Easter Rising Called off

What if the IRB decided that the Easter Rising wasnt going to be worth it and calls off the rising?

How would Irish Politics be affected?
 
What if the IRB decided that the Easter Rising wasnt going to be worth it and calls off the rising?

How would Irish Politics be affected?

An easier POD would be to eliminate Casement's mission to Germany completely or have the Germans decide against sending arms.

In late 1915 Connolly was threatening to lead the Citizens Army in a rising all by itself if the Irish Volunteers failed to so. The Irish Volunteers were forced to kidnap Connolly at one point to forestall that. Maybe if Jim Larkin remains in Ireland (or comes back) the emphasis might shift from an armed uprising to strikes.
 
No terrible beauty

I tried this line last year. The terrible beauty would have been strangled at birth and the constitutional nationalists would have remained in control i.e. Redmond and Dillon and there may have been no legacy of bitterness. However conscription was a potential flashpoint. The Irish Nationalist Partywas still holding its own until conscription came in.
The likely outcome would have been home rule in 1919 minus parts of the North East but it may well have been unstable with a strong independence party possibly lead by De Valera emerging and achieving imndependence in time but without much violence
 
I tried this line last year. The terrible beauty would have been strangled at birth and the constitutional nationalists would have remained in control i.e. Redmond and Dillon and there may have been no legacy of bitterness. However conscription was a potential flashpoint. The Irish Nationalist Partywas still holding its own until conscription came in.
The likely outcome would have been home rule in 1919 minus parts of the North East but it may well have been unstable with a strong independence party possibly lead by De Valera emerging and achieving imndependence in time but without much violence

This is a TL where Pearse is still alive relegating De V to obscurity.
 
Originally posted by Andrew Hudson
The Irish Nationalist Party was still holding its own until conscription came in.

The British government did not impose conscription in Ireland.

The Irish Nationalist Party was losing by-elections to Sinn Fein in 1917:

3 March 1917: North Roscommon
10 May 1917: South Longford
10 July 1917: East Clare (won by Eamon de Valera)
10 August 1917: (won by William Cosgrave).

If there had been no Easter Rising the Irish Nationalist Party would still have lost heavily in the general election held on 14 December 1918 because of the conscription crisis, though it would have done better than in OTL. In that election 25 Sinn Fein candidates were elected unopposed.

Without the Easter Rising and if the British government had not tried to impose conscription in Ireland in 1918, the Irish Nationalist Party would still have lost seats compared with December 1910, but I expect it would have done considerably better than in OTL, possibly winning a majority of the 79 seats in Ireland not won by the Unionists.
 
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