Exocet - the Effects of a different Falklands

Still, interesting and cool to see a very different UK that’s much more integrated into the EU. An ECB in the City makes a world of sense
So cool to see a TL offering a larger focus on internal EU politics. Keep up the great work!
Thanks! Yeah, but a major downside of this is that the Shard or whatever would hold the ECB would probably be called something awful and derivative like the Ecutower or the ECBuilding in this TL.

I wonder how Brazil is doing ITTL
I've not thought too much into Brazil and don't think I will do an update on it, as I know so little about it.
But a quick look at my notes and some future stuff I have planned has Lula as president from (1990-1998) with a liberal-conservative President serving one term before being beaten by Ciro Gomes who serves two terms (2003-2011).

Oh, a Socialist politician becoming prime minister of Japan? Wow.

I am reminded of the Socialist-LDP government from 1994 to 1996.
Also Prime Minister Doi is pretty cool.
Yep, Japan still has a chaotic 1993-1997 but the Socialists choose Doi over Murayama who keeps the coalition in power in 1996 (lots of concessions to former LDP higher-up and behind-the-scenes power player Ichirō Ozawa to keep the coalition in power though).
Honestly, I was inspired by @prime-minister's excellent socialist Japan list on the wikibox thread and the more I researched Doi, the more I liked her as a potential PM.

Oh, great…
Ah boy, can’t wait to see what Populist uses this to his advantage.
Two dead Presidents in seven years, both who died of a 'heart attack' (Yeltsin, Sobchak) and both of who were once democratic activists at the end of the Soviet Union, leaves a bad taste in the mouth for many Russians.
Its two alive Presidents in Khasbulatov and Chernomyrdin have almost diametrically opposed economic policies which aren't going to do the economy any favours in the long run.
Yep, Russia's in a pretty bad place (even compared to OTL).

Additionally I wonder if this makes Cook, who eventually had heart problems decide to be a bit more wary and all that going forward.
Well, the Time Magazine List says Cook dies in 2003, so unfortunately, he might not be that lucky.
 
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But a quick look at my notes and some future stuff I have planned has Lula as president from (1990-1998) with a liberal-conservative President serving one term before being beaten by Ciro Gomes who serves two terms (2003-2011).
That's very cool!
 
Yep, Japan still has a chaotic 1993-1997 but the Socialists choose Doi over Murayama who keeps the coalition in power in 1996 (lots of concessions to former LDP higher-up and behind-the-scenes power player Ichirō Ozawa to keep the coalition in power though)
I’m guessing Ozawa doesn’t ship then in that case. Interestingly Doi is someone who I do think was the leader for the Socialists and her resignation was incredibly random (decided to resign over Japan’s minor involvement in the Gulf War is a very Japanese Socialist thing to do).

Yep, Russia's in a pretty bad place (even compared to OTL).
True, though it hasn’t descended into a near mini-Civil War Ala The Constitutional Crisis just yet so there’s still…some hope, though probably not much.
 
BBC.web: 28/07/98
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This is great... I'm curious about how did you manage to do this?

I noticed on the right 'Diana calls off engagement with Dodi Fayed' and 'Blair in Pyongyang' 😱
Using the Inspect tool a LOT, on a similar BBC article from the 90s, changing the text. The picture comes from the internet and I just added that to the article after changing it that way.

Yep, the tabloid rumours in OTL before Diana's death have been proved right in this world. Diana blames press pressure for ending her engagement, (the public perception of Diana is far more negative in TTL) and the difficulties her marriage would contribute to her sons. Drew (OTL William but named after Prince Andrew) is still close with his mother and Will, born in 1986, (Harry doesn't exist in this world) is only 12 in 1998. Diana enjoys more of the custody rights/time with Will after the divorce (another reason why the press don't like her), with him leaving boarding school, to living almost exclusively with his mother and Dodi. The press and the royal family are none too happy by this and feared Dodi's 'influence' over Will, so probably are relieved that they aren't getting married.

