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What if Porfirio retires gracefully instead of trying to run for reelection that last time?
What if Madero lives?
What if the ABC powers (Argentina, Brazil, Chile) don’t mediate between the US and Mexico over the Tampico affair in 1914? Another mediator? Bilateral settlement? Or a wider war? How long would that be?
What if the US recognizes Villa before his raid? (allegedly Mexican leaders at the time of the revolution raided the US or allowed raids of the US to earn US recognition by proving they were necessary for securing the border).
What if the US recognizes Carranza months before the Zimmerman Telegram?
(allegedly Mexican leaders at the time of the revolution raided the US or allowed raids of the US to earn US recognition by proving they were necessary for securing the border).
Any of these might butterfly Zimmerman Telegram. Would that delay or negate the US DoW on Germany?