Eastern European Borders after CP victory?

In this scenario, the Tsarist government would be forced to make peace double-quick, recognising the full hopelessness of its situation. The Russians were at this point pretty deep into Galicia, with only a sliver of western Poland in German hands (and the pesky Serbs still at large) and with the home front not yet showing the full strains of war, so they do still have a negotiating position. As a matter of fact, they and Britain would probably turn up at a general conference prompted by a defeat in France.

But in any case, German ambitions in the east weren't very well artciulated at this point, but as late as 1916, Bethmann-Hollweg would have restored the borders of 1914 if he needed to, so I don't see much beyond a Hapsburg Congress Poland and a Lithuanian kingdom with a German on the throne, if anything. There were no really great prizes for Germany in eastern Europe.

Serbia's toast.



Britain can't be "knocked out" (nor indeed can 1915 Russia). They can only be forced to make peace by the knock-out of France - peace from a position in which they retain an advantage or two.



Ukraine's out. In 1915, almost anybody would have laughed at the idea of making the Little Russian Governorates independent. Romania, with its German king, might well come in for Besserabia if they have enough time. Austrians might not like it, though.

Finland is just rather far away from the Germans, and its armed forces under Russian command weren't too unreliable. I do, however, predict major trouble for the Tsar down the line in which the various remaining nationalities can have their role.

Nice to see a measured balanced post, after the strange argument I got into in Media forum

Basically, I agree :)

Montenegro would also probably be able to make peace, perhaps with Nicholas having to abdicate for one of his sons.

Best Regards
Grey Wolf
 
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