Blair's visiting the UN protectorate of the (former) North Korea to meet and greet British peacekeepers and meet the UN Administrators to discuss foreign aid and commitments and the like.
 
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Using the Inspect tool a LOT, on a similar BBC article from the 90s, changing the text. The picture comes from the internet and I just added that to the article after changing it that way.

Yep, the tabloid rumours in OTL before Diana's death have been proved right in this world. Diana blames press pressure for ending her engagement, (the public perception of Diana is far more negative in TTL) and the difficulties her marriage would contribute to her sons. Drew (OTL William but named after Prince Andrew) is still close with his mother and Will, born in 1986, (Harry doesn't exist in this world) is only 12 in 1998. Diana enjoys more of the custody rights/time with Will after the divorce (another reason why the press don't like her), with him leaving boarding school, to living almost exclusively with his mother and Dodi. The press and the royal family are none too happy by this and feared Dodi's 'influence' over Will, so probably are relieved that they aren't getting married.

Blair's visiting the UN protectorate of the (former) North Korea to meet and greet British peacekeepers and meet the UN Administrators to discuss foreign aid and commitments and the like.
Thanks for sharing about how you did this...rather glad that Diana seems to be a little more happy as she has more rights and is alive, averting that tragedy in Paris.
 
1999 Scottish Assembly election
In the late 90s and early 00s in Britain, the spectre of the common currency often overshadowed the local, regional, and national elections. Finally ending years of speculation, Cook promised to hold a referendum in 1999, which also ended the speculation of whether a general election would be held in 1999. After such a crucial and probably divisive vote, pundits believed that Westminster and the nation would need time to ‘settle down’ before launching into another highly divisive campaign.

It was believed that the referendum would be held at the same time as the 1999 European Parliament election scheduled for June, but instead, a May date for the referendum was chosen. With local elections held on the 5 May, along with the Scottish Assembly elections, Cook and Labour instead chose to hold the referendum on the 13 May. So, the ecu referendum would be held on the same day as the second-round mayoral election in London. The reasons for this date were largely because Labour and Cook hoped that by holding the referendum at the same time as the London mayoral election, that a Labour candidate would win against the euroskeptic Michael Portillo, and that the left-wing urbanites of London would turn out at a higher level for the referendum and vote more in favour of adopting the ecu).

But firstly, the Scottish Assembly had reached the end of its first term.

Labour’s (or more specifically, the Labour-Alliance coalition’s) record in Holyrood had complemented the work of Cook’s government in Westminster, introducing incremental yet progressive changes to health, education including an ambitious reform of council tax. While these policies were superficially popular, many Scots felt that they didn’t go far enough, especially among nationalists and socialists. Further, as Cook became more unpopular nationwide, so did First Minister Donald Dewar. Once seen as the father of the Scottish Assembly, a term in power had seen hid become a ‘sleepy’ figure, especially in contrast to his more notable opponents on the SNP and Conservative benches. Dewar announcing that he would be seeking a second term as First Minister thus, did little to enthuse voters.

The Conservatives meanwhile took the opposite tact and instead chose the ‘boy wonder’ Michael Gove as their leader in 1998. Gove, an ambitious man, who had become a Conservative while at Oxford University, despite coming from a Labour supporting family. Struggling in London, Gove moved back home to Aberdeen and became a prominent right-wing pundit in Scottish media and journalism. Seeking a seat for the Scottish Assembly in 1995, he quickly became a rising star of the party and won the leadership on a pledge of renewal. Unfortunately for the Conservatives, during the election campaign, shocking revelations against Gove including cocaine use while at university and past statements in which he decried ‘appeasement’ with Northern Irish ‘terrorists’ poisoned his campaign.

The Alliance, meanwhile, despite positive achievements in government, struggled after David Steel’s retirement. His replacement, Malcolm Bruce, a former MP who lost his seat in 1991 was forced to fight off accusations of carpet-bagging after he was caught off-the-cuff admitting he would rather be in Westminster than in Holyrood.

