Eagles of the Fair Country

First, a bit of context.

Since January of 2018, @Kanan has had a thread devoted to her timeline, Our Fair Country. Despite the incredible level of detail present in other areas, the focus (and namesake) is the Commonwealth of New England. On June 11th, the Our Fair Summer Contest was announced, the central premise being an ISOT into/of an area in the OFC world.

In December of 2018, I began posting a collection of things I will refer to as stuff to a thread: Eagles of the Reichsbanner, going into the world/history that arose from what was once a simple idea and has only gotten more complex since.

As you've probably gathered by this point, I've put two and two together - literally, though perhaps 'one and one' would be more accurate, there. Once I got to work, though, I realized that the ideas I had needed more legroom that I could fit in one map. Or even several maps; I want to do the scenario some justice, and at least answer some of the in my opinion very interesting questions that arose from the one I chose: the war-torn Soviet Union of OFC-1946 is dropped into EotR, multi-million-man German-Polish-allied army included.

So I've made a bunch of the same sort of stuff (no poems yet, though) for this as I've made for EotR itself. While most of what I've made so far has been shown in the official OFC discord, the smorgasbord of stuff is getting to the point that stuffing it into one post would be difficult (and not exactly easy to read). Furthermore, if even one person finds it as interesting as I do, just plunking it in the OFC thread would cause a lot of barely-on-topic diversion from the timeline itself.

In order to resolve these issues, I've decided to post these things in their own thread - the threefold idea being:
  1. The ISOT scenario/timeline will hopefully be interesting enough to merit reading and discussion on its own.
  2. I can organize everything to a degree far greater than the alternatives, making it easier to submit, look over, and vote on for the contest.
  3. This way, the downsides of putting this in the OFC or EotR threads are avoided; ideally, some folks familiar with one or neither will be interested in enough in the context of this scenario to go to either or both.

I'll be putting what I've made so far in the following posts, starting with the thing that really got the ball rolling for me, regarding the scenario as a whole.
 
Introduction
Heinrich and Wilhelm

Heinrich’s day has been pleasant, in a mundane way. The weather was nice, the locomotive wasn’t causing any trouble. Once they passed the appropriately-named Bahnsonderzollstelle (Special Railway Customs Office), it would be a smooth ride and he could finally pack all the paperwork away properly. As long as it was outside the case it was technically meant to always be in, Heinrich was just a touch nervous. But, especially since they’d been trying to make up for a delay they’d started out with back in Breslau, it wouldn’t do to unpack and repack it all for each of the border crossings along the route towards St. Petersburg.


The train slows as the small complex comes into view. The sight of it is familiar by now, but differed each time he saw it. Heinrich’s brow furrows as he spots the fence. There had been one as long as he was bringing trains though, but this one was significantly taller, with proper barbed wire at the top. With a glance at the packs of cigarettes half-hidden beside the metal box he’d kept his food in, Heinrich can’t help but wonder if it’s someone finally cracking down on the definitely-not-illegal side business everyone was doing there.


Of course, if the fence had been replaced, it may have been because someone pushed things too far. Heinrich considers the last time he’d spoken to Grigori, the man he’d been buying hats from for the past year. He’d mentioned some plan to finally make the entrance through the fence something a bit more dignified than a hole to crawl under. Now, he couldn’t fault the man - he wouldn’t want to squirm through the dirt just to dodge whatever import taxes he’d otherwise need to pay either. But if he’d been caught…


These thoughts are cut short as the train gets closer, and Heinrich’s eyes go up to the flag as it shifts, the wind changing direction. Above the main building, the customs office itself, is a familiar but wholly unexpected design: the old Reichskriegsflagge, of the German Empire. For a moment, Heinrich stares, unsure he’s seeing right until one of the apprentices turns to him, asking exactly what’s on his mind - why the customs office, sitting on a slice of German territory in Russia, was flying an illegal flag.


And there wasn’t any mistake about it. Heinrich, like so many other men his age, had spent years fighting under it. His war stories were somewhat infamous among the others; he had been a soldier, then been pulled off the front to use his engineering skills, on the eastern front. The back-and-forth of rebuilding railways, destroying them as the Russians advanced, then coming back to rebuild them again, had led to more than a few boasts of having built half of the railway network east of the border.


