Eyes Turned Skywards

Does Japan/NASDA actually own the CGM, like they presumably do Kibo, or did they merely build it for NASA, for it to own and operate directly - sort of like what Italy did with the Cupola in our timeframe?
The latter.

Which raises a larger legal question: Are the treaty arrangements on Freedom similar to those governing the operation and ownership of various parts of the ISS in our timeline under the 1998 Space Station Intergovernmental Agreement (IGA) - i.e., that "each partner shall retain jurisdiction and control over the elements it registers and over personnel in or on the Space Station who are its nationals"?

If so, I assume there's a mid-1980's analogue to the IGA that was presumably signed by the U.S., ESA and Japan.
Yeah, there's probably something like that, likely signed somewhere around 1986/87, and in turn based off the original ~1983 agreement breaking down detailed design and duties for Freedom, and then probably also agreements for the ERM on Spacelab (signed maybe around 1976?) and Japanese flights to Spacelab. I'm no lawyer, though, so I'd appreciate if we don't dig too much into details on those, though. ;)
 
Looking at the bottom picture, 'expedition 10', docking the apollo capsules in the two front slots looks like itd be a cast iron bitch to do. Sidling in beside the solar arrays, and the running parallel to a major module seemingly just feet away.

What am I missing?
 
Looking at the bottom picture, 'expedition 10', docking the apollo capsules in the two front slots looks like itd be a cast iron bitch to do. Sidling in beside the solar arrays, and the running parallel to a major module seemingly just feet away.

What am I missing?

Those Solar Panel Arrays will often be tilted off the horizontal. Meaning that there's going to be a lot more room for manoeuvre. And besides, I foresee that NASA would aave factored in such a risk factor and prepared contingencies for such eventualities. In any case, they have other Docking Ports that they can use - I count a grand total of 5.
 
Looking at the bottom picture, 'expedition 10', docking the apollo capsules in the two front slots looks like itd be a cast iron bitch to do. Sidling in beside the solar arrays, and the running parallel to a major module seemingly just feet away.

What am I missing?

This discussion actually came up back on page 42 - see here, and scroll up and down from there.

It seems to have a slightly higher risk factor to me, too, even allowing for the reality that the solar panels can be tilted well away from the approach vectors of the Apollo CSM's. But aside from docking back on the Challenger module, or the ventral hatch on Node 2, I don't know how to improve matters, short of adding another node just for docking.
 

Archibald

Banned
With regards to musical scores.

I don't think this One-Hit Wonder from Tasmin Archer - well, it was a UK No.1 - is going to fare so well ITTL, given NASA's better fortunes here. Namely having a viable Return to the Moon programme here, as opposed to OTL's SEI.

I remember that song very well - (IMHO the music video is just awful, so it is better on the radio than on TV). Never realised before the lyrics are about the Apollo program. How about that.
 
This discussion actually came up back on page 42 - see here, and scroll up and down from there.

It seems to have a slightly higher risk factor to me, too, even allowing for the reality that the solar panels can be tilted well away from the approach vectors of the Apollo CSM's. But aside from docking back on the Challenger module, or the ventral hatch on Node 2, I don't know how to improve matters, short of adding another node just for docking.
So it did, so it did.

Nixonhead's render just made it leap out at me, and id forgotten that previous post.

Thank you for that!
 
I remember that song very well - (IMHO the music video is just awful, so it is better on the radio than on TV). Never realised before the lyrics are about the Apollo program. How about that.

Considered one of the Great Forgotten Gems of the 1990's in the UK - with most comments I come across stating the opinion that the UK Music Video easily surpasses that of the US version.

The way I choose to interpret the lyrics is:

"Don't blame this Sleeping Satellite" - She's saying not to blame the Moon for the Lunar Race, which saw the peak of the Space Race.

And that would be the basic thrust of the Song. It's in one part, a lamenting of the fact that we seem to be going backwards with regards to Space Exploration IOTL, which I have to say really does feel like the case. :(

The next Post for ETS can't come soon enough......
 