The SNP was led by Roseanna Cunningham, a committed advocate of independence and member of the socialist ‘79 Group. Cunningham drew a clear lie in the sand between her and her predecessor Margaret Ewing’s leadership. Cunningham instead orientated the party to the left of Labour and promised that a SNP government would ‘stand up for Scotland’. Compared to the moderate Ewing faction of the party, she was seen as a breath of fresh air for the party. Further, after Alex Salmond’s expulsion after accusations of inappropriate behaviour from staffers, Cunningham’s quick dismissal of Salmond was seen as a confident move which helped cement her leadership. Salmond, irritated by his dismissal from the SNP and still popular with nationalists, jumped ship and joined Tommy Sheridan’s nascent Scottish Socialist Party to give the SSP a significant boost in polling.

With these local issues bubbling under the surface, it would be the common currency and referendum which dominated the election and divided all the parties to the north of the border. This division was especially prevalent in the Conservative campaign caused by Gove’s ardent opposition to the ecu, even though the Scottish Conservatives were widely seen as favourable to the ecu and Patten’s leadership. The ecu became a flashpoint for the Scottish elections and it seemed as it only the Scottish Socialist Party was benefiting from the debate, being the only left-wing party with a clear policy towards the ecu (being against the ecu).

As Scottish voters cast their ballots, the unionist parties all suffered whilst nationalists and left-wing parties made significant gains. And so, the SNP after weeks of arduous negotiations formed a minority government with support from the SSP and the Greens.

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A week later, the referendum which had overshadowed the election saw Scotland vote 59 – 41 in favour of adopting the common currency.
 
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1999 London mayoral election
Michael Portillo’s term as Mayor of London went far more smoothly than expected after his shock victory over Ken Livingstone in 1995. Unfortunately for the new mayor, the close result of the election meant that the newly created London Assembly maintained a Labour majority, which stymied some of Portillo’s bigger policy ambitions, such as relaxing planning laws and approving the construction of a third runway at Heathrow.

Portillo, instead, appointed a technocratic team behind him and eschewed Conservative dogma. Portillo focused on improving public transport and promoting business and made multiple publicity campaigns in favour of both. When not on trains, buses and riding bikes, Portillo would often be found schmoozing in the city to bankers, stock marketers and insurers. While his frequent champagne and prawn cocktail ‘meetings’ cemented his image as elitist, they often paid economic dividends and it was during some of these meetings that Portillo helped secure private investment for the revitalisation of Greenwich Peninsula. Portillo also spent time arguing for the newly created London Assembly and his mayoral office to be moved from County Hall in Lambeth to a different location, in order to draw ‘a clear line in the sand’ from the much-maligned Greater London Council, which had also been based in County Hall.

Portillo was a highly prolific mayor and would often claim to be the most popular politician in the country, thanks to his direct mandate from the hundreds of thousands of people who voted him in. Portillo harnessed his media presence and mandate to pester and challenge Cook’s government and became in the process of one of the leading critics of Robin Cook and his Chancellor, Margaret Beckett. Portillo’s criticism would be targeted at the government’s economic policies and their approach to European integration.

The biggest row between Cook and Portillo, however, was a public spat about the location of the planned millennium celebrations. Portillo favoured a large event in London, as planned by Michael Heseltine, but Cook and his cabinet voted to hold the event in Birmingham instead. Portillo soon after made speeches and gave multiple interviews saying that Cook had ‘snubbed’ the capital because of Cook’s political bias towards Portillo. Cook denied the accusations that he was playing favourites but the relationship between the two men would only worsen afterwards.

Labour, both nationally and in the capital, began to openly attack Portillo and so party officials selected Glenda Jackson, a former actress turned Labour MP over Ken Livingstone, who they believed would have more cross-over appeal in the second round of voting to better beat Portillo. Livingstone, furious, launched an independent campaign for the office, hoping to knock Labour and Jackson out of the second round.