It wasn’t like the region didn’t have its fair share of buildings flying it, of course. Heinrich isn’t sure how many it actually is, but he’s heard that tens of thousands of old Freikorps men are still around, spread across the region between Riga and Archangelsk. But they generally knew better than to fly their flags too close to where the Republic had set up shop, and they certainly wouldn’t be allowed into an official building like this. Even in the heyday of the Prussian League, they wouldn’t be so bold as to try and take it over by force. And with the Kingdom of Prussia dead for almost twenty years, they surely wouldn’t dare to try anything like it. Yet there was no mistaking that flag, or the message it was sending.


Straightening, Heinrich gathers his papers, giving instructions to the apprentices and opening the old, squeaking cabinet his uniform is on. Generally, it wasn’t worth getting soot on the jacket just for a quick showing of papers for a local customs officer who he knew well enough to be using du with. But now, though? Well, if old Hans was still there, he’d certainly be getting an earful.


---


Hauptmann Wilhelm was not having a good day. As always, there were more disquieting reports than hopeful ones coming through. And while he wasn’t technically privy to that information, with a bit of reading between the lines and comparing personal records, it was clear that the number of trains coming in was too low, as well. How were they supposed to finish off the Bolsheviks without proper supplies?


Just after lunch, though, these all-too-common daily woes were replaced by an unusual report. A train had come in, and its locomotive driver had apparently barged into the main building demanding to speak to the local man in charge. Odder still, he had been ranting about the flag - and his train wasn’t any of those meant to be coming in, or one that had been delayed the day before. Apparently, one of the younger officers had inspected the train, and come back with more questions than answers.


A locomotive made by a German-Czech company that didn’t exist, with modern wagons (with obviously pre- or early-war construction standards) bearing the marks of a company that had gone under in 1930 and never reappeared. A crew of young men that looked like they should be on the front, not helping deliver supplies, who looked at the inspecting soldiers with far too much suspicion for a fellow German. Finally, a man in a bastardized version of a reserve officer’s uniform, barging in with a confidence that would make him a madman if his papers weren’t all in order (they weren’t, but only because they had the wrong flag; otherwise, they were entirely proper)...bearing his name.


Looking down at the set of papers that had been laid on his desk again, Wilhelm can’t help but ask himself what could be happening. Too much of it was correct to be a case of happenstance. Heinrich Wilhelm Stipulkowski, his name. Geboren am 13.03.1896, his birth date. His birth town. His education. His apprenticeship. His military service, until 1919.


Then there were the differences. Service as a reserve officer rather than being called back into the army in 1938. These were what Wilhelm had pointed out first, but in truth it was what followed that affected him most. Marital status. It called back the gnawing question that had been in his mind ever since that dark day in November of 1940, of what would have been, if he hadn’t been in Russia. It was what sat in his mind now, as he looked down into the room where the man with his name sat, posture straight, foot tapping a to an unheard tune that reminds him of happier times. It had been her favorite song, too.


Wilhelm silently compares himself to the man, who seemed to prefer Heinrich, just like he had until that rather public case of a man with that name trying to assassinate von Papen. Despite being the same age, he reminds him of a younger version of himself. Hair has more color to it, more thickness. Face is less wrinkled - albeit, stained with soot, but one could hardly expect otherwise from a man driving a locomotive. The scars are missing, but of course they are. Germany wasn’t a place where you faced shrapnel in peacetime. He has the Iron Cross from 1917.


After taking a moment to compose himself, Wilhelm heads down the stairs, making sure his expression is calm, his voice even as he reminds adjutant to ensure a full protocol is kept. This will certainly be a unique interrogation.
 
A Bird's Eye View
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This is Europe just after the ISOT, on the first of March, 1946.

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Retrospectives
And now some things made with a specifically retrospective...perspective.

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...And that's all so far! There's at least one more thing coming, a write-up, but this should be the majority, at least.
 
I've followed this and this is really breathtaking.

This is really a whole other level of ISOT, there is no way anyone else will win the contest lmao.
 
Food and the Butter Offensive
Thanks!

And now, the final bit segment - I was considering doing more, but the past week has ended up being quite busy, so this is most likely going to be the final bit.

The Role of Agriculture and Nutritional Policy in the Post-Arrival Conflicts

Part I
Introductory Summary

Starting in the summer of 1946, the two primary polities that controlled the vast majority of both Arrived land and population exchanged roles regarding what would rapidly become the most important resource in the conflict over the Baltics and Russia: grain. Before the Arrival, the Soviet Union had been pushed out of much of their western territory by the combined offensives of those who would later become the Arrived Germans, and their allies. In the years before the arrival, the country suffered greatly as a result, being unable to import sufficient stocks of food to make up for the loss of their primary domestic agricultural regions. At the same time, the later Arrived Germans and their allies controlled these regions as well as having supply lines extending into both Southern/Eastern and Central Europe: any local shortfalls could be compensated for by drawing increased supply from the homelands of the armies of the anti-Soviet forces (also called the "Pact forces", after the Anti-Comintern Pact). This mismatch was clearly visible in the gulf between the nutrition policies of the occupation regime in the Operational Zone of Military Affairs (OZMA; before the Arrival there had been a local Russian government established by the advancing Pact forces, but due both to its disappearance before the Arrival and its lack of autonomy, 'OZMA' will be used to refer to the period of time in which this government existed as well).

