TBH I think the 'rosy' result leads easily into *WW2.
Let's say Britain and Italy stay out due to an East First strategy.
The Germans roll into Russia, wiping out armies as they go, forcing the Russians to pull out of their romp in Galicia. Due to Franco-Russian diplomatic incompetence Bulgaria joins up earlier and Serbia is squashed. Romania might even side with the Central Powers if France looks bereft and Bessarabia is all but sitting on a plate.
The Eastern Front gets nasty as the Germans plough further on, before finally a crisis leads Nicholas to abdicate in favour of his brother Michael (no one trusted poor Alexis to take the throne), who oversees peace. Now the treaty is debatable. Originally in 1917 the Germans were happy to take Congress Poland and Lithuania but that might have been partly to hurry up a settlement so they could focus on the West, it was Trotsky's insane negotiating 'style' that led to Brest-Litovsk. However would a Germany on the top of the world, free of British blockade be as cagey or would they produce something as grand as what they ended up with 1918? Judging by their plans for Belgium and France I'd say they'd go big and therein the future peace of Europe is doomed.
Come the implosion of France, I imagine in a similar fashion to Germany's own defeat via internal chaos and armistice, the Germans shave off more of the border, possibly bully Luxembourg into the Reich and take some colonies.
So you've got Mitteleuropa, Mittelafrika and Austria-Hungary occupying Serbia. Kaiser Wilhelm will use his new super position to continue arms racing with Britain leading (if lucky) to a Cold War. Add to this a possible pro-democracy movement growing in Germany (the SPD will probably want more say after they bankrolled the war). If you're lucky, Wilhelm concedes but you'll probably end up with a constitutional crisis that ends with either Willy II abdicating or the Reichstag getting closed. Ultimately I imagine the former, leading to democratic government under Wilhelm III (though he wasn't very democratic so who knows), after a series of protests, riots and palace coups.
Austria-Hungary under Karl will be interesting but I think Serbia will bleed its will, come the Augsleich in 1927, I think Hungary might finally pull out if its aristocratic government hasn't been overthrown yet. Possibly a lovely multi-ethnic union but if so, a very unstable one.
Now Russia - you've got liberal Michael trying to bring democracy to Russia. I imagine a chaotic decade or two will lead to major revanchist tendencies (particularly for Belarus and the Russian half of Ukraine) or maybe even a full blown *fascist movement replete with anti-Semitism, full on Church backing and thanks to Mitteleuropa, a very attractive Panslavism. German domination of Europe is going to freak a lot of people out and I can see British and American assets flooding into Russia in the 1920s to provide the counterweight (In America's case financial against the protectionist Zollverein, in Britain's case more geopolitical).
Cut to 1940 or so, you've got a jingoistic (and industrialised) Russia, a spiteful France (I imagine under a pseudo-Gaullist like the PSF) and a worried Britain all keen to put the boot into Germany's hegemony which is probably a little ropey at this stage.
I see Russia launching Barbarossa in reverse, Britain dismantling the German colonial empire and battling for domination of the high seas and France holding off for a while. Simple weakness and probably quite an insular state at this point means France isn't in alliance with the old Entente members. However once Russia rolls into Warsaw, Romania switches sides and the RAF is levelling Hamburg, they'll get more confident. Britain might even look the other way for the sake of conflict resolution and support their army's passage through Belgium to punch into the Ruhr.
Not say that's how it would go but I think CP Victory could easily lead to WWII, even worse, if the *Entente won said war, WWIII isn't to difficult to imagine...
Let's say Britain and Italy stay out due to an East First strategy.
The Germans roll into Russia, wiping out armies as they go, forcing the Russians to pull out of their romp in Galicia. Due to Franco-Russian diplomatic incompetence Bulgaria joins up earlier and Serbia is squashed. Romania might even side with the Central Powers if France looks bereft and Bessarabia is all but sitting on a plate.
The Eastern Front gets nasty as the Germans plough further on, before finally a crisis leads Nicholas to abdicate in favour of his brother Michael (no one trusted poor Alexis to take the throne), who oversees peace. Now the treaty is debatable. Originally in 1917 the Germans were happy to take Congress Poland and Lithuania but that might have been partly to hurry up a settlement so they could focus on the West, it was Trotsky's insane negotiating 'style' that led to Brest-Litovsk. However would a Germany on the top of the world, free of British blockade be as cagey or would they produce something as grand as what they ended up with 1918? Judging by their plans for Belgium and France I'd say they'd go big and therein the future peace of Europe is doomed.
Come the implosion of France, I imagine in a similar fashion to Germany's own defeat via internal chaos and armistice, the Germans shave off more of the border, possibly bully Luxembourg into the Reich and take some colonies.
So you've got Mitteleuropa, Mittelafrika and Austria-Hungary occupying Serbia. Kaiser Wilhelm will use his new super position to continue arms racing with Britain leading (if lucky) to a Cold War. Add to this a possible pro-democracy movement growing in Germany (the SPD will probably want more say after they bankrolled the war). If you're lucky, Wilhelm concedes but you'll probably end up with a constitutional crisis that ends with either Willy II abdicating or the Reichstag getting closed. Ultimately I imagine the former, leading to democratic government under Wilhelm III (though he wasn't very democratic so who knows), after a series of protests, riots and palace coups.
Austria-Hungary under Karl will be interesting but I think Serbia will bleed its will, come the Augsleich in 1927, I think Hungary might finally pull out if its aristocratic government hasn't been overthrown yet. Possibly a lovely multi-ethnic union but if so, a very unstable one.
Now Russia - you've got liberal Michael trying to bring democracy to Russia. I imagine a chaotic decade or two will lead to major revanchist tendencies (particularly for Belarus and the Russian half of Ukraine) or maybe even a full blown *fascist movement replete with anti-Semitism, full on Church backing and thanks to Mitteleuropa, a very attractive Panslavism. German domination of Europe is going to freak a lot of people out and I can see British and American assets flooding into Russia in the 1920s to provide the counterweight (In America's case financial against the protectionist Zollverein, in Britain's case more geopolitical).
Cut to 1940 or so, you've got a jingoistic (and industrialised) Russia, a spiteful France (I imagine under a pseudo-Gaullist like the PSF) and a worried Britain all keen to put the boot into Germany's hegemony which is probably a little ropey at this stage.
I see Russia launching Barbarossa in reverse, Britain dismantling the German colonial empire and battling for domination of the high seas and France holding off for a while. Simple weakness and probably quite an insular state at this point means France isn't in alliance with the old Entente members. However once Russia rolls into Warsaw, Romania switches sides and the RAF is levelling Hamburg, they'll get more confident. Britain might even look the other way for the sake of conflict resolution and support their army's passage through Belgium to punch into the Ruhr.
Not say that's how it would go but I think CP Victory could easily lead to WWII, even worse, if the *Entente won said war, WWIII isn't to difficult to imagine...