Effects of No 22nd Amendment

Well, the two-term rule was pretty much entrenched in tradition even before the 22nd ammendment. Even the immensly popular FDR took some heat for breaking it. The reason the 22nd ammendment was passed was to turn an unwritten rule into an enforceable one. Even if they didn't pass it, no one is really going to run for a third term unless there are some extreme circumstances to justify it. Although I suppose that if FDR did it, and then another President does it (Eisenhower perhaps) then maybe the tradition begins to crumble.
 
Eisenhower's too old to seek term 3. Nixon may have among some others (I think there was a bit of a movement when Clinton came down to the wire to amend the Constitution so he could seek term 3). But, you could have butterflies to deal with there.

But anyway, it was already an unofficial guideline, sort of like the Cabinet; absolutely nothing in the Constitution for it, but it exists because it was an institution created by tradition. I don't see too much change until someone seeks term 3; they you have butterflies.
 
Well let's see, Kennedy died, LBJ quit, Nixon resigned, Ford lost his first bid as did Carter and Bush I, Bush II would have lost in a landslide if he'd tried it.

So assuming almost no other changes (and with this kind of PoD it's quite possible I think) the only options for running for 3rd terms are Reagan and Clinton. Reagan was feeling some of the early Alzheimer's effects at the tail end of his term so it's possible the rigors of a campaign might have been too much for him combined with age.

Polls showed Clinton would have won a third term had he run but that might have been an abstract since he wasn't actually in there campaigning. Still from a "most possible" standpoint I think you have to give the edge to Clinton followed by Reagan only because of Reagan's health issues.
 
Well let's see, Kennedy died, LBJ quit, Nixon resigned, Ford lost his first bid as did Carter....


I think, if the butterflies don't flap their wings very hard, that Reagan could almost pull off a third term; even with his age he'd probably have at least 280 Electoral Votes left in him. Bus I doesn't get his chance, and Clinton could get elected... and then serve three terms just maybe. That would be interesting: two three-term presidents in a row of opposing parties.
 
when was he diagnosed with alzheimer's?

if he did run again, i'd expect a resignation by 1992.

I think '94, but Alzheimer's and senility are different things. Reagan was already going senile (sadly beginning while still in the Presidency -term two-), and he was going to be too old to wanna run anyway.
 
I think '94, but Alzheimer's and senility are different things. Reagan was already going senile (sadly beginning while still in the Presidency -term two-), and he was going to be too old to wanna run anyway.

but sorry for the JFK arguments. I just thought the youtube channel capitalistholocaust was reliable given his use of declassified documents.

As well as that, there was rethinking camelot, by noam chomsky which stuck in my mind.
 
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