Did the Republic of Ezo stand any chance of surviving?

Wikipedia page on the Republic.

I apologize if this has been asked before but this is something I stumbled across recently and I found it very interesting.

So was there any chance for the republic to survive independent of Japan? Would Japan being willing to let it go?
 
Only if it becomes a protectorate of a more powerful nation.

The Ezo Republic has always interested me because it's the only time in Japanese history that a faction tries to secede from Japan (instead of taking over Japan).
 
Only if it becomes a protectorate of a more powerful nation.

The Ezo Republic has always interested me because it's the only time in Japanese history that a faction tries to secede from Japan (instead of taking over Japan).

Russia could have the possibility to intervert?
 
No, they were supported by France, and they had zero chances of surviving ... The winners of the fast revolt could not let them survive, as bring followers of the former shogun could give them serious problems at long term.

IMHO is impossible ...
 
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