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I'm reading a couple books right now on the Russo-Japanese War and it seems to me that the Japanese military was very lucky. That first strike against Port Arthur was a crucial maneuver that, had it gone wrong for whatever reason, would have crippled the Japanese military right from the beginning. There was also a surprising lack of competent Russian officers. The Japanese got really lucky here, but for a timeline I'm working on I was really hoping I could find a few butterflies to give the Japanese an even more decisive victory in the RJW. I'm only partway through these books but it seems all counterfactuals or easy butterflies posited in them would have given the advantage the the Russians, not the other way around.

Does anybody have any ideas how it could be done, and what the results would be?
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