Would this mean a neutral UK if World War I happens on schedule? Or would Belgium’s neutrality still bring Britain into the war. Which also reminds me, what about the Russian Civil War?
This is going to devastate Japan. The country had nearly bankrupted itself winning the war. Bankrupting itself and losing the war is going to cause significant social unrest. ...
johnboy did an excellent TL on this, and he’s even published it.
One of the best imho
Does this mean Germany will defeat Russia in the Great War faster than they did OTL? That's bad news for France and Britain.In a next large conflict (whatever it may be - alt-WWI or another colonial adventure) Russia will have much more chances to get beaten to a pulp. OTL the defeat from the Japan was a rude awakening and triggered a military overhaul which was not finished by 1914. In TTL there will be no reason to change anything.
Does this mean Germany will defeat Russia in the Great War faster than they did OTL? That's bad news for France and Britain.
No, because that assumes everything else happens on cue. A Russian Victory does require naval success BTW and that's inherently unlikely after the destruction of the Far Easter Fleet.
But you then have at least an apparently strong Russia ( big Scary Steamroller) without the constitutional issues ( probably) interfering with the Balkans starting 1905 of the Moroccan Crisis and perfidious diplomats using that to break the triple alliance into pieces.
But at the same time, others have pointed out that Russia will not have enacted the same military reforms as it did OTL, as it was able to defeat the Japanese using their old army.If WW1 happens similarly, I assume Russia will be more politically stable, and therefore stay in longer?
No, it doesn't. Russian naval success would certainly expedite a Russian victory in the War, but victory is not contingent upon that matter. Better Russian performance in the Battles of Sandepu and/or Mukden are far more important to a Russian victory in the war than a naval victory. If the Russian Army isn't broken in Southern Manchuria and maintains control of the region it doesn't matter if the Japanese have naval dominance, because the Russians will still hold Southern Manchuria and be able to be reinforced via that Trans-Siberian. The Japanese economy cannot withstand the strain put on it by a war that continues to drag on and the Russians will eventually be able to steamroll the Japanese forces thanks to numbers alone.A Russian Victory does require naval success BTW and that's inherently unlikely after the destruction of the Far Easter Fleet.