Elizabeth Tudor, Queen of Sweden

Maybe. But Spain will still be unable to do anything more than talking...
If he try to invade England, you can be sure who France and the German Protestant princes will use the opportunity for trying to get personal advantages (and maybe the Ottomans also)...
Karl has way too much enemies everywhere for conceding himself the luxury of a revenge for his cousins’ eventual death (who will be either for high treason - aka none of his business - or apparently natural)

I guess you're right. Although TBH, I think with Liz married off to a Protestant and Edward healthy, I wonder if he wouldn't try to marry Mary off abroad. If only to get a potential lightning-rod out of the country. Mary can't disobey her sovereign everyone AGREES is legitimate.

But I think we're digressing from the original point. If Liz marries Erik in 1549/1550, I'd imagine they'd be likely to have their first kid relatively quickly - two horny ginger teenagers :) - and if a son is born early enough (say 1550/1551) it's NOT unthinkable that they might try for one of the ex-duchess of Milan's daughters for a bride. Renée married a guy four years younger than her OTL, pity that Dorothée was lame, otherwise she'd be more suitable agewise).
 
OK. So let's assume that Erik and Elizabeth married in 1550, their firstborn (Gustav) is born in 1552, Erik Jr follows in 1554. Meanwhile E6 is healthier, but still dies childless in 1566. So teenage Gustav is going to succeede him with Elizabeth being skipped in succession, right?
 
OK. So let's assume that Erik and Elizabeth married in 1550, their firstborn (Gustav) is born in 1552, Erik Jr follows in 1554. Meanwhile E6 is healthier, but still dies childless in 1566. So teenage Gustav is going to succeede him with Elizabeth being skipped in succession, right?
Pretty likely who Edward will go for that route, considering who in OTL he originally willed the crown to Lady Jane Grey’s male heirs

I guess you're right. Although TBH, I think with Liz married off to a Protestant and Edward healthy, I wonder if he wouldn't try to marry Mary off abroad. If only to get a potential lightning-rod out of the country. Mary can't disobey her sovereign everyone AGREES is legitimate.

But I think we're digressing from the original point. If Liz marries Erik in 1549/1550, I'd imagine they'd be likely to have their first kid relatively quickly - two horny ginger teenagers :) - and if a son is born early enough (say 1550/1551) it's NOT unthinkable that they might try for one of the ex-duchess of Milan's daughters for a bride. Renée married a guy four years younger than her OTL, pity that Dorothée was lame, otherwise she'd be more suitable agewise).
Marrying Mary abroad (and let her marrying at all) was too much dangerous for Edward (who feared her possible succession and wanted the extinction of her bloodline).
I can not see Elizabeth and Erik’s son marrying a Catholic princess from Lorraine (claim on Denmark or not) so I think more likely a match with a German Protestant princess (unless alliances or treaties required a match with an Austrian/Danish/French girl). Considering who here we are butterflying Philip and Mary’s wedding (so he will remarry most likely to either Maria of Viseu or Kristina of Denmark but Margaret of France is still possible if a treaty require it) who will inherit Netherlands? OTL Karl was very undecided between Philip and Maria&Maximilian before giving them to Philip for his heirs from his second wedding so here is possible if not likely who Netherlands will go to the Austrian Habsburg (maybe directly to Mary&Maximilian’s second son?)
 
If Mary Tudor knows that Edward VI is not sickly, she will marry to Philip of Bavaria, she is not stupid.
 
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Now Johan Vasa, not being King of Sweden when his brother-in-law dies, could convert to Catholicism (he had Catholic leanings OTL, and Catholic wife & children) and run for Polish throne. Being married to Sigismund Augustus' sister he would be obvious winner (thus Henri de Valois is never going to Poland, so not going to meet his Lorraine cousin on the way). Thus in 1573 House of Vasa would hold 3 thrones.
 
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