Part III, Post 2: The Lunar Reconnaissance Pioneer
Well, folks, it's that time again. This week, as NASA prepares to launch LADEE to the moon, we turn our attention that direction as well. Back in Part II you may recall an offhand mention of the Lunar Reconnaisance Pioneer, the sister probe to the MRP. Well, today, you find out the rest of the story. ;) This is a bit of "backfilling," in that some events in this post predate the start of Part III, but they then continue into this period and that's where the real action is.

Eyes Turned Skyward, Part III: Post #2

Since the dawn of humanity, the Moon has loomed large in the collective imagination of mankind. The only heavenly body other than the Sun to show a disk to the naked eye, its regular cycles, curious patterns of light and dark, and influence over the tides and, at least in the eyes of early humans, other periodic cycles and patterns made it an object of intense curiosity to early humans. Many made it an object of religious devotion, whether by worshiping lunar gods or goddesses, or by marking time through a lunar calendar, as Jews and Muslims do for religious purposes. Others studied it with all the fervor and attention they could devote to the task, tracking its slow libations and wandering movement. Centuries before the birth of Christ, Greek, Indian, and Chinese astronomers had determined that the Moon did not shine on its own, but only by the reflected light of the Sun, that the Moon was a sphere, and had even made remarkably accurate estimates of the size and distance of the Moon from Earth. Even more sophisticated measurements had to wait on the development of the telescope, which showed the Moon to be a rugged, craggy body, pockmarked with craters and lined with mountain ridges. By the 1950s, highly accurate maps had been made of the entire part of the Moon visible from Earth, and lunar science was, by the standards of the time, a booming, successful field of planetary science.

It was only natural that, even before the successful launch of Soviet and American space probes, some scientists had already started to propose missions to the Moon, as had some military forces. von Braun, of course, described an ambitious crewed lunar expedition in 1952 for Collier’s magazine, and had undoubtedly begun thinking about lunar exploration much earlier, while for their part Soviet thinkers were considering future lunar exploration long before they began their own satellite program. Within months of Sputnik’s launch, the United States Air Force’s Pioneer program was attempting to launch unmanned satellites to the Moon, mainly to prove the feasibility of launching payloads to escape velocity, while the Soviets were beginning their own Luna program. Although the Pioneer program was an abject failure, scoring only a single successful launch out of ten attempts, the Soviets achieved more success, with Luna 3 in particular returning the first images of the far side of the Moon ever seen on Earth. Encouraged, many American scientists began to imagine more complicated and ambitious robotic lunar probes, with names like Ranger, Surveyor, and Prospector. They would do more than just hit the Moon or loop around it; they would return detailed imagery, go into orbit around it, land payloads, rove the surface as remotely-operated vehicles, and, perhaps, return lunar soil to the Earth.

The beginning of the Apollo program to land men on the Moon was the death knell for these airy fantasies of robotic probes roaming the Moon’s surface, at least in the United States. Programs which did not directly contribute to the overriding goal of putting a man--who anyways was far more intelligent and flexible than any robot--on the Moon were ruthlessly cut. First to go were the advanced Prospectors, but the orbital Surveyors and scientific Rangers quickly followed them to the chopping block. The Surveyor program itself was cut back largely to providing data for the development of the lunar module, and the Lunar Orbiter program, focused on imaging the surface in detail for mission planning, was substituted in place of the scientific orbiters. Although the outstanding success of the Lunar Orbiter program in gathering the crucial site data meant that the final two missions were largely dedicated to more scientific purposes, they simply could not return much of the data lunar scientists wanted. Although the Apollo missions, especially the final four J-class missions, augmented the probe results, they did not and could not provide globally detailed information, leaving scientists unable to answer many questions about the Moon. Therefore, as the Apollo program wound down and NASA began to face a post-Apollo future, many scientists called for a new lunar mission, a Lunar Polar Orbiter, which would carry many of the same instruments that had been flown in the J-class mission’s SIM bays, as well as other experiments to characterize the entire Moon. As NASA struggled with changing responsibilities and falling budgets, their voices went largely unheard, a cry in the wilderness during the difficult 1970s. Nevertheless, they persisted, repeatedly suggesting the mission to the National Academy of Sciences, NASA, and anyone else they thought might help it launch.

