They were going thought a lot of issues in the 1990s , They even lose to Chechnya!Given that their population is 50 times greater than that of Latvia and Estonia, I don't see why it wouldn't.
They were going thought a lot of issues in the 1990s , They even lose to Chechnya!Given that their population is 50 times greater than that of Latvia and Estonia, I don't see why it wouldn't.
Chechens had mountains to hide in.They were going thought a lot of issues in the 1990s , They even lose to Chechnya!
AFAIK, the reason that Kazakhstan was able to come out of the USSR in one piece in 1991 is because Kazakhs were in charge of the government there. Had Slavs been in charge of the Kazakh government in 1991, it's not outside the realm of possibility that they would have pushed to join Russia right after the collapse of the USSR.
They were going thought a lot of issues in the 1990s , They even lose to Chechnya!
So I think that even if the Russian-speaking population prevailed, it might be tempted to quickly become an "independent western country." But in this case, of course, there would be more equality in the rights of citizens with no civil death for the non-autochthonous population (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Non-citizens_(Latvia)).
In Chechnya, there was no friendly local population, in the Baltic States, though, a large support base for the local population may be found.
But in general considering the honeymoon in the relations between Russia and the West, Russia will by all means refrain from any pressure on the former union republics.
@DrakonFin, in this TL independent Baltic states may want to find salvation in a form of melting pot ideology. Colossians 3:11 enforced on the state level, 'Where there is neither Greek nor Jew, circumcision nor uncircumcision, Barbarian, Scythian, bond nor free: but Baltic Region equality is all, and in all.'
Switzerland is an example of four official languages equally promoted.
But IOTL, unfortunately, new governments have chosen the old way of a mono-national state and good old ethnic nationalism.
Personally, I think it is realistic to say that with nearly or over 50% Slavic/Russian population, all the Baltic states would have likely been politically more unstable than IOTL for the entire periof from 1990 to 2018.
who benefits from such instability, besides Russia?Of course, of course.
who benefits from such instability, besides Russia?
This is a constant loop of sorts isn't it? more Russians>more political instability>more non-Russians fleeing>even more Russian presence due to others leaving>eventually Russians are the inarguable supermajority in Estonia and Latvia.Maybe Poland, maybe Germany due to being regional powers.
Most probably EU as whole due to capital and manpower flight from the Baltic states.
This is a constant loop of sorts isn't it? more Russians>more political instability>more non-Russians fleeing>even more Russian presence due to others leaving>eventually Russians are the inarguable supermajority in Estonia and Latvia.
So in reality both groups would be roughly evenly represented in the group that is fleeing?It's dubious that only non-russian population decides to flee the politically unstable countries. Remember the precondition about them choosing the independent Baltic states because of higher living standards.
So in reality both groups would be roughly evenly represented in the group that is fleeing?
In OTL, Russians left by greater amounts than Latvians and Estonians, as many of them repatriated to their homeland (the percentage of Russians in Latvia and Estonia has been shrinking since 1991).So in reality both groups would be roughly evenly represented in the group that is fleeing?
In this case though it's there home land right there - no nationalists in power demanding they speak another language or seeing them as foreign colonists/agents.In OTL, Russians left by greater amounts than Latvians and Estonians, as many of them repatriated to their homeland (the percentage of Russians in Latvia and Estonia has been shrinking since 1991).
In this case though it's there home land right there - no nationalists in power demanding they speak another language or seeing them as foreign colonists/agents.
What stops this from ending up a la Yugoslavia but on a smaller scale?This would of course depend on who, exactly, is in power. The political life of these Baltic states might be pretty interesting in the 90s and 00s.