MarkA said:
Alright I'll concede that when people talk about fascists they don't mean fascists. But still the idea that these people could 'take over' a political party and run the country as a distinct ideological cadre misses the point.
Their position was that they DID run the country already. The reason they were organised into militia groups was not to take over the government of Australia but to be ready to prevent someone else taking it over. Prime Ministers, cabinet members, senior public servants, police, intelligence and military personel were all supporters of these groups at one time. Why stage an armed rebellion to seize what you already control?
Well all this is fine provided the New Guard do not get a leader who thinks otherwise. Now I've been under the impression, from Scarecrow, that a leader comes along who realises the reality of the situation for the New Guard. So the first POD is that the New Guard gets a leader who, realises the New Guard isn't running anything & is, in reality, being manipulated by others.
As a result of this, my thinking was that, in the early 1920s, this new leader sits down & organises a long term strategy that will see the New Guard, not actually take over a political party, but become a major faction in one. In this instance I chose the UAP. Importantly, though, for most of this period, the UAP doesn't itself become an extreme right-wing party until a New Guard faction member (presumably the "leader") becomes PM somewhere around 1936-37. Having said that, as the New Guard faction gains more & more members, the policies of the UAP slowly become more extreme. But none of this happens overnight. It takes close to two decades. Fundamentally, however, it's the only way I can see how a group like the New Guard can eventually come to
real power. Any other way I see as impossible.
MarkA said:
The evidence suggests that the people who approached Monash were rank and file members of one of the secret armies. They were fearful of the consequences of the Victorian Police strike and wanted him to take TEMPORARY control of the government of the state and impose order. I reiterate - the ruling class would NEVER allow a Jew to be head of any organisation they ran. Their opposition to Issac Issacs clearly shows this. Issacs was appointed by a Labor Gvt.
I don't think anyone supports the idea that Monash would do anything else but this.
MarkA said:
As for a fortress Australia, this too is a misunderstanding of the position. The Australia first faction in the ALP and other Australian nationalists did not advocate a disengagement from the Imperial alliance. They were opposed to another AIF being sent to Europe when Japan clearly presented a danger.
Well by 1936 Japan did appear to be such a danger to Australia. As a result, with a New Guard/UAP govt in Canberra, that Australia declares an armed neutrality in regards to Germany, whilst preparing Australia's defences in preparation for war with Japan. Then when Japan attacks Malaysia in 1941, Australia comes to the rescue of British Imperial interests in the Asia-Pacific region.
MarkA said:
It was the right-wing of Oz politics including Menzies who supported the Imperial Defence System. As Empire Loyalists so too did the various secret armies. Their world view would never allow them to abandon Britain. A right wing Republican in 1930's Australia is an absurdity. Even the Labor Party supported the alliance with Britain. The inherent racism in Australia would never allow any government to contemplate, let alone implement, an alliance with Germany or Japan or any power opposed to GB.
Well just because Menzies was right-wing doesn't mean to say every right-winger in Australia agreed with him. Furthermore, not everyone in the ALP supported the British Alliance. In fact it's really a trap to consider political parties act as individuals.
Members of parties can violently disagree with each other. Factions, regardless of party, can be in complete disagreement over any issue. The ALP is the obvious party to study, but the UAP & Country Parties have members with diverse opinions over various policies. In fact the UAP, which is usually for free trade, is at loggerheads in such economic policy with their Country Party coalitin partners, who want tarrifs to protect primary industries.
Likewise, you will find right-wing Republicans in any age. Today you'll find the likes of Malcolm Turnbull & even Peter Costello among their ranks. In the past the likes of the Wentworth family have been republicans. Now sure, Menzies wouldn't be one, but if this AH New Guard Leader comes along, manages to introduce his reforms into the New Guard & thus eventually into UAP policy in the late 1930s, well it would be a completely different matter. But you happen to forget Scarecrow's POD on the matter here - Australia doesn't become a republic, but takes Edward as its king. In doing so I gather we become an independent kingdom ourselves or that's the impression I got.
MarkA said:
Canada did delay their announcement of the declaration of war by two days. This insignificant delay was due I think to simply waiting until there was absolutely no doubt of war and that the French Canadian population were reassured that France and Britain were in it together.
Well the fact that the Canadians had to think about it first speak volumes. Clearly, they were thinking
Canada first, not Britian & Empire first.