Interesting and plausible are two vastly different things. It’d be more likely the US turning to socialism than having Ethiopia join up with Nazi Germany.Yes, this is true. Although it would be interesting if the Ethiopians aligned themselves with the Nazis.
You think the Bolsheviks won't successfully seize power?
And no. The Bolsheviks only did so because the Provisional Government refused to exit the war despite people insisting on it.
Here, Russia is doing a lot better in the war so there won’t be as much complaint to do so and claiming Constantinople would just further keep the people happy.
We might get a February Revolution after the war given how it was a bloodless coup though, but Lenin is very likely to fail in his endeavors. He’s much too radical to be elected