Earliest Possible Succesful Greek Revolt

As the title suggests, what is the earliest possible chance Greece has of freeing itself from Ottomon rule? Furthermore, what is the largest Greece could be using this revolt as a POD?
 

katchen

Banned
I wonder if a Greek revolt in 1806 would have attracted the armies of Napoleon and Tsar Alexander after they signed the Treaty of Tislit, into attacking the Ottomans and defending the Greek Revolt. OTL the Tsar did not take Napoleon up on his offer to partition the Ottoman Empire and Napoleon later got diverted by the Spanish Revolt but if the Greeks had revolted,, it likely would have created some urgency and gotten both of them off dead center, neither one of them wanting the other to run in and exploit the situation alone.
Most likely though, it would result in a Greece that was a vassal of Napoleon--until Napoleon was defeated at the Congress of Vienna. Then, Greece would likely get full independence over the Peninsula, with the Russians getting Salonika and Kavalla and the British getting the Greek Islands. There might not be an Ottoman Empire to ressurect at that point.
 
As the title suggests, what is the earliest possible chance Greece has of freeing itself from Ottomon rule? Furthermore, what is the largest Greece could be using this revolt as a POD?

Just curious, what is more important? Larger Greece or a Greece that is independent for longer?
 
The Orlov Revolt (1770) is a good moment for that, it was the most serious revolt with view to establishing autonomy or independence before 1821. You can go even earlier, but the earlier you go, the hardest it is for the Greeks to win.
 
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