So, in a TL I'm planning, two of the biggest changes in western Persia is that
1. The Soviet Union survives the 90's, but in a much smaller and greatly reformed way, and 2. The Azeris living in Iran IOTL are under an independent government which different from the Azerbaijan SSR.
For the purposes of this post, the Azeris living under the Soviet Union will be called A1, while those living currently in Iran will be called A2.
So, several things could happen by the 90's:
1. A1 and A2 both become independent and unite to become a greater Azerbaijan
1a. Both are independent, but remain divided.
2. A1 remains part of the USSR, A2 remains independent
2a. Both join the USSR
Or the most unlikely, imo, scenarios
3. A2 rejoins Iran, A1 remains in USSR
3a. Both join Iran
3b. A2 joins Iran, A1 is independent (essentially OTL)
To add some context, for most of the Cold War ITTL A2 have existed under a puppet government, loyal to the Soviets.
Which one of the abovementioned scenarios is most realistic?
1. The Soviet Union survives the 90's, but in a much smaller and greatly reformed way, and 2. The Azeris living in Iran IOTL are under an independent government which different from the Azerbaijan SSR.
For the purposes of this post, the Azeris living under the Soviet Union will be called A1, while those living currently in Iran will be called A2.
So, several things could happen by the 90's:
1. A1 and A2 both become independent and unite to become a greater Azerbaijan
1a. Both are independent, but remain divided.
2. A1 remains part of the USSR, A2 remains independent
2a. Both join the USSR
Or the most unlikely, imo, scenarios
3. A2 rejoins Iran, A1 remains in USSR
3a. Both join Iran
3b. A2 joins Iran, A1 is independent (essentially OTL)
To add some context, for most of the Cold War ITTL A2 have existed under a puppet government, loyal to the Soviets.
Which one of the abovementioned scenarios is most realistic?