthony the Archbishop of Kharkov, Arseny the Metropolitan of Novgorod, and Tikhon the Metropolitan of Moscow. A source I found (but forgot where) said Anthony was the cleverest of all, Arseny the strictest, and Tikhon the most compassionate. It should have become clear at this point that Anthony is not going to be the candidate I am going for because he is too divisive. Whether some backchamber deal or truly the lot – I decide that ITTL, the new Patriarch is not going to be Tikhon, but allegedly strictest Arseny Stadnitsky of Novgorod. Dogmatically, this would fit well with an overall trend towards conservative decisions in the later months of the Council. I’m going with this variant. Apart from the restoration of an independent hierarchy with a self-chosen head and all that comes with that, the Council is not going to pass any significant reforms.

That, of course, is going to leave a plethora of Christian grassroots movements within, at the fringes and outside of the Orthodox Church very dissatisfied, or convinced that the Orthodox Church is unable to reform and must be abandoned for something else. The People’s Commission, and both Marxist and Narodnik parties who support it (this is Kamkov’s Coalition Commission), are going to view this unreformed, hostile and quarrelsome Orthodox Church with equal hostility. The VeCheKa has targeted anti-revolutionary clergymen throughout 1918. The repartitionings have become constitutionally safeguarded. The Constitution of 1918 guarantees the “right to freely enter, adhere to and leave existing religious groups, found new ones, to express one’s views concerning religion freely. Cult, religious service, expression, and practice are free, they only find their limits in the inviolable rights of others and in general laws consistent with this Constitution.” This was far from what the Orthodox Church would have liked – as it turned out, it would not provide any autonomy for church-run schools from state regulations of education, and it would protect the most offensive and “blasphemous” attacks on religious sentiments just as much as it protected religious proselytising.

Among the Marxist Social Democrats, all of this was utterly uncontroversial. At least to those firm in their dogmas, religion was the opium of the people anyway.

In the Socialist Revolutionary Party, there was no open sympathy for the conservative clergy, either, and the confrontational course of the Local Council which aimed to reverse one of the foundational principles and achievements of Russia’s Revolution, certainly left the various governments led by SRs with no incentive to become reconciliatory. But beyond this unanimous rejection of a conservative high clergy, things were not so homogeneous within the SRs. Russian Narodnichestvo had absorbed important antireligious philosophical influences, from Marxism to Neo-Kantianism. But there has always been a different stream of Narodnik tradition, too: from its roots in the Slavophiles’ exaltation of the obshchina as an incarnation of Sobornost, over the entire Tolstoyan tradition to newer tendencies which I shall address in the paragraphs below. And even beyond those who truly harboured Christian thoughts and feelings, not all other SRs thought it was a good idea to copy the stance of some Western Radical governments of the late 19th century and leave the entire political appeal of “Christianity” to the parties of the Right, from the many disorganised conservative and extremist splinter groups to an increasingly church-friendly KD party under the leadership of Tyrkova-Williams, who knew a political opportunity when she saw it.

In this latter camp, a leading figure would emerge in the early 1920s: Vadim Rudnev, the Socialist Revolutionary Mayor of Moscow. He used his persisting influence over the newspaper Trud to provide a forum for a great number of religious reformers from within and outside of the official Orthodox Church like Antonin Granovsky and Boris Titlinov, , and by hosting “Dialogues of a Revolutionary Society”, Rudnev managed to bring together prominent and inspiring voices in public discussions attended by large crowds in Moscow. Atheists like Lunacharsky and mystics like Alexander Dobrulyov, prohibitionist asketics like John Tchurikov and Sophiologist intellectuals like Pavel Florensky, and many others met here. Matters of spirituality and morality in the context of the post-revolutionary society were discussed here as well as views on the future course of Russian and world history, Christianity, philosophy, society, the sciences and technologies. While controversies were heated, the overall atmosphere was one of rapprochement: Many wanted to seize the opportunity for “re-union” (the Russian term vseedinstvo had been coined by Solovyov decades before, but the longing had only grown stronger in the meantime).

And this was only the tip of the iceberg. Everywhere across the Orthodox-dominated regions of the UoE, politically and religiously “moved” people often came together, exchanged ideas and, as often as not, ended up agreeing on more than one thing, sometimes even fusing their various utopian ideas and practices.