In early 1983, their persistence finally paid off. Although American intelligence assets had revealed Soviet modifications of the N-1 pads at Baikonur, fueling suspicion that the Soviets were in the midst of developing their own large rockets--indeed, this knowledge had been a decisive factor in selecting the Saturn Multibody concept over the Titan V during ELVRP II--they lacked certainty on the purpose of the rockets. Were they merely safer replacements for the Proton, which had caused a number of serious accidents and had a poor record of success? Perhaps they were meant to carry large spacecraft, like orbital battlestations, into high orbits? Or were the Soviets more ambitious still...? The CIA concluded that the size and capability implied by what technical data they had and the size of the pads and flame trenches meant that the Soviets could not be merely thinking of new space stations or even orbital weapons platforms, but had to have greater ambitions. In particular, the CIA believed, they must have resurrected their old lunar landing program from the 1960s and given it a modern spin, aiming to land on the Moon sometime “soon,” perhaps establishing bases and going on to Mars by the mid-1990s. This information was leaked to the press in late 1982, where it caused a minor sensation among a public and Congress which had not entirely gotten over the initial shock of the Vulkan. Some kind of response was demanded, which lunar scientists were quick to provide in the form of their old Lunar Polar Orbiter proposal. Almost as quickly, NASA accepted the proposal for further development, while Congress readily provided the necessary funding. At last, just under a decade after the last mission to the Moon, the United States would be returning--albeit with a robotic probe rather than a human landing.

Design and ultimately construction responsibility for the probe were given to NASA Ames Research Center, whose other planetary exploration projects had largely sunk into maintenance mode since the launch of Pioneer Mars in 1979, with the only significant ongoing development program being the Galileo probe project. With a reputation for greater economy than its planetary exploration rival to the south, the Jet Propulsion Laboratory, and less ongoing work, Ames was a natural choice for Headquarters to oversee a program with the profile and importance of what became known as the Lunar Reconnaissance Pioneer, or LRP. Ames set to work with a will immediately, quickly drawing up basic specifications for the spacecraft. In this, they benefited from the work of lunar scientists over the past decade, who had drawn up a firm wishlist of instruments they wanted to see onboard: Spectrometers, like those carried by the J-class missions, to remotely analyze the composition of the lunar surface. A radar altimeter, to map out its height variations. Infrared and visible light imaging to produce more detailed surface maps than available from the old Lunar Orbiters and to provide information about flows of heat to and from the surface. Instruments to explore the magnetic and electric field environments around the Moon. Finally, to make proper use of these instruments, the placement of the vehicle in a polar orbit, to see the Moon’s whole surface. Together, such instruments would perhaps reveal more about the Moon than even the Apollo flights had.

As LRP would be operating in an environment reasonably similar to Earth orbit, it was decided to adapt a new lightweight three-axis stabilized communications satellite design from RCA for the mission. Although this was in some ways a break from the traditional Ames preference for spin-stabilized satellites, necessitated by the demand for high-resolution imagery, in other ways it maintained an essential continuity with Ames’ tradition of lightweight, inexpensive missions, by tapping into the extensive development funds dedicated by RCA to their spacecraft business. Development was slowed by the need to adapt the design to the Mars Reconnaissance Pioneer and Near-Earth Asteroid Pioneer programs while the LRP itself was still being constructed, but by 1988 the probe was ready and launched to the Moon atop a McDonnell-Douglas Delta 4065. After a brief five-day journey, the LRP ignited its own onboard engines, placing itself in a polar low lunar orbit. Over the next few days, it deployed and tested its instruments before beginning its research mission.