The first round was held a week before the ecu referendum, with the second round held the day of. London was widely seen as the most pro-common currency areas in the UK and so the capital was blanketed by campaigners from both sides trying to boost turnout. Portillo, perhaps wisely, chose to distance himself from the ‘Keep Sterling’ campaign, which was led by "crackpots and has-beens", according to Tony Blair. He would, however, benefit from the tensions created by the referendum and delighted in internal Labour party squabbling, highlighting during the mayoral election Livingstone’s and Jackson’s attacks on the other for their opposite positions on the ecu.

Livingstone’s bruising independent campaign meant that Portillo was guaranteed a place in the second round, with left-wingers divided. Whilst Jackson beat Livingstone to reach the second round, Portillo was able to use his charisma and the national unpopularity of Cook (and the local unpopularity of Jackson), to win a second term as Mayor.

And so, as London backed the adoption of the ecu, Michael Portillo was victorious. In the aftermath of the referendum, he would cement himself as one of the Conservative party’s greatest assets for the upcoming general election.

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1999 European currency referendum
The common currency debate was more than a debate over economics, more than a debate over free trade and more than a debate over the loss of an independent monetary policy. The common currency represented, as the EEC once had represented in 1975, either the promise and potential of a modern and distinctly European future, or a trap constructed by elite tastemakers and globalists which would see British sovereignty, democracy and identity being drained away. Such divisions had convulsed every single government since Harold Macmillan’s and often it would be through either brute political force, or by consulting the British people, be it through an election or referendum, that saw impasses broken.

The potential economic benefits of joining first a trade bloc, then a customs union, then being integrated into a single market and finally a monetary union proved too beneficial for policy makers to turn down or ignore, especially as Britain’s empire was winding down whether it was peacefully (‘Winds of Change’) or violently (the Falklands Conflict).

Both major parties when in opposition have succumbed to their respective euroskeptics wings (Foot 1980–⁠1983 and Hurd 1993–⁠1995) before governing as distinctly pro-European (Heath 1970–⁠1974, Heseltine 1984–⁠1993 and Cook 1993–⁠). As the end of the millennium approached a decision was finally required on whether the UK would join the European Currency Union and the respectively named ecu. The Birmingham Agreement had seen European leaders finally agree a date for formal introduction of the common currency and Cook had negotiated for London to host the ECB upon entry.

Labour’s 1993 and 1995 manifestos were (unsurprisingly) light on the matter of the common currency but promised that if re-elected Labour would both remain in the E.E.R.M and would support the creation of a European Currency Union (E.C.U). Cook had hoped that this vague promise of ‘eventual entry’ would allow him breathing room to hopefully approve via parliament. His sacking of Gordon Brown in 1996 gave him much needed Treasury support for his Europe policy as did the diplomatic prowess of Tony Blair, at the Foreign Commonwealth Office.

Yet, with Labour divided between Rocks (RObin CooK’s supporters who favoured soft-left policies), Mods/Modernisers (represented now by Blair after Brown’s sacking from Cabinet) and smaller factions like the Brownites and Socialist Campaign Group. Labour whips, knowing the divided situation in the parliamentary party, told Downing Street attempts to adopt the ecu unilaterally would ‘break’ the party. Any measure would require Conservative votes to pass and if Labour couldn’t rely on its 60 seat majority, then it would mark the end of effective government. And so, during a speech to the European Council, Cook announced he would be holding a referendum before 2000 and would campaign in favour of the common currency.

However, despite the potential for voters to reject the common currency, government policy prior to the referendum followed the Beckett rule, (named after Chancellor and europhile Margaret Beckett), in that it continued the long-term policy of preparing for the eventual adoption of a common currency. This rule was much derided in Europe in the leadup to the referendum but compared to the vacillation of the German Chancellor Scharping on the common currency, was mostly forgotten in the aftermath of the referendum.

So, with the support of the Patten-led Conservative Party (itself wracked with divisions and seeing a referendum as a way to neutralise the issue for good) and the Alliance Party, Parliament supported Cook’s motion and a referendum was called for May 13. The question posed to British voters was simple: “Should the United Kingdom adopt the proposed European currency, the ecu, or should it keep the pound?

