Different outcome in 1812

As we all know, the British and American War of 1812 resulted in a tactical draw: the Americans had failed to capture their objectives in Canada, and the British sieges and incursions in the former colonies failed. However, what happens if this war was vitally different - what happens if the British, correctly fearing Napoleonic invasion less, were able do deploy proper resources to North America and win key military victories over the Americans (perhaps take Maine?) forcing a US to sue for peace. What would such a peace treaty look like?
 
- The creation of a neutral and free zone covering Ohio and Michigan (at least) with limited access by both Americans and Britons permissible for commerce and other trade, but with settlement by either greatly restricted.
- The settlement of the Maine border in favor of the British and the creation of New Ireland.
- United States drops claims from Oregon.
 
The northern border of Maine would be moved south some in favor of Britain. Depending on when and how the victory occurs, an Indian nation carved out of Michigan, Indiana and Ohio. Louisiana and the rest of the Purchase is returned to Spain unter the pretext of "British Protection"

In short, you just killed Manifest Destiny in one stroke and very likely assure the 3rd Anglo-American War.
 
Unless the Americans are Very Badly defeated they won't return all of the Louisiana purchase.

Probably something more like this if the Americans do poorly.
-Maine border moved south.
-Indian protectorate/neutral area in most of Michigan and part of Ohio.
-British get full control of Oregon and the Red River Basin (expect Canada's future border to be at the 48th parallel.)
-British get a small strip of land around Niagara giving them control of both sides of the river.
Americans are allowed to keep the rest of the Louisiana purchase but has to pay some money to Spain as part of a 'Fair Deal'.

If the Americans lose but not too badly:
-Maine border moved south slightly.
-Upper and Central Michigan turned into British Protectorate. With promise by Britain to keep firm control of the Natives.
-British and Americans agree to split Oregon and the Red River Basin. Not totally in favour of Britain, but probably 70/30 or 60/40 in favour of Britain. The US and future Canada border would probably have several more twists and turns to it in the prairies.

Americans actually admit they lost:
-Small border adjustment in Maine, just enough for the British to say "We did it".
-Possibly Upper Michigan becomes a British territory. Not a protectorate. If the British want Indians living there the US won't argue, but if anyone attacks from it the British get blamed.
-Co-rule of Oregon and Red River Basin with Britain seen as the dominate partner. Probably settled a little sooner, slightly more in Britain's favour. Canada's border would be almost like OTL.
 
I still fail to see this argument that if one side launches a war of aggression and winds up with nothing it somehow constitutes a draw.
 
I still fail to see this argument that if one side launches a war of aggression and winds up with nothing it somehow constitutes a draw.

Don't worry, its enshrined in the AH constitution (unwritten of course) by now that the UK won 1812.
He did say a tactical draw, not the war actually was a draw.
 

Typo

Banned
The US and the UK -both- won the war OTL, while the real losers were the Indians.

If the Americans actually lose badly

The Louisiana purchase isn't going to be annulled pretty much no matter what, but Tecumseh's confederation is going to get land from American NorthWest, Northern Maine might be gone too I guess.
 
Could a Michigan no-settlement area be effectively enforced? I would imagine US settlers wouldn't care as much, the US itself could do relatively little leaving the British or natives to deal with it.
 
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