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WI either there had been different luck at Manaassa/ Bull run and Richmond fell in 1861 and the rest of the CSA colapsed
OR there had been a more aggressive General at Antitham and Lee had surrendered having had his retreat stopped.
Given the terms of the preliminary Emancipaction proclamation if it were obvius the south was losing some states might have ceased rebellion to keep the rights of the ruling group to own human beings