What's the biggest butterfly that can happen if a long-feared escalation of the Iraqi no-fly zones happens soon before the 1996 election?
Whether by Saddam ordering a riskier posture to inflict an election-time defeat or just by coincidence, the Iraqi military succeeds in downing an American fighter, and the crew of the fighter is killed, and just to have the worst case scenario, the attempted CSAR is a botch that has several additional casualties with nothing to show for it.
I still highly doubt it would change the presidential outcome, but what would it affect?
Whether by Saddam ordering a riskier posture to inflict an election-time defeat or just by coincidence, the Iraqi military succeeds in downing an American fighter, and the crew of the fighter is killed, and just to have the worst case scenario, the attempted CSAR is a botch that has several additional casualties with nothing to show for it.
I still highly doubt it would change the presidential outcome, but what would it affect?