The ‘Adopt’ campaign was led by the ‘establishment’ supported by mainstream political figures and business leaders, including Cook, Patten, Alliance Leader Simon Hughes and former PM Michael Heseltine. Cross-party support was extensive for the Keep campaign as was business and industry support for the ecu, with both the CBI and TUC backing the campaign.

The ‘Keep’ was led by controversial figures such as former Conservative MPs and government ministers such as Norman Tebbitt, Norman Lamont and Peter Lilley. The Keep campaign was bankrolled by Sir James Goldsmith of the Referendum Party (ironically the referendum asked for by Goldsmith’s party was on membership of the European Union as a whole, not one for ecu). Left-wing euroskeptics such as Tony Benn and Kate Hoey despite being strong campaigners, found themselves excluded from the Keep campaign, which led to Blair’s famous “crackpots and has-beens” description of the Keep campaign.

Gordon Brown and Michael Portillo, two of the biggest figures against the ecu, both chose not to associate with the Keep campaign and would surprisingly offer little commentary on the matter fearing the political ramifications of clearly choosing a side. Both men were ambitious, and both saw Keep as an anchor to these ambitions.

The right-wing media meanwhile launched a brutal campaign against entry with The Sun launching the ‘Countdown Clock’ to ‘Save Britain’, a stark reversal of their previous support of the EEC in the 1975 referendum. Newspapers like the Daily Mirror, Guardian and Daily Express all backed the ecu, with editorials arguing that both the economic potential (a powerful argument, especially when considering the sluggish growth seen in the UK since the 1980s) of the ecu and the ability for the UK to cement itself within Europe was too good to ignore. In the multiple debates held by the BBC, BSkyB and ITN, the campaigns often argued reductive and divisive commentary with their respective messages being ‘New Millennium, New Britain’ vs Keep Control’. The difference was clear.

And in the end, the result was clear too. By 52–⁠48, the British people chose the ecu and voted in favour of the common currency. Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland strongly backed adoption, while the urban and Conservative shires of the UK voted in favour as well. London overwhelmingly backed the ecu and was largely seen as the driving region in favour of adoption. The east and north England proved the most resistant to the ecu but failed to stop the tide in favour of the common currency.

Cook spoke to the nation on the morning after the result promising that ‘Keep’ voters wouldn’t be forgotten, nor would Britain lose her identity in Europe. Cook promised that now the issue of the common currency had been solved, that his government would focus on "building up Britain", especially in deprived areas, most of which backed Keep. Cook promised British sovereignty would be "respected and protected" in Europe and powerfully, that Britain's diplomatic and soft power would be amplified by the result. Britain would be a "leader among equals" in Europe and would define the new millennium just as Britain had done in the last one.

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Hard to see Brexit happening ever, what with the ECB being built in the City and the UK adopting the ecu
Britain, for better or for worse, is locked into the EU. But even though Brexit won’t happen, it will mean a much more different EU in the future. Especially in terms of the common currency. It’s hard to imagine Greece or some of the other fiscally insecure nations who joined later in OTL joining the common currency, if Britain is pulling the levers.
 
Britain, for better or for worse, is locked into the EU. But even though Brexit won’t happen, it will mean a much more different EU in the future. Especially in terms of the common currency. It’s hard to imagine Greece or some of the other fiscally insecure nations who joined later in OTL joining the common currency, if Britain is pulling the levers.
Mmm fair fair
 
Britain, for better or for worse, is locked into the EU. But even though Brexit won’t happen, it will mean a much more different EU in the future. Especially in terms of the common currency. It’s hard to imagine Greece or some of the other fiscally insecure nations who joined later in OTL joining the common currency, if Britain is pulling the levers.
That may actually improve Greece's financial situation ITTL. Being part of the eurozone meant that in the 2009 recession, they essentially had no flexibility in monetary policy. They won't be totally off the hook, but they may be better.
 
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