The sect that has been described by TTL’s Hemingway is one such group – probably fusing an activist egalitarian political utopianism like that of the God-Builders with asketicism, enthusiastic expectations towards self-deliverance, and some form of spiritualism. Other sects will probably disconnect from the rest of society due to their emphasis on pacifism of various sources. Etc.

Both sides strengthen each other: religious Revolutionaries provide new impulses for the reform movement, which further destabilises the position of the conservative Orthodox clergy and loosens their grip over Russian Christianity somewhat. In turn, the support of such groups strengthens Vadim Rudnev’s right wing in the intra-party rivalries among the SRs.

And the (in a wides sense) progressive camp is not the only one where things are moving in new directions. Among those who are opposed to the Revolution, not everyone is content with sticking to the tame and toothless Orthodox Church, or calm enough to hope that things will move in other directions, too, one day. Apocalyptic and millenarian sects had not been rare in Russia’s Silver Age, and the OTL revolution brought forth new such groups, necessarily small, dispersed and often short-lived in nature. ITTL, state persecution is much less intense and practically ends with 1919, so groups waiting for a very near Judgment Day are probably not few.

And it's not only seclusive sects. The less the Orthodox Church reforms itself, the more "low church" congregations will appear, seek and find recognition, and spread.

The Orthodox Church is going to react to all of this, in the course of the 1920s. It will not be quick in reacting because the resistances which need to be overcome are massive. But orthodox churches everywhere have proven themselves extremely capable at adapting to all sorts of political changes – often preferring to keep their dogma and rite unaltered, but publicly bowing to worldly powers who, in turn, reaffirm their position. Which is why I don’t expect any theological reform of Russian Orthodoxy in the 1920s at all – but at some point, the Holy Synod probably decides to bury its hope to regain its lost possessions and to stop mentioning it, in exchange for some sort of settlement by which the Russian Federative Republic establishes new legal ways for the Church to finance itself, maybe along the lines of Germany’s Kirchensteuer, maybe less statist.... I'm not settled yet.

Over all of this, we ought not forget that the Great War has not made everyone more pious. It has shattered quite a few people’s faith, too, and the ranks of the non-religious are certainly swelling, too, throughout the 1920s. They will find their political home both within the IRSDLP and the left wing of the SRP. Between them, the “new progressive religious reformers”, and the traditional Orthodoxy, there are bound to be intense political and cultural clashes. Unlike IOTL, religion is certainly going to be a major factor and topic in TTL’s post-revolutionary Russia...!
 
Last edited:
Ninety-Two: US Elections 1920, part 1: Candidates for the Presidency
I said that I'd focus on the long lines and on the UoE (like in the last pair of updates), and I still intend to do that much of the time.
But there are also some punctual events and trends in other important places which I feel I must not ignore, and this new update and the next one are going to focus on just that: the US elections of 1920. The entire update could never have been written, had it not been for the massive help and inspiration by @LuckyLuciano to whom I am most grateful and indebted. I will quote from the suggestions he gave me in PMs extensively.


New York City: The Sun (July 7th, 1920, p.1): [1]

PREVENTING THE WORST

By Charles Murphy [2]

Many good arguments can be made that the National Convention of the Democratic Party could have chosen better candidates. It could have chosen the successful Governor of our state, Mr Alfred Emanuel Smith, who stands for a functioning and modern public service for all citizens, the protection of children’s rights and the rights of all others who depend on a fair state to defend them, and the promise of supporting efforts at the municipal and state level to improve living and working conditions across our great nation. It could have chosen a young political talent like Mr Franklin Delano Roosevelt, perhaps the most far-sighted Assistant Secretary for the Navy our Republic has ever had, and a man able to muster bipartisan engagement. The Democratic Party certainly has no scarcity in capable statesmen among its ranks. Likewise, its array of ideas for how to shape a yet better future of our country is wide: many well-qualified proposals have been made on the Convention for civilized and equitable collective bargaining processes, for a more effective eradication of crimes related to illegal drinks, and for quick and strong forces able to protect honest citizens from being harried by armed gangs of thugs who have become a plight in many parts of our great country and who do not even shy away from attacking upright men who only two years ago have fought bravely for the protection of our nation and worldwide peace.