From its vantage point just a few dozen miles over the lunar regolith, the LRP obtained a grand vista of the Moon. Whenever it passed within the line of sight of the Earth, a new stream of compositional, altitude, photographic, heat-flow, and magnetic data flowed back to its controllers on Earth. Just as had been predicted by the scientists behind the project, it quickly returned more scientific data than all of the J-class missions put together, at least so far as their orbital instruments were concerned. More experiments were improvised on the fly; an obvious one was to track the LRP’s carrier signal carefully, like with VOIR at Venus, to map the lunar gravitational field. Besides probing the Moon’s interior structure, this would aid management of later low lunar orbit spacecraft by allowing more precise and accurate predictions of orbital perturbations from the infamous mascons. Although the system could, for obvious reasons, only map the Moon’s near side, it was still far better than nothing at all, and revealed a great deal of interest to both future mission planners and lunar geologists.

However, that was not the only unanticipated use that could be made of the probe’s communication system. Since the early 1960s, it had been known that because of the Moon’s rugged topography and small axial tilt, some areas near the poles might be permanently shaded. Even in the lunar equivalent of arctic (or antarctic) high summer, surrounding mountain formations or crater rims might block sunlight from reaching some areas. In turn, this might allow volatile material such as water or carbon dioxide, which would otherwise be vapor under the low pressures and high temperatures of the lunar surface, to gradually collect within the shaded areas. Although budget considerations and the commonly shared belief, stemming from examinations of Apollo lunar samples, that the lunar surface was bone-dry had precluded the inclusion of a dedicated water-sensing device in the LRP’s payload, certain observations by the probe’s spectrometers seemed to indicate that water ice might indeed be present in the shaded regions. To resolve the scientific controversy, an alternate method of detecting water ice was proposed by a team of scientists at the University of Texas several months after the probe reached the Moon. By sending a stream of signals out from its communication antenna towards the Moon, then picking up the resulting signals on Earth, a so-called “bistatic radar” could be improvised. If the polarization characteristics of the probe’s signals were controlled, the radar could, at least in theory, distinguish between a rocky and an icy underlayer to the surface regolith, thereby proving whether or not ice deposits were real or merely the result of overactive imaginations. The resulting observations were duly carried out, and the results were nothing short of astonishing. Rather than the small pools or isolated crystals most scientists thought might be the extent of polar water ice deposits, LRP’s observations seemed, at least at first, to indicate that there might be huge slabs and sheets of ice covering the bottom of many shaded regions, amounting to millions or even billions of tons of water, enough to supply a wealth of critical resources to a lunar base. Although the results were controversial even when published, and only became more so when results from similar Earth-based experiments showing similar data for decidedly non-shaded regions were publicized, in mid 1989 they were the cutting edge of lunar science. Surely they must have contributed to the eventual decision of NASA leaders to focus on a lunar return over a journey to Mars for Project Constellation. After all, not only is water a vital resource for any lunar base, and immensely useful for supporting missions to other worlds, but the simplest and most obvious method of resolving the scientific debate was to send a geologist there to drill cores and take samples in a suspected ice-containing area, then see if he or she actually found any ice.

The discovery of apparent large deposits of ice also invigorated the Lunar Society, which had after all long promoted the establishment of colonies on the Moon as the next logical step in the settlement of space. Ice, together with the other volatiles likely frozen in the putative sheets, would make those colonies far more viable than mining the lunar regolith alone could. The parallel discovery of multiple so-called “skylights,” places where the surface seemed to have collapsed in on lunar lava tubes like those postulated in the wake of Apollos 15 and 18, gave additional vigor to the Society, which had promoted the use of such tubes as locations for its lunar colonies. The one downside to the combination was that few of the permanently shadowed regions seemed to be anywhere close to the lava tubes, raising questions of how lunar colonists were to transport the ice or water from one to the other. The result was a burst of creative, if not always practical, methods for transporting the volatiles hundreds or thousands of miles on a rocky, hot, and airless surface. While they waited on reality catching up to their proposals, meanwhile, the outlook for lunar colonies seemed brighter than it had since the mid-1970s.

