Hi I recently read an online PDF that analyze China’s rapid economic growth. The author examines past attempts, of industrialization the self strenghting movement ,the Republican era and the great leap forward. He explains why they failed and why Deng reforms succeeded.
Basically, he says that a country has to go through five stages to successfully industrialize.
1 Protoindustrialization : rural manufacturing for long distance trade.
2 first industrial revolution: which features the mass production of labor intensive goods (textiles, apparel).
3 industrial Trinity boom: railroads, mass supply of energy etc.
4 second industrial revolution steel, machine tools.
5welfare state universal suffrage ,human rights.
He argues that China succeded because this time choose (perhaps for lack of funds to invest in small village industries (Protoindustrialization) which like a chain reaction led to its first industrial revolution becoming the biggest exporter of textiles. which then lead to the second industrial revoution becoming the biggest exporter.
He makes the case that qing China and the republic of China could have ssucceded if they started with small industries in the country side (like Japan did).
what he completely seems to ignore is that both qing China and the Republican China did not have control of its ports\tariffs also there was not a free market like we know it the raw materials were controlled by the Western powers
I know little of economic development so my question is could qing China or Republican China have had the same success that the 1978 reforms had?
Basically, he says that a country has to go through five stages to successfully industrialize.
1 Protoindustrialization : rural manufacturing for long distance trade.
2 first industrial revolution: which features the mass production of labor intensive goods (textiles, apparel).
3 industrial Trinity boom: railroads, mass supply of energy etc.
4 second industrial revolution steel, machine tools.
5welfare state universal suffrage ,human rights.
He argues that China succeded because this time choose (perhaps for lack of funds to invest in small village industries (Protoindustrialization) which like a chain reaction led to its first industrial revolution becoming the biggest exporter of textiles. which then lead to the second industrial revoution becoming the biggest exporter.
He makes the case that qing China and the republic of China could have ssucceded if they started with small industries in the country side (like Japan did).
what he completely seems to ignore is that both qing China and the Republican China did not have control of its ports\tariffs also there was not a free market like we know it the raw materials were controlled by the Western powers
I know little of economic development so my question is could qing China or Republican China have had the same success that the 1978 reforms had?