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What if instead of attacking Pearl Harbor reasonable voices that saw that attacking the US would be the destruction of Japan prevailed and Japan instead took the desicion to go all-out on China to finish it off?
I mean, the entire reason for PH was to get the resources to continue the war in China anyway. So what if the Japanese just decide to bet everything on China and either bring it down or die trying?
I didn't set a specific date for Ichigo because I honestly have no idea what is the earliest date possible. But let's suppose they do it in the earliest date possible.