What would the demographics of Latvia and Estonia look like in 2017 in the event of a German WWI victory?
As for my own thoughts on this, here is what I think:
If both ethnic Russian migration trends during the 20th century in our TL and our TL's African-American Great Migration in the U.S. are anything to go by, most of the ethnic Germans who will settle in Latvia and Estonia in this TL will do so in cities/urban areas (just like ethnic Russians did throughout the other SSRs in the USSR in our TL and just like African-Americans did in the Northern U.S. in our TL). Thus, if Germany ends up keeping control of both Latvia and Estonia up to the present-day (2017) in this TL, I suspect that we will see large ethnic German percentages--indeed, perhaps sometimes even a majority--in the urban areas of Latvia and Estonia (especially in the very large urban areas, such as Riga) while the countryside of both Latvia and Estonia continue to have a relatively low ethnic German percentage.
Indeed, while some ethnic Germans--not only from Germany proper, but also from Austria-Hungary and/or Russia--might initially settle in rural areas in Latvia and Estonia due to the Baltic Barons handing out free land there, given the general trend of urbanization in Germany during this time, I suspect that a majority of these ethnic Germans and/or their descendants will move to urban areas--either in Latvia and Estonia or in Germany proper--in 1, 2, or 3 generations (after their initial move to the Baltic states, that is). Thus, the Latvian and Estonian countrysides are likely to have a low ethnic German percentage of the total population by 2017 in this TL.
Anyway, any thoughts on all of this?