The delegates in San Francisco have approved only of some of these good resolutions. And they have chosen two candidates whom we might not consider as perfect. [3]

But we ought not forget how the alternative looks. The Republicans have nominated an old man with a record of subserving national interests to the interests of big steel and fruit businesses, and they have chosen as his – quite likely! – potential replacement an isolationist newspaper tycoon. [4] A Republican victory would undoubtedly threaten all the progress in the protection of children, workers, and consumers achieved over the past few years. It would jeopardise the stability of our partners on all continents, the good standing we have with them as well as our newfound military strength, making this world a place less safe for democracy. It would threaten our public finances and hand over all control to greedy cartels and trusts who already run those parts of our nation richest in natural resources as if they were their private fiefs. And to everyone who criticise Mr McAdoo and Mr Doheny for not standing up firmly enough against the vile hatred directed by bigots against some groups of honest American citizens: do not let yourselves be fooled into thinking that Sleepy Phil cares in the least about the safety of ordinary neighborhoods, for unity and harmony and opportunities for all Americans regardless of wherever their grandparents came from! And for all the envy hurled at Mr Doheny – he is the son of an Irish workingman who has created his fortune all through his own industry, and he has never abused it like some of the Republican bidders for their party’s nomination, [5] who would yet be certain to be play important roles in a Knox administration.

For an honest, peace-loving, progressive, hard-working American, there is no better alternative available than the Democratic Party. If you consider voting for two prison inmates, [6] you might just as well throw your ballot into the paper bin. Luckily, the chances are very slim for our Republic and its brave defenders to become disgraced by a defeatist agitator becoming its 29th President. With Mr William Gibbs McAdoo, the United States would at least have a strong and experienced hand at the helm, a man who has spared our economy from the European disease and who could draw on a great number of able reformers to form his cabinet.



[1] This is one day after the Democratic National Convention closed in San Francisco. I have kept the schedule of the two conventions unchanged from OTL. The Republicans had nominated their candidates three weeks earlier in June.

[2] Charles Murphy, the ward boss of Tammany Hall, is one of the most influential men in the Democratic Party at the time, and from time to time editor for the New York Sun. As transpires here, he and the electoral groups and politicians he stands for – Irish and other Catholic Americans, working class Democratic voters in the industrialised states – do not like the direction their party has taken ever since Wilson suffered from his stroke in Paris. They lost on the National Convention to other groups (nativist, anti-Catholic and anti-socialist Southern and Western segments mostly), but Murphy of course knows he must support the Democratic campaign, even if critically, if his wing of the party doesn’t want to be completely marginalised, its electorate bleeding out too much to the Socialists.

[3] They have chosen William Gibbs McAdoo as candidate for President, and Edward Laurence Doheny as candidate for Vice-President. Here is the background:

As has been described in update 87, after Paris, the Administration is divided between a Wilsonite and a Marshallite camp. With Wilson’s health condition universally known, neither he nor his wife harbor any hope that the Convention might be brought to draft Wilson somehow for a third term candidacy. As has been described, Wilsonites and Marshallites fundamentally quarrel over foreign policy issues (the Wilson camp is angry that Marshall has completely scrapped the idea of an international covenant of peace, its nativist / racist wings in the West and South think that the agreements in which the US have treated Japan as an equal partner are quite a bad idea, and the progressives see the success of their legacy in the form of the Federal Reserve Bank in danger because of the haircuts on inter-Entente debts awarded to Britain, France, Italy, and the UoE; the Marshall camp, in turn, blames Wilson for the failure of the Paris conference and sees international trade and safety, too, on which the fortunes of the US depend, as threatened if key partners cannot be stabilised). After Acting President Marshall has criticised Palmer’s raid-happiness, Palmer has openly sided with Wilson’s camp. With Palmer and McAdoo, thus, there are two Wilsonites in the race. Of the two, McAdoo, the man who has saved the US economy from becoming infected with the troubles caused by the outbreak of the Great War in 1914, is by far the more popular and he is considered the much more reliably “Wilsonite” candidate than Palmer, whose personality many saw as that of a self-important, grandiose political gambler. It was only a matter of time, though, for the “Palmer campaign” to lose steam and collapse, its delegates then falling in line to support McAdoo, which pushes him very close to the necessary margin for a nomination. Marshall’s and Al Smith’s support groups can’t come to an agreement, for quite a number of reasons beside race-baiting, mostly because Smith stands for somewhat more populist-progressive economic policies while Marshall’s cabinet has positioned himself as more classically liberal and business-friendly than Wilson’s. A last-ditch attempt to prevent McAdoo by drawing the dark horse candidate James Cox fails because the McAdoo camp sees itself inches away from victory, which they indeed are, and when those who had supported this “compromise” decide that in the name of party unity, the least evil is to let McAdoo win the presidential nomination and secure the vice-presidential nomination for a Marshallite, then that is what happens.

