Ex Soviet states with nukes

What if after the USSR broke up, Belarus, Ukraine, and Kazakhstan formed an defensive alliance against Russia and kept their nukes. How would this affect the world.

Ok maybe the alliance isnt even needed, what if they just kept the nukes, but the alliance seems like a good idea.
 
What if after the USSR broke up, Belarus, Ukraine, and Kazakhstan formed an defensive alliance against Russia and kept their nukes. How would this affect the world.

Er, why?

The probability as I can see is very very low. They have little common interests, there's tonnes of Russians in all three, and other than parts of Ukraine nationalism isn't that much of a driving factor as opposed to the Baltics or the Caucasus.
 
I can see Ukraine and maybe Kazakhstan keeping their nukes, but not Belarus since it has no need for them, seeing that they became Russia's ally. If Ukraine kept its nukes it might either become a semi-pariah state with lost of pressure to get rid of the nukes or a wedge in between Russia and NATO/EU, in other words, a country that people actually pay attention to.
Kazakhstan could've had a messed-up, Turkmenbashi-esque dictator that decided to keep nukes and this state would've had more pressure on it than Ukraine I think.
 
What if after the USSR broke up, Belarus, Ukraine, and Kazakhstan formed an defensive alliance against Russia and kept their nukes. How would this affect the world.

Ok maybe the alliance isnt even needed, what if they just kept the nukes, but the alliance seems like a good idea.
I remember a book where some Estonians hijacked a Russian sub with nukes onboard etc.
 
Quite simply, ain't going to happen.

The government in Belarus hadn't gotten its act together when the nation declared independence and the nukes had been withdrawn by the time it did. Kazakhstan had been used as a nuclear testing ground and had bad experiences with the radioactivity there-of, so they gave them up willingly.

Ukraine actually did try to hold onto their warheads, the US talked them out of it by offering economic aid packages if they gave them up and threatening sanctions* if they didn't.

*They were not going to invade a nuclear armed nation, now would they?
 
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