When its primary mission ended, the LRP found itself in a very different position than it had been when it launched. With Project Constellation coming up to full steam, once again scientific value was playing a back-seat passenger to human spaceflight requirements, and the probe was press-ganged into serving as a precursor mission. Its powerful imaging system would now be used to examine possible landing sites and occasionally other locations in exquisite high resolution, not only allowing problems like excessive surface roughness to be identified long before any humans would be anywhere near them but also allowing a library of maps to be built up for optical navigation systems like those used in cruise missiles that might be employed on future landers. Its radar altimeter could be used to quantify the slope of candidate sites. And although its other instruments were being sidelined, they, too would benefit from the lower orbit needed to operate to maximum effectiveness, detecting smaller and more localized variations in surface composition, picking up subtler changes in magnetic fields.

Moreover, its low altitude opened up another interesting possibility. Since the United States had landed on the Moon twenty years earlier, a growing strain of thought within the country had claimed that the entire mission had been faked, nothing more than a sham filmed on a Hollywood soundstage. At its new altitude, the LRP would be able to image Apollo’s landing sites in extreme resolution, revealing not just the descent stages and other large markings, as images taken early on in the probe’s career had, but fine detail, like the flags the astronauts had planted around the sites and the tracks of footprints they had made during their EVAs. Although NASA conceded this would not convince the hardcore skeptics, many within the agency still felt the imagery would be worthwhile in persuading the less convinced, and simply as a reminder of the agency’s past achievements. From its lower altitude orbit, the LRP was also able to detect the remains of many of the robotic probes which had been sent to the Moon during the 1960s and 1970s, including the long-lost remains of Lunokhod 1. Besides clearing up a minor mystery of the space age, the first automated rover ever to explore another body’s surface carried a laser retroreflector similar to those carried by its sibling, Lunokhod 2, and by several of the Apollo moon landing missions, actively in use by Earth-based research projects. The new ranging site was quickly pressed into service by those projects, adding another minor scientific accomplishment to the LRP’s total. When the LRP finally depleted its fuel and crashed in late 1993, some five years after launch, it had not only laid the essential foundations of further lunar exploration, but reminded the country of its past on the Moon.
 
Well if the LRP was able to image the Lunokhods and Surveyors, then imaging an entire LEM Descent Stage and - where applicable - Lunar Rover nearby should not be too hard for it.

And something tells me when they send another Lunar Orbiter Probe, they'll be fitting it with equipment specifically designed for the detection of Water and other Volatiles.

Which brings up a whole host of potential landing sights at the Lunar Poles, as well as the suspected Lava Tube Sights.

So even as any new Unmanned Probes are geared in favour of Landing Site selection, I suspect that they'll still be able to extract a lot of new information from them and get some real good places to place on the Manned Landing Candidate List.

And from the Transit Time of about 5 days, it goes without saying that it was placed into a lower-energy transfer than the Apollo Missions used.

And finally, I'm willing to guess that they really had to eat through it's propellant load just to keep the Orbit stable - I hear the Lunar Gravity Field is really lumpy.
 
A brilliant update and the graphics..they are superb! Got to ask though, what do you mean by 'lumpy gravity'?

I mean that it's uneven. Stronger in some places than it is in others, but by substantial margins, which makes maintaining a stable orbit extremely difficult.
 

sharlin

Banned
I mean that it's uneven. Stronger in some places than it is in others, but by substantial margins, which makes maintaining a stable orbit extremely difficult.

Really? Blimey, didn't know that, I would assume its something to do with what ever the moon's core is made out of and the moons gravitational effect mingling with that of Terra's?
 
Really? Blimey, didn't know that, I would assume its something to do with what ever the moon's core is made out of and the moons gravitational effect mingling with that of Terra's?
Nope, they're due to concentrations of unusually dense material near the surface call "mass concentrations" or "mascons," which you can read about here. What forms mascons, what kind of material do they consist of that's so dense, and such were questions that are still under study, but were among the main purposes of the recent GRAIL mission. You can read more about the results of that here, or just do some googling.
 
i updatet the Wikipage with new post

i love that LRP bring the landing site Picture earlier and put a foot in mouth of Moon conspiracy idiots.
let the rest into the fist of Buzz Aldwin
buzzaldrin.gif
 
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Outstanding timeline, outstanding artwork, outstanding update!