As Vice-President, in a display of much-needed party unity between the Wilsonite and the Marshallite camp, McAdoo comes out in favour of Edward Doheny, a close friend of Robert Lansing’s. Lucky Luciano has informed about a tendency to nominate wealthy people as vice-presidents in order to secure financial support for (especially rather hopeless) campaigns, like Henry Gassaway Davis in 1904 or Arthur Sewall in 1896. Note that it only displays a feigned harmony between the Wilsonite and the Marshallite camps – the camp which had stood firmly behind Governor Al Smith of New York is left in the rain. Its support base are Irish and other ethnic minority voters (Italians, Eastern Europeans), often from the East Coast or the industrial cities on the Great Lakes. While McAdoo and Palmer are undoubtedly the candidates trumping more loudly into the currently popular anti-Catholic horn, Acting President Marshall has not come out in support of the beleaguered minorities variedly accused of being “the war enemy’s fifth-column” (Germans), “terrorists” (Irish and Italians), “anarchists” (mostly Italians) and “socialists” (all of them), either. Therefore, this camp has remained loyal to Al Smith’s candidacy throughout all ballot rounds, and now it is being ignored by both Wilsonites and Marshallites.

[4] The Republican Convention has nominated Philander Knox as candidate for President, and Warren Harding as candidate for Vice-President. Here is how this went:

In contrast to McAdoo, Knox was a compromise candidate who appeared very late on the ballots and was adopted as a compromise. Throughout the first ballot rounds, Leonard Wood, Frank Lowden, Hiram Johnson, Herbert Hoover and Robert LaFollette were the five candidates with the most votes. LaFollette was the only throroughly populist-progressive candidate among the five, too far to the left of all other candidates and of the mainstream of convention members, too, so while he’s certainly staying in the race until the end like IOTL and coming out of the convention disappointed and disillusioned, he’s not really very relevant to the rest of what’s going on and thus the bigger picture. The other four, on the other hand, disagreed among each other on a great number of issues, and although they all had their progressive and their conservative sides, none of them was considered outstandingly popular and disarmingly capable.

Leonard Wood was, to quote @LuckyLuciano: “considered the heir to Roosevelt and the candidate of the progressives, but many in the Republican party wanted to repudiate the Great War and did not want a military man leading the ticket, and there was a scandal involving the amount of money Wood spent on his campaign, with many accusing him of attempting to buy the nomination.” (This was a comment on OTL but it applies ITTL, too.) On the other hand, Wood has attempted to outcompete the Democrat Palmer as a tough defender of law and order against alien anarchists and rhetorically leaned on the same nativist and anti-Catholic sentiments. Once again @LuckyLuciano: “He'd also have the tacit support of the Klan/anti-Catholic elements of the party, which he could lean into similarly to McAdoo could attempt to propel him to the nomination. IOTL James E. Watson was a Wood supporter, was elected chairman of the Resolutions Committees, and would later be accused of having been a member of the Klan (even if he wasn't, he was still a big time racist/anti-Catholic/bigot).” I hereby decree that Watson is elected into the same function and supports Wood ITTL, too.

The conservative establishment of the party nevertheless preferred Frank Lowden (IOTL and ITTL), who also had a major scandal involving campaign funding, literally buying delegates. (Murphy later alludes to these scandals, see footnote 5.)

Hiram Johnson was IOTL: “the ultra-isolationist candidate, while other candidates wavered between the anti-league and revisionist-league camps, Johnson was the only strong anti-league and progressive candidate, but failed to get the support of Roosevelt's family in his bid and was viewed with distrust by the establishment for his role as Roosevelt's VP pick in 1912. Without a League to strongly oppose, Johnson [...] enters the convention with less support”, so @LuckyLuciano. “There was a lot of overlap between Johnson and Wood's supporters (both progressives) so a weakened Johnson means a strengthened Wood. However, a strengthened Wood does not mean he is able to clinch the nomination.”

