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Assume that the US doesn't develop the Bomb till late 1946 [year late]

Operation Downfall goes ahead. With Both the US and Russia still involved in the Pacific -?What Happens to Europe?

Britain/Commonwealth has two Divisions involved in Operation Downfall, as well as troops in Indonesia [Independent Japanese Ally]
And France is in Indo China.
So I assume Lend Lease is still ongoing in place of the Marshall plan for Them.

But Europe has experienced a much larger pull down of American troops. So will there be a ""Marshall Plan"" for Europe.

With Russia still Involved in The Pacific, Will the '' Arrest '' of the Free Polish Government still take place when they return to Poland.

?Do Whe still Get NATO and then the Warsaw Pact? The EEC, and the EU?
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