Discussion Question: Survival of the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth

Two part question:

-1. What PODs would work to avoid the Polish partitions and allow the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth (or a successor state) to survive down to the present day. I'm willing to take any answer, so long as it doesn't prevent the Commonwealth from developing in a recognizable fashion, but the closer to the OTL partitions, the better. (My favorite, personally, is Prussia getting massively beaten down in the Seven Years War-if it gets kicked down enough, perhaps it won't be able to participate in anything like the partitions, and Poland can continue as a buffer between Russia and Austria)

-2. What would a surviving Commonwealth look like? I think its interesting to speculate how Poland's "Democracy for Nobles" would have evolved had it lasted into the 19th century-I think demands from the bottom would eventually topple it, but would that produce a democacy for everybody, or some kind of populist dictatorship/absolute monarchy?

Also, how would the Commonwealth most likely treat its Belarussian and Ukranian minorities? What, religiously, would it look like? (Several wikipedia articles claim that at the time of the Partitions, a comfortable majority of Belarussians were actually Greek Catholic rather than Orthodox, but I find this extremely difficult to believe bar any other sources.)
 
I think the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth would be better under the Vasas, Sobieski or the Silesian Piasts would survive to the present since they would antagonize Austria and Prussia and focus on Silesia and ally with the Ottomans and maybe Russians as well.
 
Prussian defeat in Seven Years War is good POD to save PLC because Prussians were most interested in partitions-Russia was content with vassal Poland and Austria took part only because her neighbors did the same. After victory over Prussia Russians would take Ducal Prussia to change it later with PLC for Courland and propably parts of Belarus. Poland-Lithuania would survive until revolutionary wars as russian puppet with saxon king. What will happen later depends on results of French Revolution, let's assume that there is Napoleon-like figure and revolutionary wars are similar to OTL-Poland as russian vassal fights against France, Russians are forced to enlarge army of PLC to achieve victory. After alternate Congress of Vienna level of polish dependence from Russian Empire will gradually decrease-Britain would be most interested in weakening russian influences in Warsaw-after defeat of Prussia UK needs new ally in central Europe as sword against Russia, alternate "November Uprising" (casused by british intrigue, perhaps?) may led to end of russian domination in Poland (even rebelion in several times smaller Congress Kingdom was troublesome for Petersburg in OTL, and in ATL Austrian help is possible-Poland could be useful ally for Vienna )
 
You need to kill the noble democracy. It just didn't work. It left P-L completely failing to take action at anything close to a reasonable speed. It was a precursor to the modern UN in the competancy and getting things done stakes.
 
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