Especially not because there is yet another progressive in the race: Herbert Hoover, “who IOTL had a large amount of grass roots support, but little organization, and so entered the convention with few delegates.” Hoover, famous as consecutive director of the US Food Administration and then the American Relief Administration, "openly criticized Palmer’s raids."

Such a division among those who saw themselves as progressives or were viewed as such at the time is ultimately preventing the victory of any of their candidates, especially with Wood probably leading the field but being the least acceptable for both Johnson and Hoover (let alone LaFollette). With each failing ballot round, the search for a compromise is going to gain traction. Again, @Lucky Luciano informed me: “IOTL boss Penroise favored Knox over [William Cameron] Sproul and was the one who got Sproul to take his name out of consideration. The delegates that Sproul gathered could then probably be convinced into voting for Knox. Then you have the fact that Knox was the first dark horse candidate to seriously be considered, due to his close personal friendship with Hiram Johnson.” Another divergence from OTL which works against Sproul, Governor of Pennsylvania, as well as against other governors like Calvin Coolidge of Massachusetts and Walther Evans Edge of New Jersey, is the increased intensity of ethnic riots which none of them finds a way to contain and pacify.

Therefore, Philander Knox becomes the compromise candidate who wins the race.

Murphy’s accusations refer to his work for Carnegie and US Steel and his stances as Foreign Minister in favour of the interests of US fruit companies in Latin American countries.

Harding, who was also considered as a compromise candidate and clinched the nomination IOTL, becomes his VP candidate. The Republican Party, thus, like the Democrats three weeks later, comes out of its National Convention looking considerably less progressive than it had entered it.

[5] The scandals in which both Wood and Lowden had been involved have been described. Murphy’s comment is soon going to be disproved by the discovery of Doheny’s involvement in the Teapot Dome Scandal, though...

[6] This refers to the two Socialist candidates for US President and Vice-President respectively, elected by their national convention. Even though the new party leadership is more radical, the nomination still goes once again to Eugene Debs, whose towering moral authority and fame as a national anti-war icon are irresistible. The radical left nevertheless achieves a little triumph which it couldn’t IOTL (because so many left-wingers had defected to the two communist parties) by nominating Kate O’Hare for Vice-President. She’s not only the first woman to run for any such high office, and of Irish descent, too, (like a number of recently Socialist-leaning swing voters appalled by the Democrats’ stance) but also currently in prison, like Debs.
 
Last edited:
In the next update, moving ahead fast (which doesn't mean we're not jumping back in 1920 for other events elsewhere in later updates), we'll deal with the results of the Presidential and House elections. (I haven't planned to go into governorship elections, but if somebody volunteers and suggests divergent outcomes from OTL we could discuss them of course.)
 
[6] This refers to the two Socialist candidates for US President and Vice-President respectively, elected by their national convention. Even though the new party leadership is more radical, the nomination still goes once again to Eugene Debs, whose towering moral authority and fame as a national anti-war icon are irresistible. The radical left nevertheless achieves a little triumph which it couldn’t IOTL (because so many left-wingers had defected to the two communist parties) by nominating Kate O’Hare for Vice-President. She’s not only the first woman to run for any such high office, and of Irish descent, too, (like a number of recently Socialist-leaning swing voters appalled by the Democrats’ stance) but also currently in prison, like Debs.

She's also a white supremacist and segregation supporter. Still, this does beat out the OTL's first third party woman VP candidate, Marie Caroline Brehm for the Prohibition Party in 1924.
 
Harding might survive if he's Vice President rather than President, who knows?

If Knox dies on schedule--and there's no reason he shouldn't--then Harding will get enough of the Presidency to probably send him off at about the same time. At which point the Secretary of State becomes President #3 in the chain.
 
If Knox dies on schedule--and there's no reason he shouldn't--then Harding will get enough of the Presidency to probably send him off at about the same time. At which point the Secretary of State becomes President #3 in the chain.
With no 25th amendment (yet) that is indeed what would happen. This TL could feature a President Charles Hughes, or any number of alternatives!

I do not want to get off Salvador's wild ride.
 
Top