Does a Chinese Nationalist victory stall the spread of Communism?

I don't know if this has been covered before but I can't find any real mention of it elsewhere. I was inspired by the Cold War Collaborative TL in which the Nationalists win the Chinese Civil War. How would such a nationalist victory, either a total victory or partial one allowing them to keep a substantial toehold on the Chinese mainland (ala "South China") affect the spread of communism throughout the rest of South East Asia, in particular in Indochina? Furthermore, how would a total or partial PRC defeat affect the country? Would we see it more Soviet orientated, perhaps dismembered or what?

Your thoughts would be appreciated,

Russell
 
Don't really know. Perhaps more U.S. and western Aid, maybe Chang Kai-shek dies early and is replaced by someone more competent. Perhaps there is never the disasterous offensive to try and dislodge the communists from Manchuria and stalemate eventually sets in? However you like.

Russell
 
Nationalist victory not necessarily implies that Communism is contained more than IOTL. Liberation movements in the third world will still go communist out of opposition to the western/capitalist system and out of the simple fact that the Soviet union by this time can provide substantial aid.

The direct consequences, though, should be that communism in Asia has a more difficult stand. If the whole of China is under KMT rule, North Korea is isolated. The Korean war will provide a much greater chance to escalate into WWIII, as in this TL, the Soviets must step in directly.

I think the most likely outcome would be a divided China with Northern China under Mao and Southern China (probably more or less former Song-China) under Chiang. A Korean war in this situation will likely result in a war between the Nationals and the communists in China as well. With the potential of becoming nuclear and international. If this could be avoided, given the development of the other "western" countries in the region (Singapore, Taiwan, Japan, South Korea) we'd likely see a richer South China developping earlier. We'd also probably see similar politics as in Germany: refugees going to South China, particularly the better-educated, closing of the frontier, propaganda wars, "new politics" alla Brandt.
 

Markus

Banned
Stalling the Commies in general or just in China? The latter depends on how the KMT wins and even more so how they act afterwards, in case of the former I´m with Monty Burns. There are others out there in the 3rd world to carry on with this deadly folly.
 
To be honest, i didn't really think that it would completely stall the spread of communism throughout the globe. i was more thinking about South East Asia. What about the Indochinese wars? Can they still end in a Communist victory now that their primary over alnd supply chain has been cut off?

Russell
 
KMT victory in China means communist defeat in Indochina, which means a US more willing to intervene against communism in the 3rd World (directly or indirectly), which potentially means US military involvement somewhere in the '60s-'80s.
 
Well big thing is, if China isn't "lost", most likely you don't have a Red Scare, and from that I'm guessing US Foreign Policy would be a lot saner.
 
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