A question: Are there any other mission modules than extra living space and stowage room?

I think, service missions to sattelites are totally feasible with the Apollo Block III+ and later model. In OTL, the Space Shuttle was proposed in its design phase to service the spy satellites of the KH-9 series with film and fuel. Only when KH-11 appeared on the horizon with CCD electronic imaging, this mission fell apart, which was not clear in the design phase of the Space Shuttle. In TTL, Apollo is continued in a timespan when the KH-9 were still in service. Also, remembering the whole "cross-range" discussion with the shuttle, there were some crazy thoughts about ASAT or fast surveillance "once-around" missions in the 80'ies, so a secret "blue" Apollo program might (would) have been considered here, too.

As an aftermath of these cold war programs (and "commercial" public relations events) make me think of other servicing missions, too, not only like OTL STS 41C to service the solar max or STS 49 (which were mostly PR-stunts, since it would have been much more affordable to just launch a new satellite). Also, even ITTL, Hubble was successful from the start, service missions to it's successor and other big scientific long-term satellites designed with servicing capability would be very likely. Even if there is a big space station during the whole of this timeline, there still might be experimental platforms like EUREKA or Wake Shield Facility which might need better long-term micro-gravity than provided by a space station, which has to adjust its orbit and maneuver too often.

For these service missions, I propose a smaller or none pressurised mission module, but a cargo bay and some variant of a robotic arm.
The mission (specific) module is such a great feature (and Apollo III-IV so much less expensive than Space Shuttle), that it would be a shame, if they haven't used this capability with other mission designed modules. Servicing missions is just one application of that feature, but I'm sure, there would be even more applications than I have thought of in this comment.

Your timeline has mostly covered the space station based Apollo missions only. Stil, I think, even when these missions were the main sector for missions TTL, there would have been other (also military) missions, which weren't covered yet in your timeline.
 
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First thoughts on this post.
1) pretty sure you mean 'libration', not 'libation' although the idea that the moon shloshes a bit of wine out to the gods every time it shifts a bit is a cool one.

2) when talking of early moon plans, dont forget the BIS one of 1938, yup, before wwii. Yes, it doesnt really fit your narrative, but I thought Id remind your readers of it.
 
Hello e of pi,

Thanks for another great chapter.

The discovery of apparent large deposits of ice also invigorated the Lunar Society, which had after all long promoted the establishment of colonies on the Moon as the next logical step in the settlement of space. Ice, together with the other volatiles likely frozen in the putative sheets, would make those colonies far more viable than mining the lunar regolith alone could. The parallel discovery of multiple so-called “skylights,” places where the surface seemed to have collapsed in on lunar lava tubes like those postulated in the wake of Apollos 15 and 18, gave additional vigor to the Society, which had promoted the use of such tubes as locations for its lunar colonies. The one downside to the combination was that few of the permanently shadowed regions seemed to be anywhere close to the lava tubes, raising questions of how lunar colonists were to transport the ice or water from one to the other. The result was a burst of creative, if not always practical, methods for transporting the volatiles hundreds or thousands of miles on a rocky, hot, and airless surface. While they waited on reality catching up to their proposals, meanwhile, the outlook for lunar colonies seemed brighter than it had since the mid-1970s.

This is amusing given how differently the landing and lunar base targets worked out for the Space Exploration Initiative in 1990-92 in our own timeline.

The initial targets there were Mare Smythii and Aristarchus Crater. But NASA at that time had no idea of massive lunar ice deposits, nor of lava tubes.

Of course, the problem remains that neither attraction is, as you say, anywhere near each other (at least so far as we know). My guess is the ice deposits will win out.
 
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