The Arrival immediately caused a shift in the OZMA-USSR paradigm. With the immediate end of shipments from the Pact homelands, the Arrived armies faced a situation not unlike that of their Soviet opponents: no longer able to rely on shipments from the outside world, local production became paramount in the fight against starvation. It would remain so for the entirety of the brief existence of the OZMA and, later, the areas controlled by the “Deutsche Reichstreue Armee” (German Reich-loyal Army; both the military organization itself as well as the occupation regime, the Deutsche Reichstreue Armeegebiet, 'German Reich-loyal Army Territory', used and will be referred to with the acronym DRA), as even at the height of imports and foreign support, the requirements of the DRA and local civilian population could only be supported with full exploitation of domestic agricultural production. Simultaneously, the USSR's situation was made more precarious by the loss of Vladivostok and parts of eastern Siberia - however, these losses did not represent a destabilizing factor of the same impact as the loss of the Pact homelands had for those in the OZMA.

As a final note to the immediate shift caused by the Arrival, the import of foodstuffs by the Soviet Union from Persia and Afghanistan which began in the summer of 1946 may have represented an increase to those possible before the Arrival. Due to a lack of available information (this work is unfortunately limited to the usage of archival information that has been released and translated into German, Polish or English), it is not presently possible to make further claims regarding the impact of the Arrival in this context.

After the Arrival, the USSR began a series of westward offensives. While this work will not go into further detail (those interested in the rapid alteration of Soviet plans post-Arrival, and the precise events of the following battles are encouraged to read the excellent work of Solzhenitsyn and Solzhenitsyn, which is the first to incorporate accounts of Arrived soldiers on both sides of the conflict, as well as that of Arrived civilians in the region), of immediate relevance is the recapture of the Caucasus region by the Red Army and local rebels between April and June of 1946. With this, one of the Soviet Union's two largest food-production regions had been brought back under Soviet control. While the fighting had significantly impacted the agricultural output of the area, it nonetheless represented a significant relief for the USSR. For the Pact forces, the loss of the region was a significant blow that erased much of the progress of previously-begun initiatives (which are the subject of later chapters) to increase production as well as decreasing consumption. Only the decimation of the Pact armies and massive contraction of the OZMA, both in terms of land area and population, coupled with the increase in production and shipment of food from Ukraine, delayed the food crisis that would otherwise have resulted shortly thereafter.

As the summer continued, the OZMA continued to shrink, local uprisings erupting in the wake of retreating Pact occupation troops or as a result of new, aggressive requisitions. The official withdrawal of Arrived Polish troops from the OZMA and into the "Liberated Territories" (as they were called by local Arrived Polish occupation forces) represented the formalization of the existing status quo - desertion rates among non-German Pact armies resulted in these rapidly melting into hardened cores, fully integrated into what would become the DRA to replace the tens of thousands of Arrived Germans which deserted or entered Finnish service. The more impactful agreements between the Polish and Soviet governments were the agreement to an armistice (despite the presence of Soviet forces in Rostov), which itself carried stipulations regarding delivery of “important war supplies” into the OZMA. By the end of June, shipments of food into the rump OZMA had slowed; not for political reasons, as is commonly believed, but rather for logistical ones, as the distance between Ukraine and the OZMA continually increased, and new rail routes needed to be used, in the face of the Red Army's unbroken advance. By the end of July, food shipments came to an end - this time, for political reasons, as part of the first phase of the lengthy negotiations between Poland and the USSR regarding Rostov.

Despite the loss of Ukrainian grain, the OZMA's food supply did not face immediate collapse - just as the OZMA ceased to exist and was replaced by the DRA, an agreement was drawn up between St. Petersburg (the new official capital of the DRA; the OZMA did not have a de jure capital, but its administration was previously centered in Moscow) and Helsinki. The agreement, often called an alliance, revived the institution of the Prussian Legion of the 1920s, gathering volunteers from the DRA and forming them into an autonomous arm of the Finnish Defense Forces, as well as establishing a quota of grain deliveries into the DRA in exchange for various goods (which only briefly reached the value of the imported grain). This “lifeline” allowed for the DRA to consolidate its defense without the immediate threat of starvation; during this time, the DRA also established official trade relations with Estonia and Latvia, opening a smaller but still significant line of supply.

For various reasons, primarily the high number of deserted DRA soldiers crossing the border, Estonia and Latvia implemented strict border controls as well as limitations on imports and exports with the DRA. This would be the political basis of the following conflict, though the requirements of the DRA could not be met through trade (despite the “surplus” paid by Finland), lending some credence to the claims that Operation Ordenstaat, the DRA invasion of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania, would have been executed regardless of the actions of the Baltic governments. Regardless of the answer to that question, which is worthy of investigation in its own work, the DRA invaded and occupied all three countries over the course of late August to early September, setting the stage for the “Butter Offensive” that would come later.

The immediate aftermath of the DRA's invasion was an improvement in the nutritional situation of the eastern regions; many parallels have been drawn to the occupation of Romania in 1916 regarding the occupation policy, which was founded on light-handed extraction of local resources and the avoidance of requisitions where possible. These policies were supported and enabled by the Baltic Germans (here used in the modern sense, which includes those of German heritage in Lithuania, rather than the term's historical use, which included only those of old German ancestry living in the former Baltic governorates of the Russian Empire), who at the time remained the largest landowners in Estonia and Latvia. By the end of October, these “gentle” methods were exhausted, as local trust in the DRA currency declined and the ability to pay in other currencies dwindled. Further, the naval blockade by the German and British navies that began in mid-October ended any hopes of using Riga or Tallinn to import additional food from new foreign sources. The border with Poland, formerly closed, was now fully militarized in the aftermath of Ordenstaat, and the German-DRA border was similarly blocked, allowing only small packages of food (accompanied by the promise of “a full table and honest work” in the Republic to any DRA deserters) to pass through as part of an ongoing propaganda war.

Starting in November 1946, with the German-DRA ultimatum and the Baltic Uprising, the “Butter Offensive” swept over the entirety of the DRA.

---​

The Butter Offensive

The Butteroffensive was an operation that the Republikwehr carried out in the rapidly-expanding area under its control, as well as in the regions that were liberated by local resistance groups before their arrival. In a broad sense, the operation was a very simple one: basic foodstuffs would be supplied en masse to prisoners of war and locals alike, utilizing previously-stockpiled supplies gathered from domestic and foreign sources. Despite the claims and implications of the propaganda spread, both by the Republikwehr in the Baltic and the Solidarity regime in Germany, the operation had more than humanitarian aims. The first and second phase of the Butter Offensive had somewhat different, but fundamentally similar goals, and are therefore listed together here. These aims are taken from official documentation as well as private notes on the content of meetings in which it was planned.

- To act as a preventative measure against the threat of large, uncontrolled movement of refugees in search of food or other supplies
- To act as a preventative measure against the threat of criminality and partisan-esque activity in the rear of the army
- To further degrade the morale of the DRA by showing the logistical superiority of the Republikwehr
- To discourage and demoralize pockets of DRA troops that could otherwise continue fighting
- In Russia, to immediately present a practical difference to the DRA occupation regime
- In Russia, to secure the goodwill of the locals and aid in the rapid build-up of local administration
- In Russia, to offer a “counteroffer to the Bolshevik dictatorship”

Highlights of the Butter Offensive, and its crowning successes in the eyes of many, were the negotiated “Hunger Surrenders” of Pskov, Novgorod and, finally, St. Petersburg itself, where DRA forces agreed to lay down their arms in exchange for immediate shipments of food.

“It is not without some irony that I gave the message along. Here we were, on the outskirts of the city, a hundred thousand men or more, and even though the men inside had given up, we were to remain at our posts. No parades, even though we had nowhere to rush to next. Instead of the officers riding in on horses, or the men marching in, or even the tanks, rolling down the street to give the locals a taste of real German technology, we were sending in a Brot-Blitz [a nickname for a truck filled with food, combining ‘Brot’ (Bread) with the ‘Blitz’ (Lightning) name of the truck line that supplied most of the Republikwehr’s wheeled transports] formation. This war is the first of its kind: a war where it is not the strength of armies or the spirit of soldiers, but the labor of the farmers of Pomerania and Pannonia that bring about the enemy's defeat.”
- Diary of Alfred Guthausen, on the day of the ‘Hunger Surrender’ of Pskov; all emphasis present in the original.
 
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